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Martin Pipe 2018

Do we think Momella will end up here or the Coral Cup?

I was optimistic that Skelton might give a steer in the Racing Post but he seemed happier to list the more 'obvious' horses. Perhaps that was an indirect plus?

Presumably, she is currently waiting for better ground?

Funnily enough , i put this bet on today , 25-1 hills. for this race .
 
I got Hills to add Diese Des Bieffes to their market for this and have duly added him to my book at 20/1. Off a lovely mark of 137 and with Mitch Bastyan on top this is the obvious race for him to take in at the festival and his form is pretty rock solid
 
Do we think Momella will end up here or the Coral Cup?

I was optimistic that Skelton might give a steer in the Racing Post but he seemed happier to list the more 'obvious' horses. Perhaps that was an indirect plus?

Presumably, she is currently waiting for better ground?

After her win before Xmas, Skelton said the target was the Mares race at Fairyhouse, so it was likely they’d miss Cheltenham all together - not seen anything since to say there,s any change to that plan.

“Momella paid a handsome compliment to On The Blind Side when winning a mares’ handicap hurdle at Cheltenham last Saturday against more experienced rivals.

She is likely to be entered in both the Mares race and the Festival’s two-mile novice event for mares, the Trull House Stud Dawn Run. However, trainer Dan Skelton favours bypassing both contests in favour of a 2m4f Fairyhouse Grade One later that same month.”
 
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After her win before Xmas, Skelton said the target was the Mares race at Fairyhouse, so it was likely they’d miss Cheltenham all together - not seen anything since to say there,s any change to that plan.

“Momella paid a handsome compliment to On The Blind Side when winning a mares’ handicap hurdle at Cheltenham last Saturday against more experienced rivals.

She is likely to be entered in both the Mares race and the Festival’s two-mile novice event for mares, the Trull House Stud Dawn Run. However, trainer Dan Skelton favours bypassing both contests in favour of a 2m4f Fairyhouse Grade One later that same month.”

Thanks.

I haven't, but if you have taken the 25/1 then if we take that plan at face value it seems you haven't lost your money.

That said it does sound like a massively optimistic plan given that she will have been off the track for four months and will probably need to find 10-14lbs. If they think she is a genuine Grade 1 horse then why not try and exploit the handicap mark first? There are plenty of winnable mares races out there.
 
Thanks.

I haven't, but if you have taken the 25/1 then if we take that plan at face value it seems you haven't lost your money.

That said it does sound like a massively optimistic plan given that she will have been off the track for four months and will probably need to find 10-14lbs. If they think she is a genuine Grade 1 horse then why not try and exploit the handicap mark first? There are plenty of winnable mares races out there.

I agree. I am quite surprised by the comments. As a bit of a target trainer, or a chap who certainly knows how to "lay one out" for the festival, the fact he hasn't mentioned it would be a negative. He doesn't usually hide anything, if he thinks one is well handicapped he'll say?
 
I am on Minds Eye for this (thankfully NRNB) but they have dropped him in trip tomorrow. Gigginstown usually throw a half decent one at this race but it seems it might not be this one. That said he doesn't appear to be quoted for the County.
 
I am on Minds Eye for this (thankfully NRNB) but they have dropped him in trip tomorrow. Gigginstown usually throw a half decent one at this race but it seems it might not be this one. That said he doesn't appear to be quoted for the County.
If Minds Eye runs half decent tomorrow it will go here and I believe will go very close at fest. 16s NRNB with 365
 
If Minds Eye runs half decent tomorrow it will go here and I believe will go very close at fest. 16s NRNB with 365

That's what I have taken but what makes you think having gone down in trip they will go back up again?
 
Sure I read it somewhere that that was the plan. Will try and find it
 
Very, very strange tactics with Minds Eye today. The horse isn't a front runner but they try and make all in the kind of race which is never won by a horse that makes all. Run at complete odds with the way he was supported.

Hardly the best preparation if they intend to go here.
 
Very, very strange tactics with Minds Eye today. The horse isn't a front runner but they try and make all in the kind of race which is never won by a horse that makes all. Run at complete odds with the way he was supported.

Hardly the best preparation if they intend to go here.

Wouldnt be fiddling with the horse would they? Didnt back it , but thought it was rather strange tactic.
 
I thought Deal D'estruval ran an eye catching race yesterday in the Coral Hurdle, coming second behind Off You Go.

I wasn't overly impressed with his debut at Tramore but he seemed to come on a lot yesterday and ran a really encouraging race, travelled through the race very nicely.

He ran off 127 yesterday so you'd have to hope that the handicapper takes a strong view of the race and gives him a good increase to maybe squeeze into the bottom of the weights. The Martin Pipe 135+ the last 2 years) compared to what has generally been a higher mark needed in the Coral Cup with a mark of 136+ last year and 139+ in 2016 needed to run. Interestingly he is entered up in another race this Thursday and although coming very soon after this, I wonder if they will take up the run if he has come out of the weekend well?

The horse got a decent mention in One Jump Ahead this year:

Despite racing three times over hurdles during the Spring earlier this year, the four year old is described as still being backward and a real chaser in the making. From the same source as Burrows Saint, namely Guillaume Macaire, he finished fourth and third on his first two races at Lyon (2m and 2m2). Only beaten half a length at Fontainebleau (2m1 very soft) last time in Mid April, the Balko gelding was acquired in June. His experience will stand him in good stead.

I think it's noteworthy he was entered up in all the grade 1 novice hurdle races at Cheltenham which shows they must think highly of the horse. I also noted Joe Chambers tweet yesterday:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Stunning day’s racing. <br>The crowd round the paddock for the hurdle race will live long. F ran better, spring time can’t come soon enough, we’ll plough on.<br>Min was very professional, first time since we owned him that he got a lead (I think).<br>Deal is the future. <br>On to tomorrow.</p>— Joe Chambers (@chambers2_joe) <a href="https://twitter.com/chambers2_joe/status/959879473167523840?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 3, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

=> Deal is the future <=

Now on first look the Coral Cup would probably be the first race you'd think of? However i'd be more inclined to look at the Martin Pipe for the horse as his profile looks better for that race plus he'd probably have more chance of getting into that race. Plus if he is that well thought of by connections, and is considered as a real chasing in the making than this race would seem the logical fit. Mullins has a strong record in the race winning it in 2015 with Killultagh Vic, 2014 with Don Poli and Sir Des Champs in 2011. If you look at the past winners of the race:

Champagne Classic
Ibis du Rheu
Killultagh Vic
Don Poli
Salubrious
Attaglance
Sire des Champs

They've all gone onto become strong staying chases, notably the Mullins winners.

I've requested him to be added in both the Martin Pipe, Coral and Any Race markets
 
I thought Deal D'estruval ran an eye catching race yesterday in the Coral Hurdle, coming second behind Off You Go.

I wasn't overly impressed with his debut at Tramore but he seemed to come on a lot yesterday and ran a really encouraging race, travelled through the race very nicely.

He ran off 127 yesterday so you'd have to hope that the handicapper takes a strong view of the race and gives him a good increase to maybe squeeze into the bottom of the weights. The Martin Pipe 135+ the last 2 years) compared to what has generally been a higher mark needed in the Coral Cup with a mark of 136+ last year and 139+ in 2016 needed to run. Interestingly he is entered up in another race this Thursday and although coming very soon after this, I wonder if they will take up the run if he has come out of the weekend well?

The horse got a decent mention in One Jump Ahead this year:



I think it's noteworthy he was entered up in all the grade 1 novice hurdle races at Cheltenham which shows they must think highly of the horse. I also noted Joe Chambers tweet yesterday:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Stunning day’s racing. <br>The crowd round the paddock for the hurdle race will live long. F ran better, spring time can’t come soon enough, we’ll plough on.<br>Min was very professional, first time since we owned him that he got a lead (I think).<br>Deal is the future. <br>On to tomorrow.</p>— Joe Chambers (@chambers2_joe) <a href="https://twitter.com/chambers2_joe/status/959879473167523840?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 3, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

=> Deal is the future <=

Now on first look the Coral Cup would probably be the first race you'd think of? However i'd be more inclined to look at the Martin Pipe for the horse as his profile looks better for that race plus he'd probably have more chance of getting into that race. Plus if he is that well thought of by connections, and is considered as a real chasing in the making than this race would seem the logical fit. Mullins has a strong record in the race winning it in 2015 with Killultagh Vic, 2014 with Don Poli and Sir Des Champs in 2011. If you look at the past winners of the race:

Champagne Classic
Ibis du Rheu
Killultagh Vic
Don Poli
Salubrious
Attaglance
Sire des Champs

They've all gone onto become strong staying chases, notably the Mullins winners.

I've requested him to be added in both the Martin Pipe, Coral and Any Race markets

Thats some excellent analysis there :encouragement:
Good shout!
 
Yeah I like that jono. Let us know the prices you get...
 
So far 10's any race has been offered, 12/1 Martin Pipe and 14/1 Coral Cup. None of those prices interest me enough right now
 
Superb write up that; have we heard anywhere if he’s likely to be on the boat over?
 
So far 10's any race has been offered, 12/1 Martin Pipe and 14/1 Coral Cup. None of those prices interest me enough right now

He's priced up NRNB for the Supreme at around 20s annoyingly enough.

Have you/anyone requested him on the exchanges?
 
I’ll try and get him into the Skybet market a sneaky way and ask for two bigger name horses alongside him hoping they don’t work out which one we want priced!