I'm getting more than a little nervous at the moment about Apple's jade not running here. , I have her in quite a few of my
multiples and surely a great bet for this race , but with her winning at 3 miles , I'm concerned
that michael o'leary will want her in the stayers , no matter what gordon elliot say's.
I still don't see it. I think O'Leary will be quite happy to win the Mares race again, beating Mullins'/Ricci's horses in the process.
It is a penalty kick. I see Lydia Hislop (and a few others) talking up Let's Dance which I find baffling.
The 12/1 available with William Hill is tempting from an each-way perspective given all three opponents shorter than her – her two stablemates above and the superior (on this term’s form, at least) Apple’s Jade – would have to turn up and two of them run to their absolute best to knock her out of the frame on what she’s achieved even now. She is a Festival winner already, after all. Let’s take that 12/1, each-way more an essential than a pleasure.
They're the same age, Apple's Jade was a better 4yo (ahead of LD at Cheltenhan and 9L ahead at Punchestown). The season after, Let's Dance was still a novice, so used that experience to do well in
novice company last year, with the best run being the Mares Novice Hurdle win at Cheltenham. IN THE SAME SEASON Apple's Jade went in to
open company and won 3 grade 1's, including the Mares Hurdle. Her form is superior at every single stage of their career!
I don't understand why anyone would assume Let's Dance is improving any more than Apple's Jade would be to get anywhere near reversing the 4yo or 5yo form. Even on
this years performances, Let's Dance won against Forge Meadow... Apple's Jade has beaten Nichols Canyon et al.
10/1 (1/5 odds) advised each way is the best price you can get for Let's Dance. The only positive is that Mullins at the start of the season said that the OLGB Mares race
is the plan. Although I'm sure that could change too. With Apple's Jade running, you're getting at best 2 places to aim at... and
if she does make it there and place you're in effect putting a bet on at 1/2 for her to place!!!!!
£10 e/w at 10/1 - place returns £30. (£20 total stake - £10 profit)
One of the worst advised bets I've seen. I don't give LD any chance of beating AJ bar her not running or a fall (no reason to worry about either) and to back a place at 1/2 at this stage is bonkers.
***edit - Just heard Ricci on TalkSport say that Let's Dance could go for the Mares Race or the Stayers. SO the only positive I could find about the target now isn't certain!
