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General Chat

EnvoiAlien said:
You should google Bill Benter, if you could use some of his system parameters it'd be interesting to see if the AI could refine his work,he did alright with his work though.
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He the hong Kong bloke? I remember watching a video about him. Probably something for the further work section in the report given it's due next month and my current models work a lot on RPRs
 
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Zachx02 said:
He the hong Kong bloke? I remember watching a video about him. Probably something for the further work section in the report given it's due next month and my current models work a lot on RPRs
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He is, interesting bloke.
Proform & Dataform are also quite interesting for running systems through (Or used to be at least), of course with the advent of AI they could get left behind.
Be interested in seeing what your works give you for this festival,best of luck and hope the hard work pays off.
 
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Willitgoahead has now been bought but by Bective Stud and will run in their colours on Friday, per the RP.
 
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Ballybeen said:
Im out in Portugal and have bought an express vpn but can’t get on likes of hills and bet365 anybody any ideas what i can do? Thanks.
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Try changing location on VPN to Mexico
 
Old Vic said:
Try changing location on VPN to Mexico
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Wouldnt let me use the VPN when in Lanzarote last year. What i had to do was not use the VPN stay off the apps and google the betting site on mobile data. So stay off the free wifi.
 
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When in Tenerife using mobile data on the browser works fine for me. Just don't connect to the WiFi out there.
 
Zachx02 said:
Will run both my AI models later when the racing post gets the racecards updated and post both of their choices, new one takes into account previous form directly unlike the previous one which only took into account cumulative stats so interested to see how both performances albeit a 4 day festival isn't very representative of performance given variance!

And also gives me an excuse to work a bypass to the racing posts stupid new policy of needing to have an account to look at the full form of a horse
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I'm not having that issue with my stuff, DM me how you're currently getting the data and I'll see if I can give a pointer if you want?
 
Good point to remember made by Matt Tombs


'With the Day 1 decs through its tempting to get stuck in to backing the horses you fancy. Current over-rounds
Supreme - 134%
Arkle - 114%
Ultima - 163%
Mares - 152%
Champion - 113%
Fred Winter - 179%
4 Miler - 178%

A lot of horses are going to be bigger prices in due course'

Unless there's one you are certain will reduce in odds, wait until Tuesday now where you'll get BOG, offers, super boosts etc. Those above 150% are disgraceful.
 
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Very good point

A lot go industry 'best price' on the Tuesday as well
 
Mellish having a good little rant there, hard to argue with one word of it.
 
Skybet at me logging in to check out their prices for the Supreme with 4 places

F_5L8QEWgAAhT47.jpg
 
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Zachx02 said:
Will run both my AI models later when the racing post gets the racecards updated and post both of their choices, new one takes into account previous form directly unlike the previous one which only took into account cumulative stats so interested to see how both performances albeit a 4 day festival isn't very representative of performance given variance!

And also gives me an excuse to work a bypass to the racing posts stupid new policy of needing to have an account to look at the full form of a horse
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Don’t forget to feed on jockey arrangements - especially in respect of SM - he is taking quite a walk!
 
Nice to see Willie inform as we head into Cheltenham week.

Only the 4 timer at Naas, one for each jockey too.
 
DenmanSacre said:
Good point to remember made by Matt Tombs


'With the Day 1 decs through its tempting to get stuck in to backing the horses you fancy. Current over-rounds
Supreme - 134%
Arkle - 114%
Ultima - 163%
Mares - 152%
Champion - 113%
Fred Winter - 179%
4 Miler - 178%

A lot of horses are going to be bigger prices in due course'

Unless there's one you are certain will reduce in odds, wait until Tuesday now where you'll get BOG, offers, super boosts etc. Those above 150% are disgraceful.
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Didn't realise this had been pasted on here. Was going to start an argument on X but couldn't be arsed. Not sure where he got the figures from but they were totally inaccurate according to Oddschecker when I compared and confirmed them. Oddschecker handily puts the overround in the bottom left corner. Currently best books give you:

Supreme - 113%
Arkle - 106%
Ultima - 126%
Mares - 112%
Champion - 107%
Fred Winter - 128%
4 Miler - 132%​

Can only surmise that he was looking at the books that hadn't been updated from the declarations.
 
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Runragged said:
Didn't realise this had been pasted on here. Was going to start an argument on X but couldn't be arsed. Not sure where he got the figures from but they were totally inaccurate according to Oddschecker when I compared and confirmed them. Oddschecker handily puts the overround in the bottom left corner. Currently best books give you:

Supreme - 113%
Arkle - 106%
Ultima - 126%
Mares - 112%
Champion - 107%
Fred Winter - 128%
4 Miler - 132%​

Can only surmise that he was looking at the books that hadn't been updated from the declarations.
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Also for context

betfair exchange are for the back at min stake

Supreme - 101.3%
Arkle - 101.6%
Ultima - 103.4%
Mares - 101.7%
Champion - 101.1%
Fred Winter - 101.6%
4 Miler - 111.3%
 
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