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DUBLIN - Snakes & Ladders

One for archie:

Kemboy - Dowie
Presenting P***take - Beckham
 
Al Boum Photo said:
Latest Exhibition won a Grade 2 last time out. Form has been cranked by Andy Dufresne since and he should appreciate the step up in trip.
Elixir D'Ainay has Grade 1 form behind Envoi Allen. Probably the strongest form going into the race. Longhouse Poet not far back in that race too.
Easywork and Asterion Forlonge have both been very impressive so far.
Janidil looks an unlikely runner but is rated 144 and if improving for the step up in trip would be a real threat.
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I wonder which of Mullins horses will run in this. I'm guessing Asterion Forlonge as a prep for the Albert Bartlett (he won a point to point so should have no prob staying) - I think Elixir had a hard enough race the last day and 2m 6 might be a bit too far. What do you think?
 
I sure hope he does it though, i really like fakir so if he confirms the form ill be chuffed (if fakir goes here) i also hope honeysuckle wins her race and goes to the champ hurdle at cheltenham then ive got a Major trixie looking quite solid with champ classic
 
I really like this DRF, it’s like National Hunt racing’s Christmas Eve and credit to the Irish owners & trainers for having the bollocks to take each other on if the number of big players scheduled turn up this weekend. My only gripe is that the DRF is still missing a few races that mimic the big Cheltenham Festival races just like the Trials fixture also fails to cover like Ryanair. If I’m honest I really don’t know how it’s going to play out, maybe that’s a lack of knowledge & experience on my behalf but I don’t know if failure at the DRF is game over or all part of the Festival preparation. I’ve played a decent standard of sport all my life so understand how you cannot continually peak but have to rest, prepare and build to succeed and I see that a lot in horse racing. Either way I know the results at the DRF will split my pack of bets but like most of you what I lose in cash out offers I’ll get the opportunity to get some better prices on some horses I think will perform better at the Festival than other big race days.
 
The King Pimm said:
I really like this DRF, it’s like National Hunt racing’s Christmas Eve and credit to the Irish owners & trainers for having the bollocks to take each other on if the number of big players scheduled turn up this weekend. My only gripe is that the DRF is still missing a few races that mimic the big Cheltenham Festival races just like the Trials fixture also fails to cover like Ryanair. If I’m honest I really don’t know how it’s going to play out, maybe that’s a lack of knowledge & experience on my behalf but I don’t know if failure at the DRF is game over or all part of the Festival preparation. I’ve played a decent standard of sport all my life so understand how you cannot continually peak but have to rest, prepare and build to succeed and I see that a lot in horse racing. Either way I know the results at the DRF will split my pack of bets but like most of you what I lose in cash out offers I’ll get the opportunity to get some better prices on some horses I think will perform better at the Festival than other big race days.
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If it was just a carbon copy of the Cheltenham Festival, it would take the appeal away from the festival.


Forcing the novices to clash at 2m or 2m6f, still makes it interesting to see where the beaten ones go.

Same idea with not having 'the Ryanair' type trip..... Forcing Min to go 2 miles is great to see, I want him in the Ryanair, but how exciting if he did line up against the others over 2 miles?
 
Yeah I agree it does create that suspense and that’s a good thing as it keeps us guessing and speculating. The not knowing where horses are going to go in the build up is a buzz as frustrating as it feels. From a punting point of view you either got to pick your colours and stick to them or accept you’re watering down your finances to avoid disappointment. I’m really looking forward to this weekend and without wanting to sound mediocre and cheesy the one outcome I really hope for this weekend is that no horses are ruled out the Festival after the DRF. It’s probably unlikely but I much rather one of my backed horses run a stinker and still have an entry next month than get injured and ruled out.
 
Star Of A Gunner said:
Hey Splinter Boy, absolutely loved your Faugheen thread on BF, it was great to see how it developed leading up to the Neptune. Can't believe I revisited it a few weeks ago and waded my way through it again.
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Cheers Star, I never could have imagined he’d have turned into the legend he has & that the post would’ve had more views than any when I created it back in 2013 but amazing when you read back how it evolved. Similar every year in that you have the hype machine vs the none believers until March comes around. I’d like to think I’m somewhere balanced in the middle!

Lord Royal is the Mullins novice I’ve really taken to this yr but he’s no Faugheen!
 
Splinterboy82 said:
Lord Royal is the Mullins novice I’ve really taken to this yr but he’s no Faugheen!
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Hope he runs this weekend... took 50/1 Ballymore after his very nice visual performance in Jan.

Won't have the experience for an Albert Bartlett so hope I'm right on the target, and he runs well.

Not too much to ask :rolleyes:
 
Kevloaf said:
Hope he runs this weekend... took 50/1 Ballymore after his very nice visual performance in Jan.

Won't have the experience for an Albert Bartlett so hope I'm right on the target, and he runs well.

Not too much to ask :rolleyes:
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He’s been taken out of both novices at this weekends DRF Kev but hoping he rocks up in the Clonmel race Allaho & MI ran in last year before finishing top 3 at festival....if he doesn’t rock up there I’ll start to get worried he won’t be on the boat
 
The perfect weekend (for me) looks something like this:

Ladbrokes Dublin Chase – Chacun lives up to his lofty reputation
2m6f Novice G1 Hurdle – Latest Exhibition loves the step up and wins
Arkle Novice Chase – Notebook or Fakir to win well
Irish Champion Hurdle – Honeysuckle to keep that 40’s about the CH alive
Spring Juvenile Hurdle – Something to beat Aspire Tower, or Cerberus to run him close
Flogas Novice Chase – BOD to run a mighty race vs quicker horses. 2/3/4 wouldn’t bother me
Novice 2m Hurdle – Abacadabras on the snaff (if he shows up)

Above is what I want to happen, below is what I think will happen:

Ladbrokes Dublin Chase - Cilaos Emery to beat CPS & APT and go close to favoritism for the CC.
2m6f Novice G1 Hurdle – Latest Exhibition to go close to winning but not, leaving me hopeful but not confident
Arkle Novice Chase - Cash Back to win from the front, Notebook to disappoint and Fakir to be Marsh bound
Irish Champion Hurdle - Klassical Dream to bounce back, Supasundae to ride a mighty race
Spring Juvenile Hurdle – The closer Cerberus gets to Aspire Tower the better, but I think Aspire Tower just wins
Flogas Novice Chase – 2m5f is not the optimum trip so BOD outpaced. Probably Faugheen wins
Novice 2m Hurdle – I think Mt Leinster will go very close, but if Abacadabras shows up he wins

I have a suspicion that I’ll go into the weekend seeking clarity, and come out of it confused.
 
Crolwey113 said:
Any members have access to the Envoi post on Racing Post '[h=2]Envoi Allen faces key workout before decision on Leopardstown is made?'[/h]

If so could you post what it says please :)
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Elliott said on Tuesday "we left EA in the 2 novice races but we'll work him in the morning(today) before making a decision about whether he runs or not. He's very well at home but we haven't made up our minds whether he runs @ Leopardstown or not"

"If EA runs in the 2ml 6f novice hurdle on Saturday, I'm not sure we'd want to be taking him on with Fury Road or not"

"To be honest, its very early in the week and I've yet to speak with owners or anything like that so we'll know more about plans closer to the time"

Make of that what you will!
 
Pendil said:
Elliott said on Tuesday "we left EA in the 2 novice races but we'll work him in the morning(today) before making a decision about whether he runs or not. He's very well at home but we haven't made up our minds whether he runs @ Leopardstown or not"

"If EA runs in the 2ml 6f novice hurdle on Saturday, I'm not sure we'd want to be taking him on with Fury Road or not"

"To be honest, its very early in the week and I've yet to speak with owners or anything like that so we'll know more about plans closer to the time"

Make of that what you will!
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I interpret that as he won't run. Too many if's and but's to think otherwise IMO
 
Pendil said:
Elliott said on Tuesday "we left EA in the 2 novice races but we'll work him in the morning(today) before making a decision about whether he runs or not. He's very well at home but we haven't made up our minds whether he runs @ Leopardstown or not"

"If EA runs in the 2ml 6f novice hurdle on Saturday, I'm not sure we'd want to be taking him on with Fury Road or not"

"To be honest, its very early in the week and I've yet to speak with owners or anything like that so we'll know more about plans closer to the time"

Make of that what you will!
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Thank you.
 
Do people think Abacadabras will run? Could be some value there assuming EA and Aba don't run - would be a good lot of runs if either do going into Chelt.
 
When are jockey bookings out for Saturday? Presume Townend will go with Bapaume for the Arkle?
 
Paddy Power now have Envoi Allen @ 5/2 (in from 6/1 and 4/1 in the last few day) for the 2ml novice on Sunday. Aba still showing fav @ 7/4
 
Bapaume all the rage for the ERSG Arkle, as short as 3's now, was 8's.
 
Crolwey113 said:
Market would suggest so would be my take...
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Seems so, yet still not the shortest of the Mullins lot for Cheltenham. Looking forward to watching Saturday, hopefully my 80/1 dockets for March aren't up in smoke :)
 
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