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Champion Hurdle 2020

The Honeysuckle cash out has gone up again today and is close to a 5/1.

They way I see it, there are two options.

1. Cash out and back again as NRNB, losing about 1/3 of potential winnings.

2. Cash out and then back at 11/1 with William Hill and increase winning by approx 40%.

How are people playing this? I'm seriously considering option 2 as it turns Honeysuckle into 70/1, by my calculations.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
The Honeysuckle cash out has gone up again today and is close to a 5/1.

They way I see it, there are two options.

1. Cash out and back again as NRNB, losing about 1/3 of potential winnings.

2. Cash out and then back at 11/1 with William Hill and increase winning by approx 40%.

How are people playing this? I'm seriously considering option 2 as it turns Honeysuckle into 70/1, by my calculations.
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If you're prepared to lose your stake, I'd wait till declarations for dublin, and then back her in a special to win there and the festival. Make your manouvres then.
 
I’m surprised you’ll lose a third by cashing out and backing NRNB, I was only around 10% short after cashing out. I cashed out yesterday and relaid cash out plus a little bit more to take it up to identical win figure. I’ve lost my e/w option but it was only 3 places at 1/5 but now have NRNB. Personally I don’t think Honeysuckle will race in the CH which influenced my decision.
 
The King Pimm said:
I’m surprised you’ll lose a third by cashing out and backing NRNB, I was only around 10% short after cashing out. I cashed out yesterday and relaid cash out plus a little bit more to take it up to identical win figure. I’ve lost my e/w option but it was only 3 places at 1/5 but now have NRNB. Personally I don’t think Honeysuckle will race in the CH which influenced my decision.
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It was a 29% loss for me.

I've cashed out weighted my stake between Hills 11.98/1 (25%) and Sky 9/2 (75%).
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
It was a 29% loss for me
I've cashed out weighted my stake between Hills 11.98/1 (25%) and Sky 9/2 (75%).
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Aah right, my cash fee on B365 was around 10% less than a place so easier decision for me but I never had a big stake involved, it was a precautionary stake just incase she improved again this season which she has done. I still think Honeysuckle will be run in the Mares if she gets to the Festival.
 
Eggs said:
...ha, ha. Perhaps Dave is a visitor to this site, Darasso given plenty of positive mentions.
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Think Ruby is a visitor as well!. He's put him up tonight on the Road to Cheltenham. Feeling pretty pleased with this one I must admit :p
 
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I've got 5 of the top 6 in betting for this and the one I haven't done is Pentland. I just don't like him. Help me, am I doing the right thing by ignoring him ??
 
Lobos said:
I've got 5 of the top 6 in betting for this and the one I haven't done is Pentland. I just don't like him. Help me, am I doing the right thing by ignoring him ??
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I don't like him either Lobos, flatters to deceive.
 
I’ve got 5 of the 6 too. I agree re pentland hills but have got him at 25s after backing post triumph win so am going to let it ride. I am more disappointed with fusil raffles as he impressed me more last year and got 50/1 on him for this years champion hurdle. Cash outs gone now on him to be of benefit but hoping for some Lazarus like recovery!
 
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Penzance said:
I’ve got 5 of the 6 too. I agree re pentland hills but have got him at 25s after backing post triumph win so am going to let it ride. I am more disappointed with fusil raffles as he impressed me more last year and got 50/1 on him for this years champion hurdle. Cash outs gone now on him to be of benefit but hoping for some Lazarus like recovery!
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Wouldn't give up on him just yet. I have him on my side also along with Coeur Sublime who may yet come back into calculations. Will be embarrassing if I can't get the winner from 8 selections but.....
 
Lobos said:
I've got 5 of the top 6 in betting for this and the one I haven't done is Pentland. I just don't like him. Help me, am I doing the right thing by ignoring him ??
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Can’t have him at all. Would not be backing him in this position. There’s only 3 horses who can win here imo. (Honeysuckle would be 4 if she came here)
 
Big Bucks said:
Prick!! Was one on my radar to top up on! Dave the prick not you btw haha
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I echo this, was just waiting to see if he was coming Haydock then he's tipped up in that and by Ruby so I've just had to take the 33s, which to be fair isn't a price I'm unhappy with for NRNB. Heading to Haydock tomorrow so looking forward to seeing Darasso let's hope he can put on a good showing!
 
The main worry for Darasso to me in a Champion would be the ground. Potentially he will, i really like him.

Tomorrow's conditions are probably his ideal over 2miles anyway, bar the layoff concern. However, having been declared at Xmas you'd hope he's been fit and well for sometime.
 
I think the days of a Good Spring Ground Champion Hurdle are diminishing fast jack. Can't remember the last time I walked in on a Tuesday and it didnt still feel like mid winter!

Got 13/2 Cornerstone Lad and 6/1 Darasso both for tomorrow e/w.... fingers crossed its Darasso!
 
Scooby91 said:
Fusil raffles looks a big price to me for the BF hurdle @18/1 with uniboost. Wasnt in the entries for the CH trials, he Would need to win this to be in the big time. Off a mark of 150, if you ruled out his last run, He'd be fav. Iv had a few quid on. And im very hopeful. Firstly that he runs. And secondly that he goes very close.
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Very fair.

He's been shorter most of the season to win a Champion Hurdle than he is to win the BF Hurdle.


Anyone that liked him for the CH surely has to be taking that price for the BH.... if he wins, invest some of your winnings.... if not, you dodged a bullet :concern:
 
Kevloaf said:
Very fair.

He's been shorter most of the season to win a Champion Hurdle than he is to win the BF Hurdle.


Anyone that liked him for the CH surely has to be taking that price for the BH.... if he wins, invest some of your winnings.... if not, you dodged a bullet :concern:
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I’m going to trawl through the form over the next few days, but as a FR backer in the Champion, it makes sense to give his chances particular attention.
 
My 299/1 for Darasso to win at the festival would be incredibly exciting ....

if it was for the CH, not the Ryanair


:highly_amused:
 
Kevloaf said:
My 299/1 for Darasso to win at the festival would be incredibly exciting ....

if it was for the CH, not the Ryanair


:highly_amused:[/QUOT

Yikes !

Still might be tho after tomorrow.........hope you have some for CH too (i got a Scooby-style nibble at 105 for CH few weeks back)........he's def close on ratings and good profile...maybe ..1-2 with Epatante for JP?
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