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Breeder’s Cup

Morley Street

Morley Street

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Jan 14, 2018
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Location
Derbyshire
One of my favourite weekends of the year and the markets are now beginning to take shape. Sax has already put forward a live one for the Mile and I like many others on here have helped myself to the 20s available on MOTS.

You often get a big disparity in prices between bookies at this time and value can be had, so let’s get some discussion going.

Out of the juvenile performances I’ve seen so far, the filly, Tamara has impressed me the most and she looks a solid fav for the Fillys race.

Echo Zulu 5/2 for the Fillys & Mares sprint looks a standout and i also like Geaux Rocket Ride e/w in the Classic.
 
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Took 16s for Warm Heart to win the F&M Turf around the time of her Yorkshire Oaks victory, theres still some 9/2 available and I'd say theres still some juice in that price. The track and ground is absolutely made for her and aslong as she gets a decent position, I don't see her beat. Looking at likely opponents, Nashwa is heading to Ascot for her 'end game' which sounds doubtful for a US bid, Tahiyra's participation depends on whether she will stay in training next year (both the trainer and jockey seem hopeful she can) which casts a doubt on her turning up, Emily Upjohn is as inconsistent as anything and you'd be taking a chance of which one will turn up, BRC likely to end her season at Longchamp in the Opera and then you're getting down to the likes of Via sistina who wont be turning up on that sort of ground.
 
darlojim said:
Took 16s for Warm Heart to win the F&M Turf around the time of her Yorkshire Oaks victory, theres still some 9/2 available and I'd say theres still some juice in that price. The track and ground is absolutely made for her and aslong as she gets a decent position, I don't see her beat. Looking at likely opponents, Nashwa is heading to Ascot for her 'end game' which sounds doubtful for a US bid, Tahiyra's participation depends on whether she will stay in training next year (both the trainer and jockey seem hopeful she can) which casts a doubt on her turning up, Emily Upjohn is as inconsistent as anything and you'd be taking a chance of which one will turn up, BRC likely to end her season at Longchamp in the Opera and then you're getting down to the likes of Via sistina who wont be turning up on that sort of ground.
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You’re sitting on a great price there Jim!
 
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Tamara looks NAP material utterly devastating performance LTO

My bets so far

Tamara 2/1 - Juvenile Fillies
Prince Of Monaco 4/1 - Juvenile
Gunite 7/1 - Sprint
Arabian Knight 12/1 - Classic
Master of the seas 20/1 - Mile

I have my eye on

Heartland - Juvenile
 
I struggle to get into the dirt races but quiet enjoy the European challengers for the turf contests.
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16s a nice price on Warm Heart but as you say, what they do with Tahirya could be key to that! I'll be onboard even at short price if Tahirya doesn't turn up.

Master of the Seas a lot are on thanks to Sax and will have a good chance if making it in one piece. Fancy that race to cut up a bit and plenty of negatives for his market rivals imo.

Turf sprint will be interesting, to see what runs. They're taking it very seriously with Live the Dream. Read he's having a prep over further just to get some experience from the gates. Think he's actually an interesting contender but wonder if he might drift to a nice price if beaten in the prep, as they seem to be suggesting he probably will be.
 
SONGLINE @ 7/1 Breeders' Cup Mile

Taking the odds before her race on Sunday
 
Big weekend ahead for some BC hopes… particularly interested in Todd Pletcher’s 2 juveniles… Fierceness in the Champagne and Locked in the Futurity
 
I've backed Fierceness 10/1 for the Juvenile ahead of his second start this weekend. Very impressive on debut in the slop and this step up to mile will pose no problems, has a couple of decent rivals to dispatch but I'd be hopeful he can with minimal fuss and a relatively comfortable win would see him cut and disputing favourtism.
 
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MUTH @ 16/1 e/w Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Going for the horses for courses approach here.
Muth dazzled on debut at Santa Anita then was disappointing LTO. However, he's flying in the mornings atm at SA and I'm hoping he can find that debut form in the American Pharoah on Saturday then onto the BC.
 
parimutuel said:
MUTH @ 16/1 e/w Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Going for the horses for courses approach here.
Muth dazzled on debut at Santa Anita then was disappointing LTO. However, he's flying in the mornings atm at SA and I'm hoping he can find that debut form in the American Pharoah on Saturday then onto the BC.
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Very impressed and sky are still sleeping, I've had more on. Baffert has some nice ones for next year
 
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Had hoped Live In The Dream would've drifted a bit more after that defeat but I reckon that's a decent enough trial. 10s is probably fair enough though. No chance Kinross runs in the sprint imo. Unless it turned heavy or something, in which case I might as well chuck everything in the bin anyway
 
Zachx02 said:
Very impressed and sky are still sleeping, I've had more on. Baffert has some nice ones for next year
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Nice one Zach, caught them napping :encouragement:

Prince Of Monaco out to 9/2 so taken a saver on him.

He has and a barn full of ​​​unraced potential too.
 
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Morley Street said:
Big weekend ahead for some BC hopes… particularly interested in Todd Pletcher’s 2 juveniles… Fierceness in the Champagne and Locked in the Futurity
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Locked ran well last night MS another tough Gun Runner
 
Anyone with a betway account they seem to be sleeping with the Juvenile market, can still get 16/1 muth, 8/1 locked and 12/1 timberlake
 
parimutuel said:
Nice one Zach, caught them napping :encouragement:

Prince Of Monaco out to 9/2 so taken a saver on him.

He has and a barn full of ​​​unraced potential too.
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Speed figure of 100, still a tiny bit off 102 which prince of monaco got when beating him a few weeks ago
 
Was very impressed with Up to the Mark last night… monster performance from one who was reportedly nowhere near fully would up. I’ve decided to get out of my Master of the Seas bet as a result as I can’t see him reversing the form. The only thing stopping me wading into UTTM is Inspiral potentially coming here… does anyone know whether if she was given the BC go ahead, it would be the Mile or Filly & Mare turf?
 
Morley Street said:
Was very impressed with Up to the Mark last night… monster performance from one who was reportedly nowhere near fully would up. I’ve decided to get out of my Master of the Seas bet as a result as I can’t see him reversing the form. The only thing stopping me wading into UTTM is Inspiral potentially coming here… does anyone know whether if she was given the BC go ahead, it would be the Mile or Filly & Mare turf?
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Reckon that’s a bit hasty.
He looks (uttm) like he has a superior engine for sure.
But I think the jockey on master of the seas got his timing wrong and went half a furlong too soon off a decent pace.
the draw, different tactics and luck in running puts the 2 closely matched IMO.
 
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