opatcho
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- Jan 29, 2018
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On Baron Alco he finished 2nd in a festival handicap off the same mark, to a horse who he was giving 1lb to, who has since won 3 G1s.
Also given the horse was off 557 days surely he is entitled to improve for the run.
The horses to beat him over fences are as follows:
Whisper - who he gave 5lb to by 2.5L now rated 167.
Top Notch - beat 5L now rated 162, had the now 156 rated Le Prezien in behind in 3rd.
Road To Respect - Beat 6L giving him 1lb now rated 169.
Charbel - beat him by a head and was ahead again after the line in receipt of 12lb follow 557 day lay off.
For me the big thing is if Jamie Moore is on him.
I would agree IF it wasn’t for the 557 days off the track.
Some folks will say he’ll improve for the run, others will say he will bounce. Personally, I think he’ll run up to the same mark as when he was narrowly beaten by Charbel, and I’m not sure whether that will be good enough to win.
I shortlisted Baron Alco, but there’s a niggle here and a niggle there despite his form as a novice.
After analysing form, trend and watching previous races, you end up making a decision, and I’ve decided Kalondra is the fine for me. I can see Alco being in the frame - top 4, and Benatar is the joker in the pack.
The rest will be left to fight over scraps