Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2019

[JackieMoon33]

Birchdale a non runner tomorrow

Saving him for next years RSA

 

[ComplyOrDie]

Anyone (who has backed the horse) worried that Angel's Breath could come here or not?

Plenty of money around for Al Dancer recently, I know some 'pro's' have put it up so accept that is reasoning too, but under same ownership so wonder if he'll want to split them up or just go all out for this race with 2 runners?

 

[Arkle]

I think he’s a supreme horse all day nickys got horses for this race in birchdale or champ

 

[ComplyOrDie]

I think he’s a supreme horse all day nickys got horses for this race in birchdale or champ

I'm hoping so, but we've seen plenty a trainer say it is up to the owner and not the trainer, but some owners are the opposite and let the trainer decide what is best, unsure what Dai is like myself.

 

[Scooby91]

Anyone (who has backed the horse) worried that Angel's Breath could come here or not?

Plenty of money around for Al Dancer recently, I know some 'pro's' have put it up so accept that is reasoning too, but under same ownership so wonder if he'll want to split them up or just go all out for this race with 2 runners?

Not worried at all. I'd be worried if I backed al dancer though. Bookmakers paper consistently putting him up when they know he's 2nd string and his form is nothing. He won a handicap hurdle beating poor horses of 129.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Not worried at all. I'd be worried if I backed al dancer though. Bookmakers paper consistently putting him up when they know he's 2nd string and his form is nothing. He won a handicap hurdle beating poor horses of 129.

Are you referring to the Racing Post Scooby?

 

[Scooby91]

Are you referring to the Racing Post Scooby?

Certainly am. Why people follow the comumnists is beyond me.

 

[Scooby91]

Are you referring to the Racing Post Scooby?

Tom segal historical supreme picks. That people still evidently follow in every year.

2012 midnight game 15th / vulcanite 10th
2013 river maigue 8th
2014 first mohican NR
2015 qewy 5th
2016 silver concorde 14th
2017 Charlie Parcs NR
2018 sharjah 8th / kalashnikov 2nd

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

He has a poor record with all his ante post selections, with a high percentage of non runners. I don't understand how he still gets the gig of headline tipster and is well past his sell by date.

Some of his picks are baffling!

 

[Scooby91]

He has a poor record with all his ante post selections, with a high percentage of non runners. I don't understand how he still gets the gig of headline tipster and is well past his sell by date.

Some of his picks are baffling!

Tips: 2555
Win / Loss: 257/ 2235

Balance: -637.50

 

[Scooby91]

He has a poor record with all his ante post selections, with a high percentage of non runners. I don't understand how he still gets the gig of headline tipster and is well past his sell by date.

Some of his picks are baffling!

Tips: 2555
Win / Loss: 257-63-2235
Num Placed: 21
Balance: -637.50


Profit for 2013:*542.50
Profit for 2014:*402.00
Profit for 2015:*-1296.50
Profit for 2016:*793.30
Profit for 2017:*-107.70
Profit for 2018:*-891.10
Profit for 2019:*-80.00

 

[boopa]

Have you got Paul Kealy's stats Scoob?

 

[Quevega]

Have you got Paul Kealy's stats Scoob?

None of them are great (when you look at the long term stats) apart from Hugh Taylor and he's an all weather merchant so don't interest me, but he's good.
But to be fair, winning in the long term isn't easy, and picking just one horse for the supreme at beginning of January isn't easy either. especially if you're pricewise and have to look for the value.

They do look bad in hindsight though, although Al Dancer might not be a bad shout (think it was 20s or thereabouts when he put it up)
If it wins the betfair it's definitely value.
Not backed it.

 

[boopa]

Holding makes good profit not sure about his antepost record though.

It's great that Segal still moves the market with bad tips. The longer he stays in the job the better.

 

[doctorwu]

Tom segal historical supreme picks. That people still evidently follow in every year.

2012 midnight game 15th / vulcanite 10th
2013 river maigue 8th
2014 first mohican NR
2015 qewy 5th
2016 silver concorde 14th
2017 Charlie Parcs NR
2018 sharjah 8th / kalashnikov 2nd

Jesus, Thats worse than my record in this race. At least I've had 2 winners in that period. :highly_amused:

 

[doctorwu]

Al Dancer CANNOT win the Supreme. Waste of a stake.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

None of them are great (when you look at the long term stats) apart from Hugh Taylor and he's an all weather merchant so don't interest me, but he's good.
But to be fair, winning in the long term isn't easy, and picking just one horse for the supreme at beginning of January isn't easy either. especially if you're pricewise and have to look for the value.

They do look bad in hindsight though, although Al Dancer might not be a bad shout (think it was 20s or thereabouts when he put it up)
If it wins the betfair it's definitely value.
Not backed it.

He also doesn't have the option of putting his Cheltenham picks up at any point as they are obviously sticking to a weekly schedule.

It doesn't excuse most of his selections though

 

[Arkle]

This race is all over the place still to have a bet in it personally think champ will go AB leaning towards birchdale at the prices

 

[Quevega]

He also doesn't have the option of putting his Cheltenham picks up at any point as they are obviously sticking to a weekly schedule.

It doesn't excuse most of his selections though

Why don't we all have a go.
They have to be 20-1 or bigger.
It's not a big pool once you go down the candidates, and Al Dancer who was bigger seems the safest bet.
I'll go Itchy Feet 40-1
wrong thread though isn't it

 

[Scooby91]

Why don't we all have a go.
They have to be 20-1 or bigger.
It's not a big pool once you go down the candidates, and Al Dancer who was bigger seems the safest bet.
I'll go Itchy Feet 40-1
wrong thread though isn't it

You could always start a thread. Forum v pricewise.