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Aintree Day 2

I feel rather guilty.

I’m all over BMG for the RSA next year and I really do think he’s got a cracking chance in it. This is his first outing over 3miles and so backing against him would be poor form from me.

BUT I think Gallyhill is the winner tomorrow. I’ll be delighted to see BMG get the business done but with the reputation of Gallyhill and how much they think of him I think he will be tough to beat. 10/1 is a cracking price.

Really like Dusart too and have him in a couple of nice roll-ups. He should take a tonne of beating and will have come on loads for his debut! :emmersed:
 
Just a few for an interest tomorrow, apart from Dusart who I’ll be watching keenly as a backer for next year......

Dusart
Espoir De Romay
Morning Vicar
Streets Of Doyen
Blakeney Point
 
Just 3 for me tomorrow

1:45 Wilde About Oscar 1pt WIN
2:20 Dusart 1pt WIN
4:40 Oscar Elite 1pt WIN

0.2 pt E/W treble on the above selections. Excited to see if Dusart has retained the ability!
 
Are we convinced Dusart is the real thing here ?
His debut win looked impressive when Soaring Glory won the Betfair Hurdle but he was a long way off being competitive in the Supreme and the third in Dusarts debut win is a 112 rated pig.
The confidence of people in here is putting me off getting stuck into Ajero, I’ll sleep on it...
 
Ill chance For Pleasure ew although he will likely set it up for the field, he might take some catching around here and ran a blinder in the supreme.
 
Istabraq said:
Are we convinced Dusart is the real thing here ?
His debut win looked impressive when Soaring Glory won the Betfair Hurdle but he was a long way off being competitive in the Supreme and the third in Dusarts debut win is a 112 rated pig.
The confidence of people in here is putting me off getting stuck into Ajero, I’ll sleep on it...
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Soaring glory like many in the supreme was very keen and didn't run anywhere near his true level

Beating him on your racecourse debut with ease is a very good run

Definitely not backing him tomorrow after the injury but hoping for a good run
 
Really like for pleasure in the top novice, ground will suit, track will suit and if he was with a 'bigger' named trainer then he would be fav IMO. 2 and half lengths behind Ballyadam is the strongest form on offer currently..
 
The 3m trip should be right up BMGs street so I’d expect him to win tomorrow if I had to have one banker. Dusart is the exciting one though for tomorrows racing. He could be a superstar in waiting.

Hopefully a much better day than today for punting..
 
Very small e/w Yankee totaling 1.5 points

Wilde about Oscar - 15/2 - 4 places
The Big Breakaway - 13/2 - 3 places
Notebook - 7/1 - 3 places
Streetsofdoyen - 13/2 - 3 places
 
....bit of rain overnight and still in the air on this damp morning in Liverpool.
 
Sir Jack Yeats @ 25/1 EW with 7 places looks lovely to me. Loads of experience over the fences and a low weight are two massive ticks - barring accident I’d be surprised if he didn’t hit the frame
 
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FinalFurlong91 said:
Soaring glory like many in the supreme was very keen and didn't run anywhere near his true level

Beating him on your racecourse debut with ease
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I don’t disagree, any win on debut has to be positive but 2.5l getting 6lb and clear of only trees doesn’t scream top class at me.
I’ll be watching today closely, he really should be smashing this field as it looks one of the weakest G1s I can remember....
 
With For Pleasure and a line through Ballyadam, it might be worth factoring in that Ballyadam absolutely clattered 4 out in the Supreme ... he immediately lost 4 or 5 lengths and all momentum.
 
13.45 - I’ve loaded up on the front 6 in the betting as a shit or bust start to the day. It’s probably a flawed strategy but my plan is to double my money to have a healthier pot to focus on singles today after my failed multiples approach yesterday. So I’ve backed Mister Coffey, Monte Cristo, Wilde About Oscar, Solwara One, Toranador and Edwardstone. I think this may be a custard pie starter for me.

14.20: Dusart - I can’t see past Dusart for this, I’m just hoping he’s ready and doesn’t disappoint. If any other horse wins then a bit like some of the races yesterday the standard has dropped.

14.50 - Fiddlerontheroof and Shan Blue.....I’m hoping they can save their best until last beat a susceptible favourite. This looks a great race on paper even if it’s a Europa League match up with out the Irish.

15.25 - No selection as yet

16.00 - Carabean Boy and Precious Cargo.....Whilst my faith in my hero Henderson is wavering and eroding I’m not giving up on him just yet :anonymous:

16.35 - Bravemansgame and Galyhill. Just like the first race of the day I am expecting BMG to stuff the opposition here and if not I’ll be very disappointed

17.05 - no selections and I doubt I’ll have any money left :miserable:
 
Tough card today. Far more about finding EW value with generous place offers than finding winners IMO.

Top Novices Hurdle - For Pleasure @ 11/1, Do Your Job @ 20/1 EW
Mildmay Novices Chase - Sporting John @ 14/1 EW
Marsh Chase - Politilogue @ 3/1, Itchy Feet @ 20/1 EW
Topham - Modus @ 14/1, Visioman @ 9/1, Sir Jack Yeats @ 25/1 EW
Sefton - Streets Of Doyen @ 8/1 EW
Pinset Masons - The Widdow Maker @ 14/1EW

Politilogue needs to be fresh so missing Cheltenham will stand him in excellent stead here. I was expecting him to be nearer 5/4 than 3/1 - I think that's a superb price.

Politilogue & Dusart @ 10/1
Politilogue & TBB @ 33/1
 
Friday 13:45 Mister Coffee
14:20 Dusart, Any News
14:50 Shan Blue, Chantry House
15:25 Master Tommytucker
16:05 Livelovelaugh
16:40 Gallyhill
 
After a shocker of a day yesterday.... Going to take a back step and just enjoy watching most of the races

To have some betting interest I've stuck a 5pt single on Streets of Doyen, backed it at Chelts so will follow it here
​​​​
And have a trixie which spills on to tomorrow.... Dusart, chantry house and my drogo... 18/1

I was 0 out of 7 yesterday though so confidence is low
 
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charlie said:
Sir Jack Yeats @ 25/1 EW with 7 places looks lovely to me. Loads of experience over the fences and a low weight are two massive ticks - barring accident I’d be surprised if he didn’t hit the frame
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Agree here, I took the 33s with 6 places, even if he's out the handicap he takes too these fences and that's certainly half the battle!

I'm very keen on Leoncavallo today think he will run a big race should've backed last night at 10/1 but have to do with the 7s.

I'll be very disappointed if Dusart doesn't win that race even with his lack of experience if he's meant to be as good as thought he should be winning that doing cartwheels.

The novice chase looks fascinating I think I'm siding with Shan Blue, if he can get jumping from the front well like he can that'll help. Empire Steel is interesting considering he walloped Protektorat last time out, granted got to be taken with a pinch of salt but shame it's down to 2 places that race as he mightve been a good e/w option when it was an 8 runner field.
 
The times very much on the soft side of good to soft yesterday and they water it overnight as well as a tiny bit or rain, don't get that at all. Perfectly fine ground yday and if it dried out today bit i could half understand doing it this evening for Saturday but was there really any need?

I recall at Chelt once the meeting started they couldn't add water to the surface so i wonder why this festival is different?
 
I fancy Shan blue as well, would think course would suit, and the way it attacks fences should suit.
Just worried about a hard season it’s had.
 
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