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2026 Ultima Handicap

Reported that Hyland has worked today, and blinkers are going to be put on.
 
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Kauto’s star said:
Must have a right chance in this.
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He's my biggest winner in this, which wasn't massively by intention. Going to look to adjust position slightly after decs. Best form over shorter than 3 mile is the concern? And a 2 mile prep doesn't seem ideal.
 
Cant remember the poster but think someone put a stat up about the last 25 winners having the highest RPR in a 3m race that season. Wouldn't that rule out Quebecios
 
SeeYouThen said:
Cant remember the poster but think someone put a stat up about the last 25 winners having the highest RPR in a 3m race that season. Wouldn't that rule out Quebecios
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Also Jagwar, Iroko and Handstands.
 
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SeeYouThen said:
Cant remember the poster but think someone put a stat up about the last 25 winners having the highest RPR in a 3m race that season. Wouldn't that rule out Quebecios
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Does Myretown count at 2m7.5f?
 
SeeYouThen said:
Cant remember the poster but think someone put a stat up about the last 25 winners having the highest RPR in a 3m race that season. Wouldn't that rule out Quebecios
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Every winner this century best RPR was over at least 3m. Jagwar never been past 2m5 in his life!
 
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SeeYouThen said:
Yea there was a few winners of Ultima were the highest RPR at 2m7.5f was bracketed under 3m+. Obviously all stats can be broken but was interesting all the same.
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I always count the 2m7f as 3miles as so many courses use it as interchangeable. Maybe wrong but ….
 
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I think it's close enough that you should count it or you're just blindingly following a stat. Hard to think that extra furlong or half furlong would make that much difference over 3 miles.

When they're 2m 4f like a couple in here towards the head of the market it's more a concern
 
This is one of those races where I start ruling out horses and then a couple of hours later realise I've ruled out the entire field. Clearly those at the head of the weights will have one eye on Aintree (in fact the you have to go right down to horse number 8, Konfusion, to find the first horse who is not entered at Aintree). I think this year the horses to focus on might be in the 139-144 mark range - so Imperial Saint, Blow Your Wad, Hyland, Myretown, The Doyen Chief and Quebecois. They are all in the 7-9 years old age bracket that has produced 10 of the last 12 winners. As already mentioned on this thread, Quebecois best form is over shorter and he doesn't look as unexposed and well treated as Myretown did a year ago. Rule him out. Its a long time since Alan King won this with Bensalem, and The Doyen Chief comes here on a career-high mark, albeit in decent form. Might grab a place. Myretown is 15lbs higher than winning last year, and for all his yard's success in the race in recent years, its hard to be confident based on what he has shown so far this season. Hyland seems to have been progressing with each run this season and I like the fact that Henderson has kept him fresh for this and puts first time cheek pieces on. Player. Blow Your Wad ran too recentlly for me so that leaves Imperial Saint, who showed a very good attitude to win the Peter Marsh and is only raised 3lbs for that.

For what its worth, I saw AP say he thinks Iroko has the beating of Jagwar but my two against the field are Imperial Saint and Hyland.
 
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Mark Walsh picks up spare ride on Fav Jagwar in Ultima. Loving that!
 
Lobos said:
Mark Walsh picks up spare ride on Fav Jagwar in Ultima. Loving that!
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I think he could be worth a bet for leading jockey. No idea what price he is, I guess 2nd fav behind Townend
 
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Guys, on the RPR stat, who are the qualifiers?

I have it as Myretown, Imperial Saint and Konfusion, but I'm not sure I've used the right data set
 
robith said:
Guys, on the RPR stat, who are the qualifiers?

I have it as Myretown, Imperial Saint and Konfusion, but I'm not sure I've used the right data set
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Pretty sure spectre said hyland when doing the naiad also
 
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