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2023 Preview Evenings

RoadToCheltenham said:
The Jumps Show x Let's Talk Racing Cheltenham Preview - Josh, Andrew, Jake, Dan & Tom Bull. Think it's on from 9
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5 on the panel.. anyone wanna lay me all 5 to have their plain white bedrooms on display?

have a feeling it was Quevega who was displeased with LTRs plain bedrooms..

or at least sounds like something you’d say :applouse:

Spectre could lend the young lads a few shades of purple to spice their bedrooms up!
 
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HesTheOne said:
5 on the panel.. anyone wanna lay me all 5 to have their plain white bedrooms on display?

have a feeling it was Quevega who was displeased with LTRs plain bedrooms..

or at least sounds like something you’d say :applouse:

Spectre could lend the young lads a few shades of purple to spice their bedrooms up!
Click to expand...

Spectre 's was fantastic :welcoming:

Bayoffreedom also looked like he was living the absolute high life, beautiful.
 
Any previews likely to throw out free bets?
 
Hi, all. I have put up notes on the Donaghmore Preview Night. https://www.gaultstats.com/blog/donaghmore-preview-night-24th-feb-2023?categoryId=83346. Realise that some of this may be now dated but I can't see me making another one. David Casey always worth listening to but things tend to move quickly with two weeks to go. Have noted all the stuff on here. Thank you for your support and I'll try and fix the things that aren't right. You've all probably read the home page. The Samaritans do fine unpaid work and I'd ask you to consider a donation. As usual, I hope the tool is useful. I'm going Tues/Wed this year and can't wait. Good luck, B.
 
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Best of Luck to yourself too Brian , I was listening to a 'Podcast' you were on ., yesterday .
Good Listen . Interesting when you were talking about certain horses / races ...
Obviously ones where i was at the meeting too , brought back some great memories. .
The other guy with you was very keen to tell you about his Lucky 31 wasn't he ! .:smile-new:.
 
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Hosted by ITV's Rishi Persad, with guests including BetVictor's Sam Boswell, Jamie Snowden, Gavin Sheehan and Jim McGrath
 
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Gilly said:
If you want to have a look at last years results, be my guest :)

https://www.mediafire.com/file/zjs5a...+(1).xlsx/file
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This is ace thanks Gilly... Are you doing somehting similar for this year you would be willing to post (once complete?)

I just spent some time adding up the winning selections...Results below
PreviewTips MadeWinners% Correct
Matchbook
Sam Turner1318%
Matt Tombs14214%
Donn McClean15213%
Michael Deasy12217%
At The Races
Jamie Codd17318%
Kevin Blake19421%
Matt Chapman15320%
Racing Post
Paul Kealy22627%
David Jennings25936%
Tom Segal23730%
James Hill11327%
Off the Fence (ATR)
Barry Geraghty19316%
Tony Keenan20525%
Lets Talk Racing
Joshua Stacey27622%
Andrew Blair White28621%
Race Hour
David Mullins19737%
Mikey Fogarty19526%
Dan Overall19737%
Diarmuid Nolan21524%
Dean Ryan21629%
Paddy Power
Tony Mullins13646%
Lydia Hislop17424%
Ruby Walsh22732%
Frank Hickey1417%
Star Sports
Davy Russell11218%
Tattersalls
Richard Pugh9444%
Sporting Life Best Bets
Ben Linfoot400%
Matt Brocklebank5120%
Graham Cunningham5120%
Irish Racing com
Ed Quigley17212%
Vincent Finegan2428%
Stephen Harris17635%
Danny Mullins15533%
Betfair
Tony Calvin13215%
Kate Tracey13538%
Boylesports
Jack Kennedy6350%
Bryan Cooper9111%
Gordon Elliot11218%
Philip Enright7343%
Oddschecker
Andy Holding28621%
Rory Delargy23313%
William Hill
AP McCoy9222%
Andrew Thornton9333%
Ross Brierly7229%
Paddy Aspell6350%
Nick Luck8225%
Steven Powell4125%
Luke Elder400%
Leonna Mayor500%
Lycetts
Luke Harvey12542%
Simon Landale400%
Charlie Deutsch5120%
Ben Pauling7343%
Old Gold Racing
Paul Nicholls9333%
Jane Mangan17953%
Venetia Williams5240%
SBK
Jess Stafford24417%
Ross Millar2514%
James Millman23835%
Tom Collins25624%
Uppin the Ante
Gavin Lynch28725%
Gary O'Brien24521%
Pat Cooney25624%
GG.CO.UK
Daryl Carter16531%
Andrew Mount16213%
The Winners Enclosure
Frankie Foster11545%
Paul Callaghan10440%
Irish Examiner
Mick Fitzgerald16638%
London Racing Club
Ed Nicholson7343%
Mark Howard Cheltenham Preview
Mark Howard 21314%
​
 
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12dom89 That's a decent piece of work, thanks for posting.
Only thing that would make that better would be a ROI figure to a level stake, but overall it's great guide...
 
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Jane Mangan 'wins' at 53% which compared to all the others (is it a level playing field, probably not). Think about it though. You have one dart at each race. I'd be happy with anything in excess of 20%.

Looking at Mangan. She sensibly avoided for the most part, the handicaps. Plus she opted for State Man in the Pipe, who as we know went and demolished the County Hurdle field.
 
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Gilly said:
Apologies Spectre :highly_amused:​ I will this year :)
Click to expand...

I was only joking Gilly. I can't imagine we are worthy of inclusion in such an illustrious list of pros.

I do think there's a good chance we'd beat the majority of them though! :highly_amused:

It's interesting how poorly they all performed when you split out the handicaps. The successes are almost all in the graded races.

If anyone with good IT skills fancies splitting the handicaps out from the rest and posting the results of each I suspect it would make very interesting reading, and probably a better guide as to who to take notice of and for which races.

In addition to that, it would also be interesting to see how the value worked out by assuming sub 5/1 are win bets and 5/1+ are each way. Some of them may be tipping up good value that placed and aren't picked up in a simple winners table. In other words some may show as poor performers with their tips but the ROI based on each way bets may be greater than someone with a 40% result that was tipping short priced horses.

Of course people may not be interested in this at all, but I'd like to know who really performed, as opposed to those that tipped up favourites in the easier races.
 
HesTheOne said:
5 on the panel.. anyone wanna lay me all 5 to have their plain white bedrooms on display?

have a feeling it was Quevega who was displeased with LTRs plain bedrooms..

or at least sounds like something you’d say :applouse:

Spectre could lend the young lads a few shades of purple to spice their bedrooms up!
Click to expand...

My purple fez is the only thing I'm likely to become famous for.

When I see hoards of 20 somethings not wearing socks, but wearing purple fez's at the Festival I'll know I've made it. :highly_amused:
 
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Istabraq said:
12dom89 That's a decent piece of work, thanks for posting.
Only thing that would make that better would be a ROI figure to a level stake, but overall it's great guide...
Click to expand...

Not exactly sure i've done this correctly but does provide a good overview...

Had to ignore the fact the some people had multiple selections in each cell as it would be much harder to resolve!

Andrew mount is at the top mainly due to the selection of Chambard at 40s

Marie's Rock and Brazil for Ed Nicholson

Third wind at 25s for Steven Powell
PreviewTips MadeWinners% CorrectROI Based on 1pt per tip
Andrew Mount16213%28.25
Ed Nicholson7343%24.73
Steven Powell4125%22
Tony Keenan20525%17.5
James Hill11327%16.25
Matt Brocklebank5120%14
Jess Stafford24417%12.44
Jane Mangan17953%10.05
Kate Tracey13538%9.67
David Mullins19737%9.25
Tom Segal23730%4.37
Tony Mullins13646%3.93
Jack Kennedy6350%3.7
Paul Callaghan10440%2.82
Richard Pugh9444%2.8
Paddy Aspell6350%1.43
Luke Harvey12542%0.55
Andrew Thornton9333%0.32
Frankie Foster11545%0.12
Mick Fitzgerald16638%-0.08
Ben Pauling7343%-0.49
James Millman23835%-0.57
Nick Luck8225%-0.8
Graham Cunningham5120%-1.5
Venetia Williams5240%-1.7
Philip Enright7343%-1.79
Ruby Walsh22732%-1.95
Paul Nicholls9333%-2.2
Danny Mullins15533%-2.35
Stephen Harris17635%-2.56
Daryl Carter16531%-2.73
Dan Overall19737%-3.06
Ross Brierly7229%-3.07
Charlie Deutsch5120%-3.27
Gordon Elliot11218%-3.8
Ed Quigley17212%-3.8
Ben Linfoot400%-4
Luke Elder400%-4
Simon Landale400%-4
David Jennings25936%-4.08
AP McCoy9222%-4.18
Mikey Fogarty19526%-4.5
Leonna Mayor500%-5
Lydia Hislop17424%-6.95
Davy Russell11218%-7.07
Dean Ryan21629%-7.12
Bryan Cooper9111%-7.43
Gavin Lynch28725%-7.97
Michael Deasy12217%-8.07
Donn McClean15213%-8.27
Matt Chapman15320%-8.49
Diarmuid Nolan21524%-8.5
Tom Collins25624%-8.69
Jamie Codd17318%-8.7
Kevin Blake19421%-8.7
Pat Cooney25624%-8.83
Paul Kealy22627%-9.31
Tony Calvin13215%-9.99
Matt Tombs14214%-10.07
Sam Turner1318%-10.5
Mark Howard 21314%-10.75
Gary O'Brien24521%-11.2
Andy Holding28621%-11.36
Frank Hickey1417%-12.27
Rory Delargy23313%-12.77
Joshua Stacey27622%-13.28
Andrew Blair White28621%-13.47
Barry Geraghty19316%-14.26
Vincent Finegan2428%-18.93
Ross Millar2514%-22
​
 
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12dom89 very interesting!!

Some surprising results there

Almost 3 out of 4 fail to make a profit with their selections
 
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