2016 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase

[mayo]

Love the way statto throws up one of his stats and Ben ignores it :highly_amused:

 

[Old Vic]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Out Sam up to 36th on list for Ultima</p>— Nick Robson (@ValueRacingPlus) <a href="https://twitter.com/ValueRacingPlus/status/707550703640846336">March 9, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[Old Vic]

 

[mayo]

1 F-P121 Sausalito Sunrise24 8 11-12 Philip Hobbs100 163 124 162
2 783P-2 Wonderful Charm95 8 11-7 Paul Nicholls 158 122 172
3 1535PP Ballynagour31 10 11-6 David Pipe50 157 123 169
4 F0174 Shanahan´s Turn136 8 11-2 Henry De Bromhead 153 147 166
7 43-54P Holywell45 9 11-2 Jonjo O´Neill100 153 141 177
5 31P-15 Blood Cotil58 7 11-2 W P Mullins 153 138 166
6 42155P Irish Cavalier45 7 11-2 Rebecca Curtis 153 141 173
8 115-51 Carole´s Destrier101 8 11-0 Neil Mulholland 151 104 168
10 212-34 Southfield Theatre101 8 10-13 Paul Nicholls 150 118 154
9 116-0P Kings Palace17 8 10-13 David Pipe50 150 119 151
12 3/3-22 Morning Assembly31 9 10-13 P A Fahy 150 129 160
13 0-2459 Double Ross45 10 10-13 Nigel Twiston-Davies100 150 143 175
11 R-3231 Theatre Guide17 9 10-13 Colin Tizzard 150 151 169
14 8-8031 Unioniste26 8 10-12 Paul Nicholls 149 145 171
15 7-2U46 The Young Master45 7 10-12 Neil Mulholland Mr S Waley-Cohen3 149 126 171
16 6-1040 Bear´s Affair95 10 10-11 Nicky Henderson 148 131 169
18 3-1224 Un Temps Pour Tout45 7 10-11 David Pipe50 148 142 166
17 0/72-1 Kruzhlinin66 9 10-11 Philip Hobbs100 148 139 170
19 8-3309 Fox Appeal17 9 10-10 Emma Lavelle 147 143 174
20 30/P-P Katenko87 10 10-10 Venetia Williams 147 — —
21 04280 Spring Heeled79 9 10-9 J H Culloty 146 140 170
22 35113 Katkeau38 9 10-8 David Pipe50 145 82 168
23 1-214F Knock House38 7 10-7 Mick Channon Brian Hughes 144 127 172
24 1-3321 Beg To Differ25 6 10-6 Jonjo O´Neill100 143 126 169

all in
-----------------------------

these four will get in imo

25 18-005 Cause Of Causes23 8 10-5 Gordon Elliott 142 138 159
26 P15544 The Job Is Right54 8 10-5 Michael Hourigan 142 106 166
27 9-421 Midnight Prayer30 11 10-5 Alan King 142 92 166
28 53F1PP Regal Encore45 8 10-5 Anthony Honeyball 142 128 148

and probably

29 1/9221 Doctor Harper49 8 10-4 David Pipe50 141 135 171
30 24332 Fingal Bay30 10 10-4 Philip Hobbs100 141 141 174


gets tighter for this lot ?

31 1-1646 Salubrious45 9 10-3 Paul Nicholls 140 131 169
32 P3118 Ziga Boy17 7 10-3 Alan King 140 142 170
33 6-121U Thomas Brown17 7 10-3 Harry Fry 140 126 172

35 7-2UFP Algernon Pazham52 7 10-2 Nigel Twiston-Davies100 139 139 170
36 F-6311 Out Sam31 7 10-2 Warren Greatrex 139 131 179
34 0-212P Upswing66 8 10-2 Jonjo O´Neill100 139 139 169

38 2U-886 Monetaire109 10 10-1 David Pipe50 138 127 160
39 1-5392 A Good Skin32 7 10-1 Tom George 138 135 170
37 P2-U11 Silvergrove32 8 10-1 Ben Pauling 138 123 168

40 22314 Alternatif74 6 10-0 David Pipe50 137 131 173
41 P1P-2P O Maonlai87 8 10-0 Tom George 137 107 171

42 1241F Golden Chieftain30 11 9-12 Colin Tizzard 135 144 171
43 1114P4 Ballykan17 6 9-12 Nigel Twiston-Davies100 135 148 168
44 426B24 Pass The Hat45 9 9-12 A L T Moore 135 128 169
45 924U51 Ericht17 10 9-12 Nicky Henderson 135 139 170
46 231123 Quite By Chance13 7 9-11 Colin Tizzard 134 151 168
48 711383 Standing Ovation142 9 9-11 David Pipe50 134 149 165
49 4P-4P5 Indian Castle74 8 9-11 Ian Williams100 134 131 149
47 28-03P Doing Fine129 8 9-11 Rebecca Curtis 134 107 165
50 4-0753 Band Of Blood10 8 9-9 Dr Richard Newland 132 142 164
51 264P0 Audacious Plan17 7 9-8 Rebecca Curtis 131 119 161
52 P2078 According To Trev16 10 9-8 David Bridgwater 131 111 154
53 4-1123 Waldorf Salad24 8 9-8 Venetia Williams 131 147 167
54 21F32 Smooth Stepper17 7 9-7 Sue Smith33 130 136 163
55 512P3P Wizards Bridge18 7 9-6 Colin Tizzard 129 131 164
56 15442 Saroque18 9 9-5 Venetia Williams 128 130 164
57 2US5P Shangani30 10 9-1 Venetia Williams 124

 

[benkneale03]

I'm beginning to think it's no wonder Minella Rocco's participation in this was totally disregarded as soon as it was left on the same mark for his last run.

As i've said, I like Upswing but what do we make of Regal Encore still entered up? If this lines up it reeks.

Last year was his first year out of novice hurdles. he was quiet with just 2 runs before xmas - 2 and 2.5 miles showing little. Early feb he made his step up to 23f and hacked up off 131 to get him in the pertemps where he ran a solid 7th. It's now obvious that they knew he was a 3 miler.

This year he's novice chasing but is another stepped into open company. He's had 6 chases already so he's very experienced but he still hasn't been past 21f :highly_amused:

The other interesting point is that his form is largely average bar one run.......... when he hacked up at Plumpton of all places :highly_amused:

Gerraghty has been on for all runs this season which maybe a co-incidence but also probably unusual for one of this calibre. Lastly, bar his chase debut he's always turned up when fresh with form of 122441 when absent for 60 days+.

Very interesting if turning up here and not the shorter trip in the brown plate.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Can't argue with any of that Ben - he's the JP runner that I like.

 

[Lessey]

I can't remember where I saw or read it but someone was talking up regal encore as a good thing wherever he runs, has been plotted for a handicap at the festival!

 

[Deleted member 4957]

I'm looking to get with Holywell but as he's so ground dependent I'll be waiting until I've dug my heel into a chunk of Prestbury Park before parting with my cash, good to soft he will run a massive race, soft and he's as good as a NR

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Ista - He finished a good 4th in last seasons Gold Cup when the going turned soft. Although good ground would be a big +

I have have him as the most likely winner of this too. I watched his 2014 win of this race last night and the holywell and Ma Fieulle pulled clear of the field. He'll have 8lb more on this occasion but I don't think that will stop him.

 

[mayo]

Id much prefer Cause of Causes to Regal Encore if he ran here.

McManus horses get overbet in handicaps

In the last decade before retirement McCoy rode just 4 handicap winners at the festival for his boss.

2006 Cheltenham Club Novices' H'cap Chase Reveillez James Fanshawe A P McCoy
2009 Ultima Handicap Chase Wichita Lineman Jonjo O'Neill A P McCoy
2012 Vincent O'Brien County H'cap Hurdle Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy
2013 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy

 

[Deleted member 4957]

FM - a horse who would have gone very close on good ground in last years Gold Cup had it not rained can get into this with 11st 2lb ?
And, if I'm not mistaken, he had the added handicap of having to carry Richie McLernon round lol

 

[Deleted member 4957]

Id much prefer Cause of Causes to Regal Encore if he ran here.


In the last decade before retirement McCoy rode just 4 handicap winners at the festival for his boss.

2009 Ultima Handicap Chase Wichita Lineman Jonjo O'Neill A P McCoy

One of the most painful Cheltenham memories for me that, had my conkers on Maljimar, backed him at 33s and all the way down to 14s to pay off the mortgage, jumped the last 3l clear and Daryl Jacob just couldn't hang on.
If on one side of my gravestone they write a list of biggest disappointments this will be on there....

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

FM - a horse who would have gone very close on good ground in last years Gold Cup had it not rained can get into this with 11st 2lb ?
And, if I'm not mistaken, he had the added handicap of having to carry Richie McLernon round lol

:encouragement: but who'll be riding him this year?

 

[Cashew King]

Fingers crossed that Doctor Harper & Fingal Bay get in - Believe Pipe is desperate to get The Doctor in this, running it over 2 miles all year but winning hurdle form all over longer including 3 miles at Aintree last year & Fingals fourth in the Hennessey doesn't look bad & he's been dropped a couple of pounds since then too.

 

[benkneale03]

Id much prefer Cause of Causes to Regal Encore if he ran here.

McManus horses get overbet in handicaps

In the last decade before retirement McCoy rode just 4 handicap winners at the festival for his boss.

2006 Cheltenham Club Novices' H'cap Chase Reveillez James Fanshawe A P McCoy
2009 Ultima Handicap Chase Wichita Lineman Jonjo O'Neill A P McCoy
2012 Vincent O'Brien County H'cap Hurdle Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy
2013 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy

Is cause of causes not nailed on kim Muir? Sure Elliot has been saying Jamie Codd has been riding and he'd love to get it in that race as ''he's pulling his arms out''

 

[Cashew King]

Sausalito Sunrise & Unioniste both declared for Kelso onSunday - so 2 out of the first 24 not likely to run here !

 

[mayo]

Is cause of causes not nailed on kim Muir? Sure Elliot has been saying Jamie Codd has been riding and he'd love to get it in that race as ''he's pulling his arms out''

But near bottom weight in Ultima and won on that course last year. They would have cause to switch if minded.

 

[Old Vic]

Id much prefer Cause of Causes to Regal Encore if he ran here.

McManus horses get overbet in handicaps

In the last decade before retirement McCoy rode just 4 handicap winners at the festival for his boss.

2006 Cheltenham Club Novices' H'cap Chase Reveillez James Fanshawe A P McCoy
2009 Ultima Handicap Chase Wichita Lineman Jonjo O'Neill A P McCoy
2012 Vincent O'Brien County H'cap Hurdle Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy
2013 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Alderwood Tom Mullins IRE A P McCoy

alternative view

Follow Geraghty when market vibes are good

If you want a jockey to follow at The Festival look no further than Barry Geraghty. His rides since 2000 show a €1.28 level-stake profit of €28.20 (33 winners from 235 rides, 14 per cent), and this will be his first Festival as retained rider for JP McManus, who has averaged three winners per meeting since 2012. Overall Geraghty's handicap mounts have returned a €12.88 loss (seven wins from 83 rides), but ruling out those at 14-1 or bigger cuts the sample to 49 rides and converts the loss to a £29.63 profit. Should any of Geraghty's mounts for McManus in handicaps attract strong market support it could pay to follow the money.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Holywell taken out of the Gold Cup:triumphant:

 

[Yeehaa]

Holywell taken out of the Gold Cup:triumphant:

Yep Richie rides.

Dickie sweet on Khuzlinn at Sandown, Fingal Bay to Plate then. Nice double.