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2015 Aintree 3 mile handicap hurdle

  • Thread starter Thread starter Sefton
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Sefton

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FORMHORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
2696-2 Alaivan60 9Jonjo O´Neill 13262131
13312Alternatif42 5David Pipe 132110134
16P6P American Spin62 11Luke Dace 1315566
4315P Apache Jack29 7Ms Sandra Hughes — 73141
412135Aqalim28 5John Ferguson 135127135
13P227 Bear´s Affair29 9Nicky Henderson 151125154
973596Bell Weir54 7Dianne Sayer 11891126
41-136 Brother Brian28 7Hughie Morrison 144133148
1-1514 Buywise28 8Evan Williams 14086132
714110Bygones Sovereign28 9David Pipe 137117137
21-411 Call The Cops28 6Nicky Henderson 145138145
4-2U50 Clondaw Kaempfer29 7Donald McCain 145114145
2250/3 Crack Away Jack34 11Emma Lavelle 135110124
224110Dawalan28 5Nicky Henderson 150127150
411-13 Dawn Commander165 8Stuart Edmunds 14290139
32-040 Edeymi28 7A J Martin — 94137
2F432 Fairytale Theatre33 8Dan Skelton 13096129
21-310 Forthefunofit27 6Jonjo O´Neill 13384131
66-351 Golden Milan14 7Rebecca Curtis 12340118
6B6112 Greybougg11 6Nigel Hawke 12879131
F-2206 Hammersly Lake29 7Nicky Henderson 143108145
P2F/21 I Shot The Sheriff23 8A J Martin — 97135
807118Join The Clan28 6Jonjo O´Neill 139121141
80661Katgary14 5Paul Nicholls 137114139
15P20 Katkeau28 8David Pipe 137109136
18-P24 Kayf Moss46 7John Flint 143105144
P-11FU Kaysersberg98 8Warren Greatrex 142112141
1-4349 Lac Fontana29 6Paul Nicholls 149104149
95134Land Of Vic54 7Peter Bowen 142117142
F1-737 Le Mercurey27 5Paul Nicholls 143113141
151340Marinero29 6A J Martin — 100138
305411Master Malt32 7Jonjo O´Neill 136124138
P-8241 Milan Bound50 7Jonjo O´Neill 132126132
551123Mydor26 5A J Martin — 118135
8403P- Native Gallery439 10Ben De Haan 132— —
421124Parish Business117 7Emma Lavelle 138111134
8-5361 Rally20 6Nigel Twiston-Davies 124112126
84017Regal Encore28 7Anthony Honeyball 137123132
317811Rolling Maul10 7Peter Bowen 13077137
2U3322 Serienschock34 7David Pipe 140131138
41110Shanroe Santos27 6Lucy Wadham 13573130
8-1850 Spirit Of Shankly28 7Charlie Longsdon 136100139
211144Taglietelle29 6Gordon Elliott — 85145
212133The Tourard Man28 9Alan King 139132139
11-115 Ulzana´s Raid98 6Alan King 147108147
4/1512 Unique De Cotte28 7David Pipe 141133140
26-322 Western Jo19 7Philip Hobbs 131124133
P-11P0 What A Warrior30 8Dan Skelton 134-1—
1514P2 Wicked Spice26 6Nicky Richards 125101125
216441Wizards Bridge24 6Colin Tizzard 123118123
4-2232 Yala Enki26 5Venetia Williams 12864125
11133Zeroeshadesofgrey75 6Neil King 141116141

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aintree pertemps
Six of the last nine runnings have gone the way of a novice so, in common with the 2m4f handicap at this fixture, this race has proved a happy hunting ground for first-season hurdlers. The four successful novices who won between 2006 and 2009 were all were stepping up in trip. The best novice guide has been the EBF Final at Sandown, a novice handicap that always contains a clutch of highly promising looking chasers in the making and provided the winner three years running from 2007 and 2009 plus last year’s winner, Doctor Harper.

Fourteen of the 27 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival and this is effectively the Aintree equivalent race of the Pertemps Network Final (minus the 20 qualifying races) so it is no surprise to see that handicap at Cheltenham have a bearing with six winners here having run in that Final since 1988. Five of the last seven winners of that Final also lined up here with Cape Tribulation completing the double in 2012 but only one other winner of the Final has placed since Freetown in 2002. It is worth noting that although the Pertemps Final is the more valuable of the two races, that contest only has Listed status whereas this race was raised to Grade 3 level in 2010 so it should theoretically be the stronger of the two handicaps.

Six of the last nine runnings have gone the way of a novice so this race has proved a happy hunting ground for first-season hurdlers.

Only five of the 27 winners had been successful last time out but that includes four of the last ten. Prior to Battle Group’s win two years ago, the previous nine winners all arrived here with a win earlier in the season behind them as had 18 in all. Only one of the last 17 winners had not run at least four times earlier in the season. As many as ten winners had run over fences earlier in the season, three of which on their last start. That’s a pretty good strike rate in 26 years, especially given how well novice hurdlers have performed as, generally speaking, very few of those will have been chasing at some point in their career.

Eight of the last 11 winners were officially rated in the very narrow band of between 128 and 131 inclusive. This is a better race than it used to be so this trend may become less relevant. There were no qualifiers in 2009 and just one each in 2011 and 2012 for example. Just two five-year-olds have won in 26 runnings. The only five-year-olds to win this handicap were Escartefigue (who was better at Aintree than anywhere else) and Time For Rupert and both went on to make top-notch chasers.

Jonjo O'Neill is best known for his stayers and he has won this race four times in the last 13 years, twice with novices, so it is surprising that he has ran just one horse in the last four years. The Irish have won this handicap just twice, and not since Ross Moff in 2002. Mouse Morris saddled the first Irish winner, What A Question, and has had three others placed, but hasn't had a runner in any of the last ten years.

Three successive favourites obliged before Time For Rupert won at 50/1, the race's biggest-priced winner, and it was the gambled-on Battle Group that gave favourites another victory two years ago, albeit the co-favourite of three at 8/1 leading home another co-favourite in second. Three favourites went in during the 1990s and six in total have finished second so it has been relatively punter friendly given how competitive it is.

http://www.attheraces.com/national/article.aspx?hlid=552563&raceid=866998&day=1
 
two fancies

Hammersly Lake - BJGs blog and his earlier faith and Master Malt. Jonjo has good record and gets in near bottom of weights.
 
Oh yes there is a thread, just posted elsewhere that I quite fancy Lac Fontana to run well in this with the boy Bowen in great form for Paul Nicholls lately and available at 16/1 with quarter odds first 4
 
MrMcGoldrick said:
Oh yes there is a thread, just posted elsewhere that I quite fancy Lac Fontana to run well in this with the boy Bowen in great form for Paul Nicholls lately and available at 16/1 with quarter odds first 4
Click to expand...

some value options away from the g1s.

That 5lbs claim is valuable.
 
mayo said:
some value options away from the g1s.

That 5lbs claim is valuable.
Click to expand...

Absolutely, I reckon Sean Bowen is a match for anyone at the moment, the 5lbs claim is a huge bonus
 
Gordon Elliott's for me. He travelled brilliantly in the coral cup and the step up in trip should be ideal.
 
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