Still struggling to form a strong opinion on the big one. Not surprising I suppose as there are easier races literally every day to find the winner of... but my position so far:
Ante post
1 pt - 50/1 - Tiger Roll
0/5 pts e/w 50/1 - The Young Master (5 places)
Today I've added
Maggio 6 places - 100/1 0.5 pts e/w
Maggio needs a little explaining but I have heard him mentioned positivly on a podcast which comforts me a bit :highly_amused: - April 2016 he won at Aintree over 3m1f on soft ground at 50/1. Was the mildmay course but 100/1 seems a fair price. Nick Schofield was going to ride but has gone for Vicente instead so Brendan Powell takes the ride. That can't be a positive but he's 100/1 and I've had a flyer.
Bless the Wings - see below, added during the post
A few thoughts on some while I watch Juve come back against Real Madrid...
Total Recall - For some reason I haven't warmed to this horse all season, but can't find any reason other than him racing a bit freely to not fancy him. Well, that and his price.
Minella Rocco - I see he's 20/1, 6 places - I keep thinking he can't jump well enough AND he won';t like the ground AND he's not shown any good form..... and as soon as I am ready to rule him out, I think that he's beaten Native River twice and Native River would be clear fav for this race.
Blaklion - I don't think the winner of this race would be the horse he appeared not to see out the trip last year on more testing ground. The way he stopped last time out doesn't bother me in terms of him "recovering" but he isn't the dour stayer I once had him begged as. I don't like the horse either. Doesn't affect his chance but I won't be backing him.
Anibale Fly - I do like this horse, I had him each way at 36s e/w in the GC and that run and I hope he runs well for MoM who has the double with Patrick Reed - but his price is well and truly found and he doesn't make appeal at the current price IMO.
Baie Des Iles - This seems to be where all the "smart money" has been going. Didn't back at 25s so don't want to at 16s now. Would be a complete "trend buster" ... which I'd like to see... and I actually think I might tip this horse to all the once a year punters that contact me and all the work colleagues who want one.... you can't go wrong with a white horse, in pink, ridden by Katie Walsh!
Seeyouatmidnight - Like this horse, on the shortlist for sure but I can't say he's too big a price at 16s really, when its still 11/1 the field
The Last Samuri and Ucello Conti - both strong place claims but I Don't think either will be winning the race. Both too highly tried.
I Just Know - Quite high on my shortlist too at this stage for Sue Smith. Fits a lot of the trends, likeable connections and decent form in the book. Can see me adding this.
Skipping quite a few now but going to add another...Bless The Wings 66/1 - 6 places
Nothing original about this, purely feel like 66/1 is too big for Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy. CLEARLY wouldn't be sending the horse here with no chance when he's trying to pick up every single pot in Ireland, and I think that has been missed in the market. Obviously the horse is too old to win and all that, but I think he's the type to run really well.
