Cheltenham 2018 Ante post bets

[Sirbetalot]

My bets

Sceau Royal - Arkle ew @33s and win @6s
Yanworth-Stayers ew @ 7s
Cracking Smart- AB ew @ 6s
Peregine Run - Close Brothers @ 16s
Ballotin - Brown Advisory - @ 25s

Treble
UDS - Ryanair 9/4
Monalee - RSA 4/1
Apples Shakira - Triumph 5/2

Not too much, avoiding handicaps this year until the week at least

Sorry Luis guess you have not heard the news... CS is out with a setback...

 

[Kevloaf]

A bet on Don't Touch It in the Grand Annual takes my 2018 bets to....

1001 pts staked :triumphant: (525 bets)
167 pts confirmed non runners which is 16.68 % of my bets. (Crept up from 14.49%)

1013 pts staked
180 pts non runners... 17.78 %

Cracking Smart and I'd missed Coney Island

 

[Sirbetalot]

1013 pts staked
180 pts non runners... 17.78 %

Cracking Smart and I'd missed Coney Island

Hi Kev, maybe a stupid question but how many winners roughly do you need before you break even?

 

[Kevloaf]

Hi Kev, maybe a stupid question but how many winners roughly do you need before you break even?

Would depend on whether I can pick which ones win... :highly_amused: - I think 3 would be the minimum ....

 

[Sirbetalot]

Would depend on whether I can pick which ones win... :highly_amused: - I think 3 would be the minimum ....

Only 3 wow I am sure you will have many more, you should do as you have half the horses running at cheltenham.. GL hope you take the bookies to the cleaners..

Ps

Does that include the handicaps or just the graded races?

 

[Kevloaf]

Only 3 wow I am sure you will have many more, you should do as you have half the horses running at cheltenham.. GL hope you take the bookies to the cleaners..

Ps

Does that include the handicaps or just the graded races?

That is only if I get to pick the 3... as I know I'd return double my stake so far on BVD COC Our Duke

2015 I had 2/10 handicap winners
2016 I had 3/10
2017 I had 4/10

Hopefully 5/10 this year

 

[Old Vic]

Previous Form Multiple

Special Tiara 6331 at previous festivals
unwimh 13 at festival
un de sceaux 121 at festival
Minella Rocco 12
Bouveril 223


50p ew L31 pays c£185k

 

[BigChaang]

Previous Form Multiple

Special Tiara 6331 at previous festivals
unwimh 13 at festival
un de sceaux 121 at festival
Minella Rocco 12
Bouveril 223


50p ew L31 pays c£185k

Now that would be nice O.V, Good luck.:triumphant:

 

[luisgarciaisgod]

Sorry Luis guess you have not heard the news... CS is out with a setback...

Yeah literally about 30seconds after I posted, been topping up on him ever since PP went NRNB so I suppose it's not all bad but it's literally back to the drawing board

 

[Kevloaf]

Only 3 wow I am sure you will have many more, you should do as you have half the horses running at cheltenham.. GL hope you take the bookies to the cleaners..

Ps

Does that include the handicaps or just the graded races?

At the moment with 1033 pts staked, I need a return of 37 pts on average for the 28 races during the week... to break even.

I suppose that is what I'll be working towards if I lay anything off etc.

 

[Sirbetalot]

At the moment with 1033 pts staked, I need a return of 37 pts on average for the 28 races during the week... to break even.

I suppose that is what I'll be working towards if I lay anything off etc.

I guess a few races will be worth a lot more than 37pts, like you said CoC, our duke and so on.. does that include multi bets..

What do you honestly think will be:

A baddish return..

A good return

An amazing return

& do you have a dream bet running?

I know you have put so much time & effort into this so hopefully it will be an amazing return..

Well done & also I am glad your here to give tips & advise even if I do not agree with all of them, but your never rude about others selection nor pushy on your selection..

And no I have not got a man crush

 

[Kevloaf]

I guess a few races will be worth a lot more than 37pts, like you said CoC, our duke and so on.. does that include multi bets..

What do you honestly think will be:

A baddish return..

A good return

An amazing return

& do you have a dream bet running?

I know you have put so much time & effort into this so hopefully it will be an amazing return..

Well done & also I am glad your here to give tips & advise even if I do not agree with all of them, but your never rude about others selection nor pushy on your selection..

And no I have not got a man crush

No doesn't include any multiples... I treat multiples as the icing on the cake.... sometimes if I'm waiting on a final leg for X amount of points I might back something else but overall I tend to keep them seperate. (Like last year I was waiting on 200+ pts for Yorkhill so did have a few pts on the outsiders.)

A bad return would be less than I've staked. Has never happened before so if I does I will consider that bad (sounds obvious)

A good return and amazing return I suppose are my return on investment. If I make 10% or more I'd consider that good.... Great would be about 50% ... to be honest if I got my stake back, that is quite a significant amount of money back in my bank account that is not there right now... and I've got a honeymoon to Florida to pay for this year :highly_amused:

Dream bet - I've got a few for 5 figure sums still, so probably a little below "dream" category but that isn't really my way. I will have maybe only 2 or 3 bets that pay 6 figures...

..and thank-you, kind words indeed.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Slightly off topic but I'd highly recommend watching the first 30 mins of today's Luck on Sunday.

Neil Channing taking about his gambling. It's fascinating.

 

[BigChaang]

Does Anyone Know when the next declaration stage is for any of the races at the Festival ?? . thanks.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Does Anyone Know when the next declaration stage is for any of the races at the Festival ?? . thanks.

5 (or 6) day decs are next. Starting middle of this week.

 

[archie]

6 day confirmation stage and 48 hour declaration.

 

[BigChaang]

Thankyou , Faugheen and Archie .

 

[Geordieboy83]

Absolutely gutted, had a ticket on bet365 for £400+ for cap soliel in mares novice race. Which disappeared from my bets, phoned them just now and it got cashed out for £27 on 2nd Feb! A genuine 10/1 shot! I did cash out a few but wouldn’t of cashed that out. Obviously I must of as there is a cashout taken. I know it may not win but will be a real kick in pods if flies home

 

[Sirbetalot]

Absolutely gutted, had a ticket on bet365 for £400+ for cap soliel in mares novice race. Which disappeared from my bets, phoned them just now and it got cashed out for £27 on 2nd Feb! A genuine 10/1 shot! I did cash out a few but wouldn’t of cashed that out. Obviously I must of as there is a cashout taken. I know it may not win but will be a real kick in pods if flies home

Go and put the £27 at 16/1 that's over £400... betfair exchanges

 

[Geordieboy83]

Go and put the £27 at 16/1 that's over £400... betfair exchanges

yeah that’s an option but just annoyed, I suppose that will be a lesson learned and maybe why drinking and gambling not advised