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FJ Day One Festival Yankee - Manager Leman14

  • Thread starter Thread starter Deleted member 4957
  • Start date Start date
Thanks Ista :) no pressure !?!?

So... 4 choices from the following

Supreme Novices
Arkle
Ultima Handicap Chase
Champion Hurdle
Mares Hurdle
4-Miler
Close Brothers Novice Chase

Given that we are doing Win Yankees, I will avoid The Arkle (due to Altiors dominance), so suggestions for the other 6 are welcome :)
 
Got the without Altior market that we could look at.

Also, been through and looked at all last years and general concensus seemed to be each way... I am happy with either.
 
Good luck Leman - I'll get my thinking cap on.
 
I'm very ken on Mall Dini in the 3m chase if he gets confirmed for this.....
 
Istabraq said:
I'm very ken on Mall Dini in the 3m chase if he gets confirmed for this.....
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Certainly one already on the short-list
Course/festival form, Davy R is the saddle and aimed at this all season. (Or so it would seem)
 
Kevloaf said:
Got the without Altior market that we could look at.

Also, been through and looked at all last years and general concensus seemed to be each way... I am happy with either.
Click to expand...

Good point Kev...
Just had a quick look myself and EW value is the way forward. :)
 
Hey guys, been following for a while but first comment. I have done a lot of ante post bets but have left out a lot of the handicaps. On something like Mall Dini would you be betting now at 12s or with WH insurance at 10s or do you think price would relatively hold when declared?
 
Day One used to be a terrible yankee day as the Mullins domination led to a number of Tuesday shorties, not the case this year thankfully.

Horseflyuk - I know a very good judge who says the worst time to bet is when the NRNB kicks in, all the prices shorten too much.
I remember Minella Rocco was 5/1 fav for the 4 miler last year a week before the race, was available at 10/1 on the day before an SP of 8/1.
If Mall Dini gets confirmed for the 3m handicap I suspect he'll be trimmed to around 7/1 which I expect will hold right to the off and prices on the day may well be a little bigger, so no I don't see him being double figures but the bookie reaction to his confirmed target will probably be too aggressive...
 
Istabraq said:
Day One used to be a terrible yankee day as the Mullins domination led to a number of Tuesday shorties, not the case this year thankfully.

Horseflyuk - I know a very good judge who says the worst time to bet is when the NRNB kicks in, all the prices shorten too much.
I remember Minella Rocco was 5/1 fav for the 4 miler last year a week before the race, was available at 10/1 on the day before an SP of 8/1.
If Mall Dini gets confirmed for the 3m handicap I suspect he'll be trimmed to around 7/1 which I expect will hold right to the off and prices on the day may well be a little bigger, so no I don't see him being double figures but the bookie reaction to his confirmed target will probably be too aggressive...
Click to expand...

Agree with the point re nrnb.

I'll throw Bunk Off Early into the mix for the Supreme.
 
Anyone else fancy Genieinabottle for the 4 miler?
 
A lot of confidence growing over this horse Ryan, I think it could give us a great start.
 
I'd be against Genieinabottle on age along, May 26th foal will be 10 weeks shy of his 6th birthday on raceday and for an Irish bred I don't see him winning, French bred (where they jump hurdles at 2 and fences at 3) then yes every chance, but stamina everything here and I'll be focussing on the older horses...
 
Fair enough Ista, as you say Mon Brav the money has come. A mate of mines got a voucher at 16s
 
For the 4 miler we need to wait until the jockey bookings look set in stone. We can narrow that field down to 5/6 possible winners and work from there.

Charbel without Altior looks really solid to me! Worry that he'd set the race up for others who are ridden to place, but got the best form behind Altior of any 2m novice chaser?
 
Mall Dini seems to have a lot of love on this forum and tbh, given the way they have run him, you'd think he's due a big run at a nice weight so assuming he runs on the Tuesday I too would throw him in to the mix.

One horse for the 4 miler that seems to have had less talk about him recently is Champers On Ice, again, assuming, like many of these horses that he actually turns up for this race. Jockey bookings seem to be a big deal and as we don't have to commit to a final 4 horses until the Sunday I'd like to suggest him, pending jockey booking.

With regards to the Mares Hurdle, we will know more on Wednesday after the race at Punchestown, but I do believe Willie will be winning this, so for me it boils down to Limini or VVM.

These are just my suggestions :)
 
I am keeping an eye on Romain De Senam in the Close Brothers and I've got a bit of a soft spot for Poker School ... not seen this race mentioned much yet.
 
Double W's is my horse for the novice handicap. Definite runner too.
 
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