June ‘23; The Roger ‘Diamond Geezer’ Hunter Yankee

[HesTheOne]

….ha, ha. Banbridge certainly accounted for Stage Star at Aintree & SAF also came up short.

Outside of this yankee, i do like Banbridge as an option for the Ryanair. The ground dependency is one thing holding me back.. maybe it’s not such a big factor

 

[Eggs]

Outside of this yankee, i do like Banbridge as an option for the Ryanair. The ground dependency is one thing holding me back.. maybe it’s not such a big factor

…I do too. It might come with some risk of him turning up but the 16-1 on offer is very decent.

 

[Ice]

…I do too. It might come with some risk of him turning up but the 16-1 on offer is very decent.

The risk of him not turning up is more than fairly factored into his price, totally agree 16/1 is decent.

 

[Deleted member 4957]

I know the numbers back up the chances of Gaelic Warrior but there has to be value down the list in the form of Shoot First and Good Time Jonny.
Shoot First was a short price for the Pertemps before he got injured and was being talked up for the Stayers by plenty.
Good Time Jonny put clear daylight between himself and the field in his Pertemps win and could easily be another late developer with further improvement to come.
I’ve backed them both already, 50s and 33s, but at 33s and 25s they’re both still plenty big enough, may be worth considering with the pair very likely to head for the Stayers…

 

[BigChaang]

Outside of this yankee, i do like Banbridge as an option for the Ryanair. The ground dependency is one thing holding me back.. maybe it’s not such a big factor

Got burnt by Banbridge this year - Non Runner .... :sour: .. But already snaffled the early prices for the Ryanair chs. :untroubled: .:highly_amused: .

 

[Odin]

Shoot First was a short price for the Pertemps before he got injured and was being talked up for the Stayers by plenty.

Given his mark and his trainer, would Shoot First not be more likely to jig jog around a Pertemps qualifier and go back there for the plot to be completed? I suspect this is a less of a risk for Good Time Jonny given he won the Pertemps last year and his mark reflects that

 

[Spectre]

…admit to skimming past Maskada nortonscoin200, be interested to know what Saxon Warrior thinks of her given how much he likes Dinoblue who finished 2nd in the Grand Annual.

I've got Maskada in my book, alongside Dinoblue already, because I'm also of the view that Impervious will go to the Ryanair this season. I know initially Colm Murphy was quite keen to go to the Turners, but they took the cautious view. I don't think they will this time, and I'd be fairly confident she will be campaigned accordingly.

On Maskada specifically I'm of the view that Dinoblue's mistake cost her, but there would have been very little between the two horses. The only doubt I have is whether she'll end up being a bang two miler, whereas Dinoblue's way of racing suggests a step up in trip won't be a problem. At the prices and with enough doubt around eveyything else in the market I think she's an easy bet to make.

 

[Deleted member 4957]

Given his mark and his trainer, would Shoot First not be more likely to jig jog around a Pertemps qualifier and go back there for the plot to be completed? I suspect this is a less of a risk for Good Time Jonny given he won the Pertemps last year and his mark reflects that

Possibly, but it’s not a deep division and Shoot First will be 8 come March, not impossible they go the handicap route but a shot at a championship has to appeal….

 

[callhimgamblor]

Before I hail Mary into Maskada, is there any other option target wise? 2 miles 4 seems a small step up from the 2m Grand Annual for an animal a year older and wiser and wholly reasonable and she would be HDBs main arrow in the race from what I can see. Seems to be a slam dunk no-brainer at 25/1...

 

[Eggs]

I know the numbers back up the chances of Gaelic Warrior but there has to be value down the list in the form of Shoot First and Good Time Jonny.
Shoot First was a short price for the Pertemps before he got injured and was being talked up for the Stayers by plenty.
Good Time Jonny put clear daylight between himself and the field in his Pertemps win and could easily be another late developer with further improvement to come.
I’ve backed them both already, 50s and 33s, but at 33s and 25s they’re both still plenty big enough, may be worth considering with the pair very likely to head for the Stayers…

…I also have GTJ in my book but have to give a shout out to West Balboa who beat him convincingly at Aintree, albeit in a handicap. West Balboa might rock up in the Mares Hurdle but that was her first try at 3m & she really improved for the step-up. 33-1 Stayers is worthy of consideration.

 

[Lobos]

Of the returning champs if CH stays Hurdling then id be very hopeful of the following......


CH.... Churdle
Envoi..... Ryanair
Premier Magic..... Foxhunter
Galopin.....GC


Every chance.

​​​

Good to point out that those with Sky accounts could do the above bet with CH the 'Any Race' horse. He's currently 1-2 which is very fair indeed. That takes the risk out of not knowing which way CH will go and whatever race he does turn up in he's very likely to go off a lot shorter than 2's on. The other 3 are nigh on certainties to go the same routes again. Sky are also biggest about the other 3 as well .

ACCA odds 642.5/1

 

[Deleted member 4957]

…I also have GTJ in my book but have to give a shout out to West Balboa who beat him convincingly at Aintree, albeit in a handicap. West Balboa might rock up in the Mares Hurdle but that was her first try at 3m & she really improved for the step-up. 33-1 Stayers is worthy of consideration.

I think Saxon Warrior believes she’ll end up in the Mares hurdle, either way whilst your point is valid 3m on good ground at Aintree is a very different proposition to 3m around Cheltenham three weeks earlier…

 

[callhimgamblor]

What is Global Citizen being aimed at I wonder.... Having now looked at the Grand Annual he won it in 2022 and was 3rd last year behind the aforementioned Maskada and Dinoblue so he seems to save his form for (or certainly be targeted at) Cheltenham... I can't see him listed in any chase race for 2023 so far... Any ideas? Assuming he isn't fast/good enough for Arkle or Champ Chase. The Hunters, RSA and NHC are too long, so it is Turners (Again, maybe not good enough?) or another handicap season so a pop at the Grand Annual again or the Plate?

 

[callhimgamblor]

I'm trying my hardest not to bite :glee:

Please bite. I am interested and, if I am way off, I have thick skin. Did it die/retire/go to stud or something?

 

[HesTheOne]

Please bite. I am interested and, if I am way off, I have thick skin. Did it die/retire/go to stud or something?

I think he’ll be due his pension by the time spring ‘24 comes around.

 

[Quevega]

Please bite. I am interested and, if I am way off, I have thick skin. Did it die/retire/go to stud or something?

He'll be 12 next year and rated below 140 and is not a novice.

Which makes your post (and list of "possible" targets) appear very ill informed at best and may come across to some as troll like.

Having not twigged and realised by now your obvious mistake - It looks more troll like.
If this is not the case then it would be worrisome for your prospects when antepost betting on the festival.
Maybe a cautious approach is best, or maybe even stop for a while so that more knowledge can be gathered. :encouragement:

 

[callhimgamblor]

Haha.

Thank you both for the very gentle bites. I have to say, the age did strike me but like an idiot i said it all anyway. I assure you it was no troll. Pure uneducated opinion. I guess him placing last year was as surprising as Sire Du Berlais in the stayers?

Anyway. This reminds me of an old adage about speaking in public.

It is a fine line between staying quiet and looking dumb and opening your mouth and proving it!

I'll get my coat! :welcoming:

 

[Deleted member 4957]

If this is not the case then it would be worrisome for your prospects when antepost betting on the festival.
Maybe a cautious approach is best, or maybe even stop for a while so that more knowledge can be gathered. :encouragement:

To be fair he is the owner of what appears to be a very solid book judging by his diary…

 

[callhimgamblor]

Back on track....

I don't have Ballyburn in anything yet and he is already into 6/1 for the ballymore.. Too late?

 

[Lobos]

Back on track....

I don't have Ballyburn in anything yet and he is already into 6/1 for the ballymore.. Too late?

10/1 with Ladbrokes .................but only on the machine in my shop in Bristol!:biggrin-new: