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2023 Supreme Novices Hurdle

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charlie said:
As predicted IET is being smashed up. If MN hit 6/1 or more I might go in as a saver. That would feel dirty.
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Exactly what I'm waiting for.... entirely predictable given his prep ....

I think 6/1 is happening, maybe 7 or 8.

Could be 7/2 the field ... tey're still at 109% overround, so another few % to come back to us.
 
Kevloaf said:
Exactly what I'm waiting for.... entirely predictable given his prep ....

I think 6/1 is happening, maybe 7 or 8.

Could be 7/2 the field ... tey're still at 109% overround, so another few % to come back to us.
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I genuinely think if the rain carries on, MN could be longer than Tahmuras. Barry Connell talks a great game, but a huge part of that game has been the improvement you'll see for good ground. If it doesn't come, he'll lose his audience.
 
Fennor Cross 100/1 :loyal:
 
Money for strong leader backed from 50s into 25s. Ties in with the encanto Bruno bumper form. Have had a go at the double
 
Kevloaf said:
1. Diverge
2. Chasing Fire
3. Doctor Bravo
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Big Hugh Taylor steaming in ;)

https://cheltenham.attheraces.com/blogs-and-tips/hugh-taylor


That’s not to say that some value can’t be found, and I think the apparent Mullins third string DIVERGE might be overpriced in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1.30).

He’s had only two runs over hurdles so far, and I’d tend to overlook his first start, where he was a bit keen in the early stages and probably needed the run following an absence of 484 days.

His second start came in a modest maiden hurdle at Punchestown against weak opposition, but he settled a bit better on this occasion and was wisely allowed to stride on from the fourth flight.

The manner in which he eased clear in the straight whilst just being nudged along was impressive, but more pertinently, there was substance provided by the clock. I made his time around eight and a half seconds faster than that recorded in the four-year-old handicap hurdle that followed, the margins between the two respective races increasing incrementally from flight to flight.

The runner-up in that handicap hurdle races off a mark of 120 in the Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle later on the card and given Diverge completed the course in a time around nine seconds (or 36 lengths) faster in races run at similar tempos whilst carrying 7lb more, it’s not hard to take a high view of his winning effort, even after taking into account weight for age.

Not only was that just his second start over hurdles, but he was never asked a serious question and there might be more to come from him.

It’s not hard to see why his stablemates are much shorter prices, given they are each Grade 1 winners whereas he has only won a maiden hurdle, but the limit of Diverge’s ability is hard to assess, more rain clearly won’t be an issue, given the ground was very testing at Punchestown, and further improvement might see him a danger to all.
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That Horse said:
Backed it when I saw the drift, clearly I'm getting the yips so close to kick off :biggrin-new:
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imagine the scenes as torrens passes the field and steams up the hill :) :distracted:. Back from la la land if he can nick a place I will be over the moon
 
When wp mullins has won this in the past has it always been the main hope or has a 2nd or 3rd string won it?
 
Facile Vega strong now. 3/1 seems a long way away!
 
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Inthepocket is the real mover of the day into 8/1
 
Facile Vega hammered up now, more likely to go off 6/4 than 3/1.

Paddy when asked if Facile Vega was back...

'He's back.. Believe it!'

:barbershop_quartet_member:
 
WIllie more scathing about Townend this time through what he doesn't say. Called FV fastest horse in the race, no need to step him up in trip, then stopped himself as he was about to say summat, which I am al but sure was to blame PT again.
 
Exar Essay said:
WIllie more scathing about Townend this time through what he doesn't say. Called FV fastest horse in the race, no need to step him up in trip, then stopped himself as he was about to say summat, which I am al but sure was to blame PT again.
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You can't trust what Willie says about the horse as he seems to be too emotionally connected.

Lost to the better horse on the day and it doesn't matter how FV would have been ridden.
 
Exar Essay said:
WIllie more scathing about Townend this time through what he doesn't say. Called FV fastest horse in the race, no need to step him up in trip, then stopped himself as he was about to say summat, which I am al but sure was to blame PT again.
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Im not a Townend fan but the best horse won to my eyes. Always had the feeling Willie has a blind spot for FV because of the horses Mam.
 
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Townend wasn't great but all he'd have managed was finishing closer, that was savage from MN
 
Marine Nationale will take a world of beating no matter what it does. Looks to have tonnes of potential to improve. And that pilot he has is as impressive.

Happy to admit I got that wrong. You'd have to think it would have pissed the DRF too.
 
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