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2019 Grand National

Wounded on Don Poli.

Can't take that as a positive :(

I hope he wins though now more than ever:devilish:
 
Is Ms Parfois a decent bet NRNB then... if the weather takes a turn.. she goes off shorter than 25/1 witrh a very nice profile...

and doesn't run if not soft?



I'm too worried she would take her chance anyway
 
Billy

You only get to see it if you subscribe and it is right at the bottom of the horse's 5 generation pedigree. Funnily enough I checked the figures for the two longest races run yesterday namely the Ulster National and the 26f Chase at Carlisle and both the winners and runners up in both races met the 6-10 Speed and 13-16 Stamina profiles. It's by no means bombproof, far from it, and sometimes a race can have too many qualifiers but it is a handy tool.
 
Thanks 7T thats what i suspected. Any chance you could post the figures for the this years National Runners down to say Bless the Wings, just wanted to check where my ew fancies fared and it might help me whittle them down a bit, many thanks for your help
 
News Today - 188 Bet have Ceased Trading.
 
In light of all the brilliant recent info on here from 7T & Pads i've added a few more I feel are overpriced.

Leaves me with...

Tiger Roll 9/2 win
Vintage Clouds 18/1 e/w
Jury Duty 33/1 e/w
Monbeg Notorious 80/1 e/w
 
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Im looking forward to seeing 7T league table always informative. FWIW this is my effort. I use trends 5pts for hitting a trend. Its been successful in finding big priced place horses but hasnt yet nailed a big price winner, gone down to 55pts:

70 pts -
Anibale Fly
Jury Duty

65 pts -
Yala Enki
Dounikos
Rases De Teillee
General Principle

60 pts -
The Storyteller
Min Rocco
Magic of Light
Sandymount Duke
Ultra gold
Ms Parfois
Singlefarmpayment
Vintage Clouds
Walk in the mill
Bless the wings

55 pts
Bristo De MAi
Tiger Roll
Don poli
Blaklion
Lake View Lad
Pleasent Company
Shattered Love
Rock the Kasbah
A Toi Phil
Folsom Blue
Isleofhopendreams
Shantou Village
The Young master
 
Hi Billy

A couple of extra criteria have been added this year. The par score this year is 85+. The winner should come from this group if it continues to work.

My scoring system incorporates the following criteria

Age
Chase Runs
Most runners faced in a Chase where won or placed
Furthest Distance Won a Chase
Furthest Distance Placed in a Chase
Won or placed in a Chase over 28f + with 14+ runners?
Number of career falls/unseats
Hurdle run during season?
Number of runs pre Boxing Day
Number of runs post Boxing Day
Number of runs in the last two seasons
Number of career starts over 3 miles +
Highest Chase RPR in last two seasons
Won or placed at Aintree (any course)?
3rd attempt or more?


Horse/Score
General Principle 100
Abolitionist 95
Anibale Fly 95
Dounikos 95
Folsom Blue 95
Tiger Roll 95
Vintage Clouds 95
Bless The Wings 90
Lake View Lad 85
Magic Of Light 85
Ramses De Teillee 85
Yala Enki 85
Blaklion 82.5
One For Arthur 80
The Storyteller 80
Pleasant Company 77.5
A Toi Phil 75
Ballyoptic 75
Minella Rocco 75
Monbeg Notorious 75
Ms Parfois 75
Rathvinden 75
Rock The Kasbah 75
Ultragold 75
Valtor 75
Singlefarmpayment 70
Step Back 70
Sub Lieutenant 70
Walk In The Mill 70
Go Conquer 65
Outlander 65
Pairofbrowneyes 65
Sandymount Duke 65
Shattered Love 65
Tea For Two 65
Warriors Tale 65
Bristol De Mai 60
Captain Redbeard 60
Daklondike 60
Don Poli 60
Jury Duty 60
Mala Beach 60
Regal Encore 60
Noble Endeavor 55
Valseur Lido 55
Alpha Des Obeaux 50
Isleofhopendreams 50
Mall Dini 50
Blow By Blow 45
Livelovelaugh 30
Up For Review 30
 
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Added pairofbrowneyes to my shortlist today.
What score does that get seven T ?
noticed it's not listed.
 
Kevloaf said:
Wounded on Don Poli.

Can't take that as a positive :(

I hope he wins though now more than ever:devilish:
Click to expand...

The scenes when JP buys him (and sends him to Edna).
 
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Thats great 7T thanks for that always like to cross reference my bets with your top list, its usually a good way to make money!!! Best of luck and thanks again. Dont suppose you could tell me what the stamina score on the conduit mares profile is for the following please:

Anibale Fly
Jury Duty
Yala Enki
Dounikos
Rases De Teillee
General Principle
The Storyteller
Min Rocco
Magic of Light
Sandymount Duke
Ultra gold
Ms Parfois
Singlefarmpayment
Vintage Clouds
Walk in the mill
Bless the wings
 
When I was at Cheltenham I was chatting to someone with connections to the Elliott stable and they were convinced that Keith Donoghue would be getting the ride on Tiger Roll in the Grand National.

They said if Keith can do the weight then he'll get the ride. He can do 11st 5lb so it'll be interesting to see if he gets the leg up.
 
....continues to be very dry up here in Liverpool. It must put in doubt the participation of Ms Parfois given the remarks of its trainer, but the ground will be watered and the turf is always lush and safe at Aintree.
 
Davy a little out of favour with Gigginstown at the moment (again) ?

Didn't get a plum book of rides at this years festival by any stretch from those connections.
 
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