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Close Bros Handicap Chase

Shady Operator looks to have gotten a fairly lenient mark of 139. Happy with that!
 
Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase
Listed, £70,000 Total Prize Fund. Old Course, Cheltenham, 4.50pm, Tuesday, March 12, two miles and four furlongs (2m 4f 44y).
For novice five-year-olds and upwards rated 0-145. Penalties: after February 24, a winner of a chase 5lb. No penalty to increase a
horse’s weight above 11st 10lb. Entries closed February 19, entries released February 21 (85 entries), weights revealed February
27. Six-day confirmation stage March 6, final declaration stage 10.00am, Sunday, March 10. Maximum field of 20.
Horse Age Wgt Rating Owner Trainer
HIGHWAY ONE O ONE (IRE) 7 11-12 145 Anthony Ward-Thomas Chris Gordon
RED INDIAN 7 11-12 145 J R Weatherby Kelly Morgan
SECRET INVESTOR 7 11-12 145 Hills of Ledbury (Aga) Paul Nicholls
CUBOMANIA (IRE) 6 11-12 145 Cubomania Syndicate Gordon Elliott IRE
CAMPEADOR (FR) 7 11-12 145 J P McManus Gordon Elliott IRE
CAID DU LIN (FR) 7 11-11 144 Foxtrot Racing Dr Richard Newland
PRAVALAGUNA (FR) 7 11-11 144 Bruton Street IV Willie Mullins IRE
CLONDAW CASTLE (IRE) 7 11-11 144 J French, D McDermott, S Nelson, T Syder Tom George
CAPELAND (FR) 7 11-11 144 Mrs Kathy Stuart Paul Nicholls
A PLUS TARD (FR) 5 11-10 144 Cheveley Park Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE
ANY SECOND NOW (IRE) 7 11-10 143 J P McManus Ted Walsh IRE
MIND'S EYE (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Gigginstown House Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE
LOUGH DERG SPIRIT (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Grech & Parkin Nicky Henderson
GUN DIGGER (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
BEN DUNDEE (IRE) 7 11-08 141 C Jones Gordon Elliott IRE
EX PATRIOT (IRE) 6 11-08 141 Paul Holden Ellmarie Holden IRE
TOWER BRIDGE (IRE) 6 11-08 141 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
MILITARIAN 9 11-08 141 Andrew J Martin Andrew Martin
WALT (IRE) 8 11-08 141 Phil Simmonds Neil Mulholland
THE RUSSIAN DOYEN (IRE) 6 11-08 141 The Gosden Mob Colin Tizzard

----

Cut off ( so how nay above go elsewhere ?)

SPRINGTOWN LAKE (IRE) 7 11-08 141 Tim Syder Philip Hobbs
ROARING BULL (IRE) 6 11-07 140 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
AMOUR DE NUIT (IRE) 7 11-07 140 Andrew Williams Paul Nicholls
MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE) 8 11-07 140 J P McManus Paul Nicholls
RIDERS ONTHE STORM (IRE) 6 11-07 140 Mrs Paul Shanahan/Mrs John Magnier Tom Taaffe IRE
SHADY OPERATOR (IRE) 6 11-06 139 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
BALLYWOOD (FR) 5 11-06 140 Highclere Thoroughbred Racing -Ballywood Alan King
GOOD MAN PAT (IRE) 6 11-06 139 David Sewell Alan King
DE NAME ESCAPES ME (IRE) 9 11-06 139 J P McManus Noel Meade IRE
SOLOMN GRUNDY (IRE) 9 11-06 139 Roger Brookhouse Henry de Bromhead IRE
CASTAFIORE (USA) 6 11-06 139 Slater Stockwood Nicholson Partnership Charlie Longsdon
SPEAKER CONNOLLY (IRE) 6 11-06 139 Barry Connell Alan Fleming IRE
QUAMINO (GER) 6 11-05 138 Manverton Limited Paul Nolan IRE
SQUOUATEUR (FR) 8 11-05 138 J P McManus Ben Haslam
KING OF REALMS (IRE) 7 11-05 138 Chandler Ferguson Hanafin Kelly Ian Williams
POKER PARTY (FR) 7 11-05 138 Robcour Henry de Bromhead IRE
IMPACT FACTOR (IRE) 7 11-05 138 Robcour Jessica Harrington IRE
DELL ORO (FR) 6 11-05 138 Galloping On The South Downs Partnership Gary Moore
AZZERTI (FR) 7 11-04 137 McNeill Family and Prodec Networks Ltd Alan King
ANOTHER STOWAWAY (IRE) 7 11-04 137 H Stephen Smith & Family Gabbertas Tom George
EL TERREMOTO (FR) 7 11-04 137 Simon Munir & Isaac Souede Nigel Twiston-Davies




Handicapper predicts 137 ?
 
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Think he'll be taken off his feet needs further.
 
True. Don't understand why they didn't enter Kim Muir.
 
Tower Bridge finished 35 lengths behind Gun Digger at Leopardstown over 2m 5f. Shady Operator on his season opener was only 7 lengths behind the same horse at Navan over 2m 4f.

GD 11-09
TB 11-08
SO 11-06

At the weights I’d say Gun Digger & Shady Operator have plenty in hand.
 
Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase
Listed, £70,000 Total Prize Fund. Old Course, Cheltenham, 4.50pm, Tuesday, March 12, two miles and four furlongs (2m 4f 44y).
For novice five-year-olds and upwards rated 0-145. Penalties: after February 24, a winner of a chase 5lb. No penalty to increase a
horse’s weight above 11st 10lb. Entries closed February 19, entries released February 21 (85 entries), weights revealed February
27. Six-day confirmation stage March 6, final declaration stage 10.00am, Sunday, March 10. Maximum field of 20.
Horse Age Wgt Rating Owner Trainer
HIGHWAY ONE O ONE (IRE) 7 11-12 145 Anthony Ward-Thomas Chris Gordon
RED INDIAN 7 11-12 145 J R Weatherby Kelly Morgan
SECRET INVESTOR 7 11-12 145 Hills of Ledbury (Aga) Paul Nicholls
CUBOMANIA (IRE) 6 11-12 145 Cubomania Syndicate Gordon Elliott IRE
CAMPEADOR (FR) 7 11-12 145 J P McManus Gordon Elliott IRE
CAID DU LIN (FR) 7 11-11 144 Foxtrot Racing Dr Richard Newland
PRAVALAGUNA (FR) 7 11-11 144 Bruton Street IV Willie Mullins IRE
CLONDAW CASTLE (IRE) 7 11-11 144 J French, D McDermott, S Nelson, T Syder Tom George
CAPELAND (FR) 7 11-11 144 Mrs Kathy Stuart Paul Nicholls
A PLUS TARD (FR) 5 11-10 144 Cheveley Park Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE
ANY SECOND NOW (IRE) 7 11-10 143 J P McManus Ted Walsh IRE
MIND'S EYE (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Gigginstown House Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE
LOUGH DERG SPIRIT (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Grech & Parkin Nicky Henderson
GUN DIGGER (IRE) 7 11-09 142 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
BEN DUNDEE (IRE) 7 11-08 141 C Jones Gordon Elliott IRE
EX PATRIOT (IRE) 6 11-08 141 Paul Holden Ellmarie Holden IRE
TOWER BRIDGE (IRE) 6 11-08 141 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
MILITARIAN 9 11-08 141 Andrew J Martin Andrew Martin
WALT (IRE) 8 11-08 141 Phil Simmonds Neil Mulholland
THE RUSSIAN DOYEN (IRE) 6 11-08 141 The Gosden Mob Colin Tizzard

----

Cut off ( so how nay above go elsewhere ?)

SPRINGTOWN LAKE (IRE) 7 11-08 141 Tim Syder Philip Hobbs
ROARING BULL (IRE) 6 11-07 140 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
AMOUR DE NUIT (IRE) 7 11-07 140 Andrew Williams Paul Nicholls
MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE) 8 11-07 140 J P McManus Paul Nicholls
RIDERS ONTHE STORM (IRE) 6 11-07 140 Mrs Paul Shanahan/Mrs John Magnier Tom Taaffe IRE
SHADY OPERATOR (IRE) 6 11-06 139 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
BALLYWOOD (FR) 5 11-06 140 Highclere Thoroughbred Racing -Ballywood Alan King
GOOD MAN PAT (IRE) 6 11-06 139 David Sewell Alan King
DE NAME ESCAPES ME (IRE) 9 11-06 139 J P McManus Noel Meade IRE
SOLOMN GRUNDY (IRE) 9 11-06 139 Roger Brookhouse Henry de Bromhead IRE
CASTAFIORE (USA) 6 11-06 139 Slater Stockwood Nicholson Partnership Charlie Longsdon
SPEAKER CONNOLLY (IRE) 6 11-06 139 Barry Connell Alan Fleming IRE
QUAMINO (GER) 6 11-05 138 Manverton Limited Paul Nolan IRE
SQUOUATEUR (FR) 8 11-05 138 J P McManus Ben Haslam
KING OF REALMS (IRE) 7 11-05 138 Chandler Ferguson Hanafin Kelly Ian Williams
POKER PARTY (FR) 7 11-05 138 Robcour Henry de Bromhead IRE
IMPACT FACTOR (IRE) 7 11-05 138 Robcour Jessica Harrington IRE
DELL ORO (FR) 6 11-05 138 Galloping On The South Downs Partnership Gary Moore
AZZERTI (FR) 7 11-04 137 McNeill Family and Prodec Networks Ltd Alan King
ANOTHER STOWAWAY (IRE) 7 11-04 137 H Stephen Smith & Family Gabbertas Tom George
EL TERREMOTO (FR) 7 11-04 137 Simon Munir & Isaac Souede Nigel Twiston-Davies




Handicapper predicts 137 ?

Mayo,
Could you please put a link up for all the handicap weights please.
TIA
 
2 Key Trials for this race.

2m4f handicap at Kempton on 26th Dec.
2nd - Mr Whitaker - Won at Cheltenham 2018
2nd - Two Taffs - 3rd at Cheltenham 2017
5th - Gold Present - 2nd at Cheltenham 2017
3rd - Generous Random - 3rd at Cheltenham 2015
1st - Rajdhani Express - 1st at Cheltenham 2013


2m5f handicap at Cheltenham on trials day
1st - Mr Whitaker - Won at Cheltenham 2018
1st - Generous Random - 3rd at Cheltenham 2015
3rd - Irish Cavalier - Won at Cheltenham 2015

Present View & Hunt Ball both won the hcap chase on Adonis day at Kempton but that was when this was a 140.

The other 2 horses had placed festival form over 2m4f. Ballyalton 2nd to Faugheen in Neptune & Tully East 4th in Martin Pipe at 50/1.

The only qualifiers this year are:
Highway One O One
Lough Derg Spirit
Dell Oro
 
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2 Key Trials for this race.

2m4f handicap at Kempton on 26th Dec.
2nd - Mr Whitaker - Won at Cheltenham 2018
2nd - Two Taffs - 3rd at Cheltenham 2017
5th - Gold Present - 2nd at Cheltenham 2017
3rd - Generous Random - 3rd at Cheltenham 2015
1st - Rajdhani Express - 1st at Cheltenham 2013


2m5f handicap at Cheltenham on trials day
1st - Mr Whitaker - Won at Cheltenham 2018
1st - Generous Random - 3rd at Cheltenham 2015
3rd - Irish Cavalier - Won at Cheltenham 2015

Present View & Hunt Ball both won the hcap chase on Adonis day at Kempton but that was when this was a 140.

The other 2 horses had placed festival form over 2m4f. Ballyalton 2nd to Faugheen in Neptune & Tully East 4th in Martin Pipe at 50/1.

The only qualifiers this year are:
Highway One O One
Lough Derg Spirit

Good stuff that.
already on both.
bookies gone mad on all irish runners today which is interesting as they have a reasonably poor record

Lough derg spirit news has been very quiet though.
reminds me of divine spear last year, so wouldn't surprise me if it misses the race. I know nothing, just guessing.
 
....lots of noise regarding Riders onthe Storm for this since the weights came out. Good to see plenty of Blue for it on Oddschecker.
 
Has there been anything said anywhere about Lough Derg Spirit?
 
Has there been anything said anywhere about Lough Derg Spirit?

Nope, very quiet, someone I speak to asked the question on Twitter but no response. Answered plenty about others though. Possibly in the balance (speculating only).
 
What am I missing with Riders Onthe Storm? Has he shown any form whatsoever to say he's better than a 145 horse? (which is what a winner of this race would hopefully be)

He was absolutely thumped in the grade 1, beaten 21L - so the 3rd is a little flattering? (Jamie Lynch uses this as a positive sound byte)

He beat Impact Factor who was rated 134 by 1.25L, and then Impact Factor was beaten 19L by Poker Party (franking Speaker Connolly's chances IMO but that's for another post)...


So does it all hinge on Impact Factor splitting Cilaos Emery and Duc Des Genivres BEFORE they met?
That was CE's first run of the season and I know we all love him, but it wasn't going to be a peak performance... and DDG clearly hasn't run to the same form on 24/1/19 as he did at Gowran on 16th Feb when he bolted up.


I might be missing something obvious, so feel free to point it out...but that form would not be solid enough to justify 10/1 NRNB or 12/1 for me.
 
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