Do you factor in the 'chance of running' at this stage Q?
With those, targets look rock solid and no chance of a race injury between now and then.
With the forum we're pretty hot on news about injury so you'd have the chance to cash anyway (if lucky)
I guess it clouds it slighty by knowing the value rather than it being points... as it skews our analysis? (Slapped wrist for most people on here, myself included at times)
My original comment was a little bit biased on my opinion of the horses chances to be fair.
But disregarding that, the cash outs offered look like value to me.
On the simple basis of them all being nice profits, from £20 stakes, and you've no risk at all by taking them now.
Because they are antepost the risk of not getting a run is greater.
I understand that they may not be at risk of getting a race injury, but horses are rarely fit and well enough to race at their best every weekend as they are constantly getting niggles or minor issues.
So without doubt the withdrawal season is going to hot up soon, as trainers need to announce stuff they normally don't bother with.
Thats why this time of year always seems littered with injury, as they're simply reporting them more. And people like us are listening intently, other punters who don't bet antepost won't even notice as much.
But your right that you've still a chance of cash out in this event anyway, if sharp or lucky enough.
I also didn't realise that AP each way trebles like this offered such cash outs, as I could have really exploited this.
I tend to split stakes (on normal saturdays) a lot on multiples to allow cash out and still leave the dream alive with the other half.
Especially at those odds.
Essentially, I think most people who can make money without risk, would do so. Especially a professional
However, that would be a bit boring, and even a cautious punter like me would try and weigh up the chances and risks accordingly. And that's where we would all differ a little I suppose.
