Sky Bets

[Hurricane fly]

Surprised at a Patent over a Trixie if it's a free bet HF? Especially if it's e/w

Pretty much regretted it as soon as I did it, but sums up my indecision on the three.

I want all three inside but have nagging doubts so ended up playing it very safe. Some return better than none is how I’m justifying it.

I’ll end up with a couple of units on Kateson when it’s clearer where he goes, I kind of fancy him as an AB horse as he hits the ‘raced A lot’ trend

 

[cpfcpatriot]

Just spotted this up on site now , very appealing . Apologies if this has been asked and covered early in this thread but to request these bets do you have to go via twitter or can you speak online/email to request them to?

Either. I often request and they’re pretty fair on it.

 

[jono]

I requested and have added

Min to win the Ryanair
Penhill to win the Stayers
Willie Mullins to train the winner of Mares Novice Hurdle

180/1 - had 1.5pts on.

Pleased and slightly surprised by those odds.
Best price double on Min & Penhill double is 49/1 which would leave Mullins to train the winner of the Mares novice at 5/2 and considering his 3 winners had SP's of 4/7, 11/8, 8/11 - more than happy with that as I am a big fan of the other 2 already and it'll take a special horse to make me look outside of the Mullins yard for the last leg when he has Chante Niege, Colreevy, Salsaretta, Relegate* to go to war with.

Would personally expect odds of around

Min 9/4Fav
Penhill 7/2 2ndFav
[Mullins most fancied] 11/8Fav

come the day for the three (33/1) and have no doubt they'd go elsewhere

 

[archie]

I think it's a very fair price and I'm tempted for a silly fiver but, if the first double is 49/1, it makes the Mullins Mares Novice price a little better than 5/2 doesn't it? If anyone can get a special of 3/1 or better for Mullins in the Mares Novice.......

 

[Kevloaf]

I requested and have added

Min to win the Ryanair
Penhill to win the Stayers
Willie Mullins to train the winner of Mares Novice Hurdle

180/1 - had 1.5pts on.

Pleased and slightly surprised by those odds.
Best price double on Min & Penhill double is 49/1 which would leave Mullins to train the winner of the Mares novice at 7/2 and considering his 3 winners had SP's of 4/7, 11/8, 8/11 - more than happy with that as I am a big fan of the other 2 already and it'll take a special horse to make me look outside of the Mullins yard for the last leg when he has Chante Niege, Colreevy, Salsaretta, Relegate* to go to war with.

Would personally expect odds of around

Min 9/4Fav
Penhill 7/2 2ndFav
[Mullins most fancied] 11/8Fav

come the day for the three (33/1) and have no doubt they'd go elsewhere

One of the better request-a-bets I've seen.

Already a fan of Min (although I don't think his current price is value)
Penhill I think is a good price still all things considered.
It's hard to imagine Mullins not having a favourite, and if he doesn't have a short priced one, he's got so many darts that you'll be getting a better 'dutched' price on his runners than I imagine you would on the day anyway?

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

I think it's a very fair price and I'm tempted for a silly fiver but, if the first double is 49/1, it makes the Mullins Mares Novice price a little better than 5/2 doesn't it? If anyone can get a special of 3/1 or better for Mullins in the Mares Novice.......

Mullins was 5/2 to win the first ever running of the mares novice hurdle. I'd imagine the bookies would price it up as 8/11 given his strength in depth and record in the race.

 

[jono]

I think it's a very fair price and I'm tempted for a silly fiver but, if the first double is 49/1, it makes the Mullins Mares Novice price a little better than 5/2 doesn't it? If anyone can get a special of 3/1 or better for Mullins in the Mares Novice.......

Correct at 5/2. Not sure how I got the 7/2 there! Post updated

 

[Middle_Of_March]

Yankee this week:
Kalashnikov @ 7/2 - Arkle
Santini @ 7/2 - RSA
Tiger Roll @ 3/1 - XC
Adjali @ 9/1 - Triumph




Week 1 - Canadian: Next Destination (RSA) 12/1, Altior (CC) 6/4, Samcro (JLT) 4/1, Monalee (Ryanair) 14/1, Might Bite (GC) 6/1
Week 2 - Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival - 25/1
Week 3 - Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival - 25/1
Week 4 - Altior, Laurina and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival - 25/1
Week 5 - Altior and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival - 13/2
Week 6 - September to win the 1000 Guineas & Epsom Oaks - 40/1
Week 7 - Canadian: Without Parole (2000 Guineas) 12/1, Wild Allusion (1000 Guineas) 13/2, Enable (Coronation Cup) 4/7, September (Oaks) 8/1, Saxon Warrior (Derby) 3/1
Week 8 - Nelson to win the Epsom Derby @ 14/1
Week 9 - Trixie: Idaho (9/1 Coronation Cup), La Ti Dar (3/1 Oaks) and Young Rascal (10/1 Derby)
Week 10 - Next Destination to win the RSA @ 10/1
Week 11 - Edward Lewis @ 9/1 to win the Epsom Dash
Week 12 - France, Germany and Brazil to win all three of their group matches each @ 20/1
Week 13 - Double - Come On Come On @ 7/4 (8:20 Windsor) & Without Parole @ 11/4 (St James’ Palace Stakes) NRNB
Week 14 - 3+ Royal Ascot winners for Wesley Ward @ 8/1
Week 15 - Blow By Blow for the NH Chase @ 25/1
Week 16 - Might Bite for the Gold Cup @ 5/1
Week 17 - Altior and Samcro to win any race at the 2019 Festival @ 6/1
Week 18 - Justin Rose each way (10 places) for The Open @ 14/1
Week 19 - Man City to win the Premier League, Watford to be relegated and Sunderland to win League 1 @ 18/1
Week 20 - Brentford to win the Championship (each way 4-places) @ 14/1
Week 21 - Watford and Reading to both be relegated this season @ 9.78/1
Week 22 - Treble: Aston Villa, Middlesbrough and Leeds to win @ 5/1
Week 23 - Super Canadian: Laurina (Arkle) 10/1, BDD (Mares) 3/1, Next Destination (RSA) 10/1, Altior (CC) 5/4, Tiger Roll (XC) 4/1, Samcro (JLT) 4/1, Might Bite (GC) 5/1
Week 24 - Canadian: Laurina (Arkle) 10/1, Samcro (CH) 6/1, BDD (Mares) 3/1, Tiger Roll (XC) 4/1, Might Bite (GC) 5/1
Week 25 - Santini to win the RSA @ 10/1
Week 26 - Blow By Blow to win the NH Chase @ 25/1
Week 27 - Santini to win the RSA @ 10/1
Week 28 - Yankee - Tiger Roll (4/1 - XC), Altior (5/4 - CC), Santini (8/1 - RSA), Commander Of Fleet (16/1 - Ballymore)
Week 29 - Cracking Smart to win any race @ 14/1
Week 30 - Yankee: Cracking Smart (RSA 20/1), Altior (CC 6/4), Might Bite (GC 5/1), Commander Of Fleet (Ballymore 16/1)
Week 31 - Yankee - Kalashnikov (Arkle 8/1), Cracking Smart (RSA 20/1), Tiger Roll (XC 4/1), Might Bite (GC 5/1)
Week 32 - Cracking Smart to win any race @ 14/1
Week 33 - Mengli Khan to win the Arkle @ 14/1
Week 34 - Never Adapt to win the Triumph Hurdle @ 25/1 (each way)
Week 35 - Yankee - Annamix (Supreme 9/1), Blow Bu Blow (NH Chase 14/1), Never Adapt (Triumph 16/1), Might Bite (GC 5/1)
Week 36 - Yankee - Annamix (Supreme 9/1), Tiger Roll (XC 3/1), Malone Road (Bumper 5/1), Might Bite (GC 5/1)
Week 37 - Yankee - Annamix (Supreme 8/1), Lalor (Arkle 4/1), Samcro (CH 9/2), Laurina (Mares 4/1)
Week 38 - Yankee - Santini (RSA 7/2), Altior (QMCC 6/5), Tiger Roll (3/1 XC), Malone Road (Bumper 11/2)
Week 39 - Colreevy @ 25/1 each way - Mares Novice Hurdle
Week 40 - Yankee - Kalashnikov (Arkle 7/2), Santini (RSA 7/2), Tiger Roll (XC 3/1), Adjali (Triumph 9/1)

 

[Morley Street]

200/1 for Santini to win the RSA & next years’ Ladbroke and Gold Cup. If like me you are a Santini believer, it’s got to be worth a few quid for him to follow a tried & tested Hendo route.

 

[BigChaang]

200/1 for Santini to win the RSA & next years’ Ladbroke and Gold Cup. If like me you are a Santini believer, it’s got to be worth a few quid for him to follow a tried & tested Hendo route.

I really like Santini , Morley street . And it's your choice , But have to say that would be a huge ask i.m.opinion.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

200/1 for Santini to win the RSA & next years’ Ladbroke and Gold Cup. If like me you are a Santini believer, it’s got to be worth a few quid for him to follow a tried & tested Hendo route.

That is a brilliant price. I'm in.

 

[Leman14]

200/1 for Santini to win the RSA & next years’ Ladbroke and Gold Cup. If like me you are a Santini believer, it’s got to be worth a few quid for him to follow a tried & tested Hendo route.

Can't knock a 200/1 punt!

 

[jono]

200/1 for Santini to win the RSA & next years’ Ladbroke and Gold Cup. If like me you are a Santini believer, it’s got to be worth a few quid for him to follow a tried & tested Hendo route.

That was me that requested and was about to post it up. It's absolutely a punt but I was expecting 100/1 back.

I wouldn't personally say it's the 'tried and tested' route for Henderson. He of course sent Bob's Worth for the three races but has used the King George for the likes of Might Bite and Long Run inbetween the RSA and Gold Cup. Doeds anyone recall a specific reason why he favoured the Hennessy for Bobs Worth? I assume it was primarily as Long Run was then his regular King George horse and Bobs Worth dissapointed at the track in the Feltham a year before?



But that said Santini really does strike me as a horse who could carry a big/top weight in the Ladbrokes Trohpy and has similarities to the likes of both Denman and Bobs Worth. Having 2 good wins at the track already is also a bonus so for me certainly worth a flyer at 200/1

 

[Quevega]

That was me that requested and was about to post it up. It's absolutely a punt but I was expecting 100/1 back.

I wouldn't personally say it's the 'tried and tested' route for Henderson. He of course sent Bob's Worth for the three races but has used the King George for the likes of Might Bite and Long Run inbetween the RSA and Gold Cup. Doeds anyone recall a specific reason why he favoured the Hennessy for Bobs Worth? I assume it was primarily as Long Run was then his regular King George horse and Bobs Worth dissapointed at the track in the Feltham a year before?



But that said Santini really does strike me as a horse who could carry a big/top weight in the Ladbrokes Trohpy and has similarities to the likes of both Denman and Bobs Worth. Having 2 good wins at the track already is also a bonus so for me certainly worth a flyer at 200/1

Should imagine it’s a number of factors but weight is likely
I think long run was 182
Might bite 162 and quirky
Bobs worth 160
Trabolgan was 150 something

 

[Morley Street]

That was me that requested and was about to post it up. It's absolutely a punt but I was expecting 100/1 back.

I wouldn't personally say it's the 'tried and tested' route for Henderson. He of course sent Bob's Worth for the three races but has used the King George for the likes of Might Bite and Long Run inbetween the RSA and Gold Cup. Doeds anyone recall a specific reason why he favoured the Hennessy for Bobs Worth? I assume it was primarily as Long Run was then his regular King George horse and Bobs Worth dissapointed at the track in the Feltham a year before?



But that said Santini really does strike me as a horse who could carry a big/top weight in the Ladbrokes Trohpy and has similarities to the likes of both Denman and Bobs Worth. Having 2 good wins at the track already is also a bonus so for me certainly worth a flyer at 200/1

Nice one Jono, great shout and great price. I think you’re right re the course form and I guess I meant that it’s a natural consideration for Hendo to be aiming his RSA beast at the following season. I also think that Altior will be his King George horse next year.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

That was me that requested and was about to post it up. It's absolutely a punt but I was expecting 100/1 back.

I wouldn't personally say it's the 'tried and tested' route for Henderson. He of course sent Bob's Worth for the three races but has used the King George for the likes of Might Bite and Long Run inbetween the RSA and Gold Cup. Doeds anyone recall a specific reason why he favoured the Hennessy for Bobs Worth? I assume it was primarily as Long Run was then his regular King George horse and Bobs Worth dissapointed at the track in the Feltham a year before?



But that said Santini really does strike me as a horse who could carry a big/top weight in the Ladbrokes Trohpy and has similarities to the likes of both Denman and Bobs Worth. Having 2 good wins at the track already is also a bonus so for me certainly worth a flyer at 200/1

The year Bob's Worth did the Hennessy / Gold Cup double he was best price 25/1. Using that price as a guide, I'd say this Santini special is on the big side given his current price for the RSA.

Thanks for putting it up Jono. Highly unlikely to land but I still think it's a cracking long term bet.

 

[Istabraq]

Not sure how long it's been there but Sky have the Laurina/Buveur D'Air/Altior all to win any race at 8/1.
With Altior and BD odds on for their targets it makes Laurina around 9/4 to win, Sky currently have her 7/4 (any race).
I know the subject has been debated to death but I still believe Laurina will end up in the Mares and should this be the case I expect she'll be plenty shorter than 9/4, 8/1 for the three looks OK to me...

 

[Kevloaf]

Not sure how long it's been there but Sky have the Laurina/Buveur D'Air/Altior all to win any race at 8/1.
With Altior and BD odds on for their targets it makes Laurina around 9/4 to win, Sky currently have her 7/4 (any race).
I know the subject has been debated to death but I still believe Laurina will end up in the Mares and should this be the case I expect she'll be plenty shorter than 9/4, 8/1 for the three looks OK to me...

I'd prefer it with Apple's Jade in

 

[thistlecracker]

If you think she will go for the mares, you will get a better price with cash out doing the treble on bet365

 

[Kevloaf]

Not sure how long it's been there but Sky have the Laurina/Buveur D'Air/Altior all to win any race at 8/1.
With Altior and BD odds on for their targets it makes Laurina around 9/4 to win, Sky currently have her 7/4 (any race).
I know the subject has been debated to death but I still believe Laurina will end up in the Mares and should this be the case I expect she'll be plenty shorter than 9/4, 8/1 for the three looks OK to me...

It's also 16.5/1 for the same treble with Betfair.... and there is no point backing it "any race" as they'd be in the same race...