Virtual Grand National 2020 - Tips inside!

[Istabraq]

Shame no-one is betting place only, there is absolutely no way Tiger Roll isn't in the 5...

[archie]

Shame no-one is betting place only, there is absolutely no way Tiger Roll isn't in the 5...

Unless it pulls a pixel.

[Istabraq]

Unless it pulls a pixel.

Yeah, unbelievable how this is the single most exciting sporting event for three weeks.
Has to be more exciting than Belarusian football where every game seems to finish 0-0/1-0...

[mayo]

Yeah, unbelievable how this is the single most exciting sporting event for three weeks.
Has to be more exciting than Belarusian football where every game seems to finish 0-0/1-0...

They are gutted in Thurles

[Istabraq]

Thurles was a great meeting, they must have done OK from TV money no ?

[Kevloaf]

All £10 each way

16/1 Kimberlite Candy
16/1 Walk In The Mill
18/1 Magic Of Light
18/1 Potters Corner
50/1 Kildisart




Why isn't Pleasant Company higher up in the trends? 2nd in the race and 'better off' with Tiger Roll?
Is three years too long ago?

Cheers Q

[The King Pimm]

Well done everyone on Potters Corner. I don’t buy that result though, he’s got no form on good to soft, all his form is on heavy!!

[mayo]

Well played Q.

I miss the real thing even more now

[Faugheen_Machine]

Cheers Q

Did you do the forecast

[MTR]

Another very strong trend: The last chase won by ALL TWELVE horses to place 1 to 4 in the last 3 virtual grand nationals was over a distance of at least three miles.

That may sound like stating the bleeding obvious.

But this is either one hell of a coincidence or horses who won last time over shorter trips - maybe a GN prep - are being penalised by the computer.

If the trend continues tomorrow 14 horses in the field have no chance of making the first four .

They include four of the top seven in the betting - and (deep intake of breath) two on Q's shortlist!!

Here's the list who fail the 3-mile test:

Aso
Peregrine Run
Alpha Des Obeaux
Magic of Light
Burrow Saint
Definitely Red
Tout Est Permis
Shattered Love
Any Second Now
Death Duty
Ramses De Teillee (last win was 3-mile hurdle and last chase win was over 2m 71/2f on heavy at Chepstow carrying 11st 10lbs so leaving him out is just a tad harsh!)
Valtor
Saint Xavier (won 3m hurdle race, before that won chase over 2m 71/2 f at Auteuil).
Warriors Tale


If you add the 3-mile trend to Q's discovery that the computer likes horses who have won or finished second last time out - you are left with only 11 possible winners.

They are:

Tiger Roll
Total Recall
The Storyteller
Ballyoptic
Ok Corral
Jury Duty
Acapella Bourgeois
Potters Corner
Kildisart
Kimberlite Candy
Walk in the Mill

Should you wish, you can go one step further to narrow the potential winners down even more: In the real Grand National 10 of the 16 placed horses in the last 4 years have run off a mark of between 147 and 152.

In tomorrow's virtual race just 5 horses qualify on all three of these virtual-real hybrid trends:

Acapella Bourgeois 33-1
Potters Corner 18-1
Kildisart 50-1
Kimberlite Candy 16-1
Walk in the Mill 16-1

I'd say this scenario certainly means a bold virtual show from KC and WITM is extremely likely.

To lazy to do any research on it but used your final five! Cheers for that

[Kevloaf]

On the four miler stat, it does make Potters Corner (midlands national 2019) more interesting, and I'll have a little bet on that I reckon

Potters Corner 1pt ew

Edit - Based on subsequent information provided in this thread, this horse should have made the shortlist.

Twas good enough for me.




Oh and Nortonscoin200, sorry didn't see you had the same, well done too.

[Quevega]

Well done everyone who helped
Thought it might be doable

The late recognition of the long distance winning form really helped as it put potters right back in the mix.
He’d been crudely ruled out based on trainer and jockey.

Back on the JD and coke now

[BigChaang]

Enjoying this thread , my picks . - kimberlite candy .- u/p.
Burrows saint. - 5th.
Potters corner.- 1st...
Walk in the mill. - 2nd.
Acapella bourgois. - Fell.
Good luck everyone...

They should have one of these everyday till racing starts again !!

[nortonscoin200]

To lazy to do any research on it but used your final five! Cheers for that

Well done MTR - all good fun.

[archie]

At least the fallers all got up and then miraculously ran out to avoid interfering with other runners. The RSPCA will be happy.