Forum Yankee - April

[Faugheen_Machine]

Hype or not think 20/1 Ballyadam for the ballymore is worth a shot

If we go with Ballyadam, I think it's worth including Ferny Hollow. They are highly unlikely to race against each other so it's a related contingency of sorts.

[CUEMYCARD]

Is Thyme Hill Stayers worth consideration ?

[Kevloaf]

Is Thyme Hill Stayers worth consideration ?

Is a profile picture?

....

http://www.fatjockey.com/forum/showthread.php?15532-Avatar-Profile-Picture-requests/page31

[CUEMYCARD]

Hey decent shout that Kev ��

[Middle_Of_March]

Is Thyme Hill Stayers worth consideration ?

Certainly is.

[Middle_Of_March]

With a day to go, Monkfish (RSA), Thyme Hill (Stayers) and Gypsy Island (Mares Novice) are in.

1 spot left. Any really late nominations to add to the list on this thread from the start of the month.

[Faugheen_Machine]

What about Fakir? I know Ista is mad keen and he's a big price.

[7barrows]

What about Fakir? I know Ista is mad keen and he's a big price.

Yup - Like this

[Vautour]

Ballyadam for the Ballymore. I reckon he’ll go here, good price and potential to go off really short if he fulfills his potential.

The others are locked on targets so good to chuck in one with a big potential upside, but which is also far more risky.

[7barrows]

Ballyadam for the Ballymore. I reckon he’ll go here, good price and potential to go off really short if he fulfills his potential.

The others are locked on targets so good to chuck in one with a big potential upside, but which is also far more risky.

I like fakir at similar prices. when you think about it the champion chase has eluded JP and I would say he wants this crown more than anything next season. I can see Fakir here and maybe even defi he bounces back, although more likely ryan air. I think 20- 25/1 poke for Fakir is actaully good value as PTKO is likely go mares chase and FAKIR has possible improvement to come as a 6 Year old next season. Ive just watched the arkle back and PTKO won with a little bit in hand you feel as she speed up again when the loose went passed BUAS. But I think JP wants to win this race bigtime and Id have fakir taking this route more certainly than PTKO at the moment

[somer1]

Wouldn’t we be better off waiting on news of Gypsy Island before putting in a Yankee?
Can’t see the price going anywhere.

[Kevloaf]

Bang Al Boum Photo in there.

He's 6/1 and Goshen is 5/1

Freaking laughable.

[EnvoyAllen]

Bang Al Boum Photo in there.

He's 6/1 and Goshen is 5/1

Freaking laughable.

Kev, you write a lot of good stuff on here and your knowledge is obviously sound, but with regards Al Boum Photo (and I have not a single ante post penny on him) - why would you suggest the 6/1 is ‘laughable’.

A horse that’s won the last 2 gold cups is one thing to keep the price short, but the fact 46 weeks beforehand we know that a) his target is confirmed and b) 95% sure that he’ll run only 1 race in the build up at Tramore (reasonably uncompetitive) 10 weeks in advance of the Gold Cup....all of these aforementioned ‘criteria’ would suggest 6/1 is actually,at the very worst, a sound price? Even if you take a ‘fudge factor’ of him making it to the festival, his 6/1 now is the biggest price you’ll get in those 46 ante post weeks? He’ll only be grazing over the next 7 months before his New Year’s Day return and then he would have been nibbled into 9/2 kind of price as all favourites who sit idle tend to do??

[Middle_Of_March]

Kev, you write a lot of good stuff on here and your knowledge is obviously sound, but with regards Al Boum Photo (and I have not a single ante post penny on him) - why would you suggest the 6/1 is ‘laughable’.

A horse that’s won the last 2 gold cups is one thing to keep the price short, but the fact 46 weeks beforehand we know that a) his target is confirmed and b) 95% sure that he’ll run only 1 race in the build up at Tramore (reasonably uncompetitive) 10 weeks in advance of the Gold Cup....all of these aforementioned ‘criteria’ would suggest 6/1 is actually,at the very worst, a sound price? Even if you take a ‘fudge factor’ of him making it to the festival, his 6/1 now is the biggest price you’ll get in those 46 ante post weeks? He’ll only be grazing over the next 7 months before his New Year’s Day return and then he would have been nibbled into 9/2 kind of price as all favourites who sit idle tend to do??

Think you’ve got the wrong end of the stick here EA.

Kev is saying the 6s for the Gold Cup is a much better bet than Goshen is at 5s for the champion hurdle

[Quevega]

Kev, you write a lot of good stuff on here and your knowledge is obviously sound, but with regards Al Boum Photo (and I have not a single ante post penny on him) - why would you suggest the 6/1 is ‘laughable’.

A horse that’s won the last 2 gold cups is one thing to keep the price short, but the fact 46 weeks beforehand we know that a) his target is confirmed and b) 95% sure that he’ll run only 1 race in the build up at Tramore (reasonably uncompetitive) 10 weeks in advance of the Gold Cup....all of these aforementioned ‘criteria’ would suggest 6/1 is actually,at the very worst, a sound price? Even if you take a ‘fudge factor’ of him making it to the festival, his 6/1 now is the biggest price you’ll get in those 46 ante post weeks? He’ll only be grazing over the next 7 months before his New Year’s Day return and then he would have been nibbled into 9/2 kind of price as all favourites who sit idle tend to do??

Get your coat !