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Price thing re appreciate it or do you just not fancy him?
* He might not run in that race
* Its 6 months away, never jumped a fence on a racecourse yet, shorter than Bob Olinger, and at 3/1 - terrible value
* He is half the price Shishkin was this far out
* I wouldnt lay an 8/1 shot, I could get burned
Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 23 September 2021, 12:43 AM.
Let's be honest with the prices they currently are youd make a good bit laying all of the favs at the prices they are at the moment
So many horses that are 4s-6s that would normally be 8s-10s but the bookies are running scared after last year
Id put up allaho as a nap because I think he just wins the ryanair but he will probably lose once or twice before the festival and you'll get a better price than he currently is
I'v had plenty of free bet doubles on the likes of Bob olinger, honeysuckle, allaho, kilcruit, elimay, galopin etc but I'm in no rush to be having singles at these prices
Nap; Bob Ollinger (BANC) - accepting he could be Marsh bound, my favourite horse in racing.
E/W; Se Mo Laoch (Kim Muir) - been the aim for a couple of years but failed to make the cut. Getting on in years, last chance saloon.
Lay; Sir Gerhard (Supreme) - did me a favour in March but I have a feeling others from that race might be better for jumping a hurdle.
Eggs, please assure me that you'll let me know when a price first appears for So Mo Laoch in the Kim Muir. I simply have to do him. Having missed out 3 times they definitely deserve to get there in March. In his last chase race when a fast finishing 2nd he finished in front of last season's Irish Grand National winner and a previously placed Gold Cup horse. He's now on his highest chase rating at 132 so wouldn't have to improve much, if at all, to get in this time. Fingers crossed.
Nap: Allaho, dominated this years Ryanair and see no dangers from the novices coming up. Also think he'll benefit from being targeted at the race all season.
Lay: Appreciate It, like many others had the double with BO but don't like him for this season. Combination of age, price and I think last year's 2 mile novices were the worst I can remember. May also be swayed by the fact I think BO will run in the Arkle.
EW, Scarlet and Dove, made a case for her on the Mares race page. I think she's the second best horse that will turn up when you take out the novices and others that won't line up. 20-1 a good value price.
Bonus EW Let'sbeclearaboutit only beaten by Kilcruit and Sir Gerhard last season and I'd expect them to avoid both of those and target the Bartlett. 33-1 still a very fair price.
EW, Scarlet and Dove, made a case for her on the Mares race page. I think she's the second best horse that will turn up when you take out the novices and others that won't line up. 20-1 a good value price.
The only word of caution with Scarlett and Dove is I backed her for the Festival last season and she didn't show up. If we weren't getting an early view of the final decs I would have been caught with her as a dead one in my book. I've backed her again this season though, and fully agree with you that she's one of very few viable alternative candidates to the favourite.
Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.
This far out I can't bring myself to NAP a shorty Having said that I really fancy honey, bob and shish. At least one of the bankers get beat, so I'm going to lay a couple of other shorties. I'm going to have to NAP something in double figures this far out, and have a speculative bit of inspiration for the EW.
NAP Run Wild Fred NHC
LAY Monkfish Gold Cup
EW Porticello Triumph
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