Originally posted by Kevloaf
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Albert Bartlett 2019
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Originally posted by JackieMoon33 View PostJust completed my post race check on Twatter and it seems ‘Kibosh’ Kim has already ruled out the Albert Bartlett
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Not found the winner of this race since Martello Tower in 2015 (and I've had a few darts since then!)
Not good news for anyone else on Carefully Selected 20/1. Keen for him to get a run, his profile even if he did come out know wouldn't be ideal.
Of horses that have had a run, it doesn't look any rosier in the garden. As Stay Humble 40/1 has had two hurdles runs and been beaten over 10L in both, and Gosheven 50/1 is available at bigger prices, after a poor debut and no entries or word since.
It's not all doom and gloom, as Easy Game 25/1 looked to be a strong staying type in his races so far and with him being the shortest priced Mullins horse in the betting with PP I'm taking some comfort in that being a slight pointer to his target (14/1 with them, admittedly, so is Blackbow).
The best of what is a bad bunch (of my personal bets so far) would be Derrinross 20/1 who is still available at that price.
Yikes.
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Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View PostYou forgot the winner Kev......Rockpoint!
If I added a section for horses I should have backed already, or a section for horses I want to back, Rockpoint would be first mentioned. You made a good case for him, looks a knocking good bet.
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Originally posted by boopa View PostIf you like Rockpoint you must like Emitom at double the price. Cantered all over Lisnagar Oscar like it was a piece of work.
I could well add both... but it'll annoy me that Quevega has 33/1 on both, as well as 50/1 on Derringstown that I only have at 20/1
Might back Emitom at 25s NRNB to save the mither.
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Aside from my early season punt on Carefully Selected my only other bet so far is Kateson at 33s (still available with 365). I think he is literally the only horse who I have heard connections explicitly mention the AB as a possible target. He’s got some decent quality back form (2nd in that Aintree bumper), has looked progressive as a hurdler, has a nice amount of experience for this race, and I thought the most recent performance against Champ was excellent. Incidentally I also like the 4th from that race (BrewinUpastorm) at a nice price in the Ballymore. As has been discussed it was an odd race and I wouldn’t be surprised to see some of that form flipped around. But anyway back to this race and I’m happy with Kateson EW currently and doubt I’ll have another bet in this until much closer.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostYeah I do. The setback has stopped me adding him so far...
I could well add both... but it'll annoy me that Quevega has 33/1 on both, as well as 50/1 on Derringstown that I only have at 20/1
Might back Emitom at 25s NRNB to save the mither.
Edit: has entry at Ffos Las Monday.Last edited by boopa; 9 January 2019, 07:23 AM.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostNot found the winner of this race since Martello Tower in 2015 (and I've had a few darts since then!)
Not good news for anyone else on Carefully Selected 20/1. Keen for him to get a run, his profile even if he did come out know wouldn't be ideal.
Of horses that have had a run, it doesn't look any rosier in the garden. As Stay Humble 40/1 has had two hurdles runs and been beaten over 10L in both, and Gosheven 50/1 is available at bigger prices, after a poor debut and no entries or word since.
It's not all doom and gloom, as Easy Game 25/1 looked to be a strong staying type in his races so far and with him being the shortest priced Mullins horse in the betting with PP I'm taking some comfort in that being a slight pointer to his target (14/1 with them, admittedly, so is Blackbow).
The best of what is a bad bunch (of my personal bets so far) would be Derrinross 20/1 who is still available at that price.
Yikes.
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Originally posted by boopa View PostIf you like Rockpoint you must like Emitom at double the price. Cantered all over Lisnagar Oscar like it was a piece of work.
The form line you put up is there, but Lisnager Oscar has improved for every step up in trip, so without wanting to sound like I am being bias towards Rockpoint, I actually think Lisnager Oscar was at his most effective (in trip terms) in that race as opposed to the one he ran in against Emitom, or prior to that over in a 2m NHF race where he was beat by McFabulous.
It is worth pointing out that Emitom himself could also, and very likely improve for a further step up, his breeding would suggest that, so I have an open mind with regards to the trip, but the number of runs would be a fairly big negative in how I profile this race.
I got Rockpoint @ 80/1 and he really should be 2 from 2 over 3m but for an uncharacteristic mistimed ride, if Emitom was anywhere near price then I'd probably chance him based on what we've seen.
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