Ok punters, time to play Be The Bookie. As per the Champion Hurdle thread, working out your own book sometimes gives a clearer picture.
As a guide, Paddy Power, who some think have the best angle on Irish form (not necessarily true), go:
9/2 Presenting Percy (6/1)
7/1 Native River (10/1)
8/1 Might Bite (12/1)
10/1 Road To Respect (8/1)
16/1 Sizing John (16/1)
16/1 Footpad (16/1)
20/1 Bristol De Mai (20/1)
20/1 Bellshill (12/1)
20/1 Balko Des Flos (20/1)
20/1 Monalee (16/1)
25/1 Definitly Red (25/1)
25/1 Al Boum Photo (16/1)
25/1 Thistlecrack (16/1)
giving a 93.3% book
plus 8 (Shattered Love/Killultagh Vic/Disko/Terrefort/Kemboy/Anibale Fly/Politologue/Waiting Patiently) at 33/1
which takes the book up to 116.5%.
My prices (in brackets) add up to 92.8% and of the 33/1 shots, I'd probably have Kemboy and Shattered Love on 25/1 with Killultagh Vic and Politologue on 40/1.
If you have a go, there's no point in being smart and having a 70% or 150% book unless you can make the business case.
As a guide, Paddy Power, who some think have the best angle on Irish form (not necessarily true), go:
9/2 Presenting Percy (6/1)
7/1 Native River (10/1)
8/1 Might Bite (12/1)
10/1 Road To Respect (8/1)
16/1 Sizing John (16/1)
16/1 Footpad (16/1)
20/1 Bristol De Mai (20/1)
20/1 Bellshill (12/1)
20/1 Balko Des Flos (20/1)
20/1 Monalee (16/1)
25/1 Definitly Red (25/1)
25/1 Al Boum Photo (16/1)
25/1 Thistlecrack (16/1)
giving a 93.3% book
plus 8 (Shattered Love/Killultagh Vic/Disko/Terrefort/Kemboy/Anibale Fly/Politologue/Waiting Patiently) at 33/1
which takes the book up to 116.5%.
My prices (in brackets) add up to 92.8% and of the 33/1 shots, I'd probably have Kemboy and Shattered Love on 25/1 with Killultagh Vic and Politologue on 40/1.
If you have a go, there's no point in being smart and having a 70% or 150% book unless you can make the business case.
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