Champion Hurdle 2019

[Quevega]

Someones probably mentioned this before, but
Just been watching videos of festival races and didn't realise Laurina's time was quicker than the triumph, and she was carrying 7lb more.
Both races seemed to be at a good gallop but when you consider how easily she did it compared to Farclas, and how the midfield and front end runners in the mares novice hurdle faded badly, meaning cap soleil stayed on from way back to get second. Means only one thing.
Scooby, you need to back her now.

[Kevloaf]

Someones probably mentioned this before, but
Just been watching videos of festival races and didn't realise Laurina's time was quicker than the triumph, and she was carrying 7lb more.
Both races seemed to be at a good gallop but when you consider how easily she did it compared to Farclas, and how the midfield and front end runners in the mares novice hurdle faded badly, meaning cap soleil stayed on from way back to get second. Means only one thing.
Scooby, you need to back her now.

Different day though ... veeeeeery hard to get too bullish on times for different days?

[Quevega]

Ground probably worse on Thursday from memory,
Not a big lover of the timings angle myself, especially over the full distance, but nothing like and evening of self fulfilment.

[Kevloaf]

True enough

My CH position as of tonight (4.7 pts staked in total) and a lot of free bets (selection all in orange means no stake, just "free")

Laurina 12/1 = 92.5 pts
Samcro 6/1 = 18 pts
Min 15/1 = 15 pts
Supasundae 20/1 = 40 pts
Summerville Boy 16/1 = 10.6 pts
Labaik 40/1 = 46.7 pts
If The Cap Fits 40/1 = 86.2 pts




4.7 pts staked is really small relative to the rest of the festival for me. If the race jumped up on me tomorrow, I'd be backing Buveur D'air on the day.

No real strong opinion yet, leaning towards the Buveur D'air camp but not dead against anything.

I'm pretty dull on this race to be fair at the moment.

[bobbyvalentino]

You’ve got 309 points worth of free bets on the Champion Hurdle?

[Scooby91]

You’ve got 309 points worth of free bets on the Champion Hurdle?

That's his returns. You've added up.

[bobbyvalentino]

Right, makes a lot more sense. It’s been a long day...

[Kevloaf]

You’ve got 309 points worth of free bets on the Champion Hurdle?

No, 18 pts in free bets on the CH.

the points next to each is win only return.

Sorry it's not clear

[jack1092]

Kev, a small query, what do you do to get these free bets? I mean i don't remember seeing these presented to me very often ?

[mayo]

Henderson Saturday horses not really firing yet - very tempted to back Summerville Boy this weekend

[SeanRock]

Henderson Saturday horses not really firing yet - very tempted to back Summerville Boy this weekend

I was thinking the same myself Mayo but Summerville Boy needs a good testing course imo and might find Newcastle a bit on the sharp side. I’ve gone for a very speculative e/w bet on Vision Des Flos.

[bobbyvalentino]

I've convinced myself into a small e/w play on Bedrock at 14s. I'll be somewhat surprised if both Samcro and BDA both turn up (for all that would be a great race). Vibes are BDA has come back big and will need the run.

Flyer on the chance that the WKD form will be upheld on a similar, speed favouring track that should really suit Bedrock with fitness on side.

[mayo]

I was thinking the same myself Mayo but Summerville Boy needs a good testing course imo and might find Newcastle a bit on the sharp side. I’ve gone for a very speculative e/w bet on Vision Des Flos.

yep. Just looking for something to take the top 2 on with

[Innoko]

On Summerville Boy (and also for Black Op over fences) - for anyone interested in backing him at his current odds of 16/1 it could be worth holding fire and waiting until after his seasonal debut.

If you look back at some of the higher profile Tom George horses of recent years they've almost always needed their first run (he has often made this comment during interviews at the time)...


Summerville Boy
17/18 : Beaten 0.75 lengths 2nd at Stratford at 5/4 2Fav and also 5.75 lengths 3rd at 9/4 2Fav on his third run (did finish 2nd at 16/1 between these races). Followed up by winning the Tolworth and Supreme

Black Op
17/18 : Beaten 7 lengths 4th in his Maiden Hurdle at Newbury at 3/1 2Fav. Followed up 1221

Sir Valentino
14/15 : Beaten 19 lengths 5th at 4/1 at Chepstow. Followed up 231F
15/16 : Beaten 12 lengths 8th at 25/1 at Cheltenham. Followed up 111525
16/17 : WON 8 lengths at 9/1 at Market Rasan. Followed up 48152
17/18 : PU at Exeter at 16/1. Followed up 1F

The Worlds End
16/17 : Beaten 9 lengths 3rd at Ffos Las in his Maiden Hurdle at 11/8 Fav. Followed up 111F1
17/18 : Beaten 33 lengths 8th at Haydock at 5/1 Fav. Did travel well through the race but weakened very quickly. Improved slowly as season went on despite ground against him

Singlefarmpayment
14/15 : Fell at 100/1 at Exeter. Followed up 22442
15/16 : Beaten 2 lengths at 16/1 at Ascot. Followed up 11P
16/17 : Beaten 4.5 lengths at 3/1 2Fav at Worcester. Followed up 21B2
17/18 : Beaten 4 lengths at 11/2 2Fav at Cheltenham. Followed up F5P52

Double Shuffle
15/16 : Beaten 8 lengths 2nd at 20/1. Followed up 4135
16/17 : Beaten a head at 7/2 2Fav. Followed up P512P
17/18 : Beaten 7 lengths at 7/1. Followed up 8174

Thought I'd bump this excellent post in regards to SB.

[boopa]

365 40/1 VDF. Had some of that. Will play Bedrock when it drifts too.