Originally posted by Kevloaf
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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2018
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View PostTrue we don't, but looking through those at the head of the market it doesn't look too be the deepest of renewals.
If he is 9/2 I'd consider that a fantastic price anyway... I hope he is a big price.
To be fair, the announcement of a jockey could knock at least 2 pts off!
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Percy fav for RSA , cant see him coming here at all. His super jumping his is strong suite , more so than his stamina , not that he lacking in that department either. You only need to look at the likely line up in RSA ,either fell or jump to slowly on evidence seen.Just feel Percy will put them all to the sword with his jumping , and one of the bets of the festival for me.
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You may well be right TB but I'd almost see him as a penalty kick if he came here, providing he got a decent jockey booking. I wouldn't be anywhere near as confident in the RSALast edited by Faugheen_Machine; 9 January 2018, 04:12 PM.
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Originally posted by The Beast View PostPercy fav for RSA , cant see him coming here at all. His super jumping his is strong suite , more so than his stamina , not that he lacking in that department either. You only need to look at the likely line up in RSA ,either fell or jump to slowly on evidence seen.Just feel Percy will put them all to the sword with his jumping , and one of the bets of the festival for me.
Monalee for me is easily better than any horse in this race... at 5/1 RSA and 9/2 NH Chase - NRNB I trhink one is much easier to win than the other.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostWhich do you think is an easier race to win?
Monalee for me is easily better than any horse in this race... at 5/1 RSA and 9/2 NH Chase - NRNB I trhink one is much easier to win than the other.
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Gigginstown could run all available entries bar Thunder And Roses in the Goffs Thyestes Chase on Thursday but the ground may be too heavy for Mall Dini, said owner Philip Reynolds, who has also entered Presenting Percy in the John Mulhern Galmoy Hurdle.
Reynolds said: "I’d like to see some let-up with regard to the rain if they are to run, though I'd like to run them. The ground is testing. The plan is that Presenting Percy will go in the RSA Chase at Cheltenham, Mall Dini the National Hunt Chase as a second-season novice."
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Had a read through this thread last night and I noticed Kev pulled out a horse of Neil Mullholland, Impulsive Star, and I've round to thinking he might be onto something.
Owned by Waley-Cohen he's pretty much guaranteed to run here and of course will have his son on board who is one of the best amateurs around.
Some key trends for this:
Must have had at least 3 chase runs
Previous Cheltenham experience crucial
Securing one of the top pilots equally crucial
Focus on 7yo and 8yo (Minella Rocco won at 6 but he since went close in a Gold Cup so exceptionally talented)
All of these strengthen the case for Impulsive Star who was backed into fav in last years Pertemps where he was simply taken off his feet by the pace, that won't happen here.
The horse has been crying out for extreme test of stamina from an early age, he got within 8l of Wholestone in his novice hurdle days typically staying on and closest at the line, this race has to suit.
50/1 NRNB looks to be exceptional value.
Of course there are trends that that don't fit:
Hasn't competed in G1/G2 chase
Hasn't yet won a chase
Isn't owned by JP
But 50/1....
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Originally posted by Istabraq View PostHad a read through this thread last night and I noticed Kev pulled out a horse of Neil Mullholland, Impulsive Star, and I've round to thinking he might be onto something.
Owned by Waley-Cohen he's pretty much guaranteed to run here and of course will have his son on board who is one of the best amateurs around.
Some key trends for this:
Must have had at least 3 chase runs
Previous Cheltenham experience crucial
Securing one of the top pilots equally crucial
Focus on 7yo and 8yo (Minella Rocco won at 6 but he since went close in a Gold Cup so exceptionally talented)
All of these strengthen the case for Impulsive Star who was backed into fav in last years Pertemps where he was simply taken off his feet by the pace, that won't happen here.
The horse has been crying out for extreme test of stamina from an early age, he got within 8l of Wholestone in his novice hurdle days typically staying on and closest at the line, this race has to suit.
50/1 NRNB looks to be exceptional value.
Of course there are trends that that don't fit:
Hasn't competed in G1/G2 chase
Hasn't yet won a chase
Isn't owned by JP
But 50/1....
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostBit of an over reaction in his price IMO after todays news.... 25/1 in to 12/1?
Not against him but that price is short?
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