Walk in The Mill 9-1 in the becher looks to have a reasonable chance tomorrow. Think the price is about right, although his course form entitles him to be a bit shorter. 2pts win. If he goes 10-1 or bigger I'll go another 2pts.
Defi de seuil is a worthy favourite tommorrow but the price is not really right. I'll be hoping a drift to 2-1 or better then I'll have a pop.
He can't afford too many slow or iffy jumps, but should not get outpaced by any of these.
So if he jumps well enough I can see am impressive win for him. But he should be going over longer trips I reckon.
Federici 27-1 2pts ew 4 places WH
In the sefton.
A horse that likes it round here, and often races over further, gets to just before the elbow looking fine, then walks home.
This might be more suitable, although the trainer is not may favourite the yard is on reasonable form.
Bit of a punt though this one.
Tout est permis 10-1 2pts WH
Missed the early price of 14's, but this horse has a very low hurdle mark in comparison to his chase mark.
These types can often be misleading, but you've got an edge before you start, I think Hills priced due to the out of the handicap thing, but have since got filled in. Waiting on other markets to open up and will back again if priced similar.
May well be looking at a long term hurdle handicap option with this horse, as not many options with it off it's chase mark.
Obviously they may also just be running it for the laugh, and have a national or two in mind.