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Supreme Novices 2018

be sure to remind me when Fry wins another big race at the festival.
 
doctorwu said:
be sure to remind me when Fry wins another big race at the festival.
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Don't be that guy ... this forum isn't the place for comments like this :)

You can make your point without antagonizing anyone can't you.

More trainers than Elliott, Henderson and Mullins will have a winner during the week won't they ... they're all big at the festival
 
Kevloaf said:
Don't be that guy ... this forum isn't the place for comments like this :)

You can make your point without antagonizing anyone can't you.

More trainers than Elliott, Henderson and Mullins will have a winner during the week won't they ... they're all big at the festival
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They will indeed. But it won't be the big races unless they're Irish. Im not here to antagonise anyone, just calling it as I see it, or how it really is.
 
doctorwu said:
They will indeed. But it won't be the big races unless they're Irish. Im not here to antagonise anyone, just calling it as I see it, or how it really is.
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We'll just agree to disagree Doc. Can't be bothered debating it to be honest.
 
Hardlines ITCF backers. That horrible time of the year :(

Keep looking at all your good bets to keep you positive!
 
You’ve loads Kev. Getabird would have beaten him anyway :p
 
Can't Catch Me said:
You’ve loads Kev. Getabird would have beaten him anyway :p
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Haha the Getabird/Footpad double is going to receive plenty of boosts in the days before the festival isn't it!
 
Can't Catch Me said:
they will probably keep throwing AS in for good measure!
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The "mug" 4-timer on day 1 is on again surely.

Getabird / Douvan
Footpad / UDS
BVD / Faugheen
AJ / Annie

Which one goes wrong?
 
I must admit. I’m coming round to Petit Mouchoir all the time.
 
Michael's Mount 66/1 (nrnb) is not a bad speculative e/w option. He won nicely first time out at Doncaster (4th and 5th have won since) and,if he runs well in the Dovecote tomorrow, those odds will shorten dramatically.
 
Bayoffreedom said:
Michael's Mount 66/1 (nrnb) is not a bad speculative e/w option. He won nicely first time out at Doncaster (4th and 5th have won since) and,if he runs well in the Dovecote tomorrow, those odds will shorten dramatically.
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Expecting him to win tomorrow BOF?

I have genuinly forgotten to look at the racing tomorrow.
 
Winter Soldier has an entry 1st March at Clonmel.

Not going to run this year but one for the tracker.
 
Kevloaf said:
The "mug" 4-timer on day 1 is on again surely.

Getabird / Douvan
Footpad / UDS
BVD / Faugheen
AJ / Annie

Which one goes wrong?
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Well, Getabird is the biggest risk there. I'm not convinced he warrants being the price he is, even without ITCF. His form against Carter McKay doesn't quite stack up against some of the field, and if it's good ground, who knows. Kalashnikov is rated 154, after a run on soft and his trainer is very clesr he wants good. Equally MK is about 2-3lbs worse than Getabird on their last run against each other on soft. On good? Who knows, but 6/4 vs 10s seems an unwarranted gap in price.

Getabird may bolt up, but I think he's way too short.

Similar for Footpad, in my humble opinion. May bolt up...maybe the Irish 2m chasing form isn't all that.

Struggle to see the other two in that foresome getting beaten.
 
TCH29 said:
Well, Getabird is the biggest risk there. I'm not convinced he warrants being the price he is, even without ITCF. His form against Carter McKay doesn't quite stack up against some of the field, and if it's good ground, who knows. Kalashnikov is rated 154, after a run on soft and his trainer is very clesr he wants good. Equally MK is about 2-3lbs worse than Getabird on their last run against each other on soft. On good? Who knows, but 6/4 vs 10s seems an unwarranted gap in price.

Getabird may bolt up, but I think he's way too short.

Similar for Footpad, in my humble opinion. May bolt up...maybe the Irish 2m chasing form isn't all that.

Struggle to see the other two in that foresome getting beaten.
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Getabird isn't as good as Douvan and Douvan was 2/1f for the Supreme

Getabird is 6/4 now.

Obviously relative to the rest of the field needs to be taken in to account but every time I keep thinking about Getabird in a multiple I think about what price Douvan was and it stops me.
 
Kevloaf said:
Getabird isn't as good as Douvan and Douvan was 2/1f for the Supreme

Getabird is 6/4 now.

Obviously relative to the rest of the field needs to be taken in to account but every time I keep thinking about Getabird in a multiple I think about what price Douvan was and it stops me.
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More a case of antepost is dead imo. This is the worst time to back a horse.
Douvan was 4/1 on the day.
Getabird will probably be atleast 9/4 on the day
 
For what its worth I think claimintakinforgan is the best ew value in the race. He has the beating of Summerville boy/Kalashnikov. If you dismiss his last run he could well put it up to Getabird on ground/course that he likes. That said, I still think the fav will win.
 
doctorwu said:
For what its worth I think claimintakinforgan is the best ew value in the race. He has the beating of Summerville boy/Kalashnikov. If you dismiss his last run he could well put it up to Getabird on ground/course that he likes. That said, I still think the fav will win.
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I don't see him as a classy enough horse to win the Supreme. A solid horse who may run into third but not the type to win a Supreme.
 
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