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Supreme Novice Hurdle 2019
- Thread starter Marty973
- Start date
delsie777
Member
I agree it looks a decent price - it's just that the stable seem to think that Angel's is different gravy. That and the fact that JP seems to have bought Fakir specifically to go here puts me off CP, Kev.
Yes, both valid enough points :encouragement:
Already on AB at a bigger price and JP would have more than one dart (especially in this race), so I'm still quite tempted to add him, even if I lay off for my stake closer to the time.
Hendo's place record is so good in the race I wouldn't mind having him covered at the stage.
I don't think I was keen on him last time he ran, I must be going soft.
Nicky making comparisons with Angels Breath and Altior in his racing post interview.
Festival hopes
It is notable that for all the established stars Henderson will, god willing, field at Cheltenham the one that gets him switching to mildly over-excited mode is Supreme Novices' Hurdle hope Angels Breath, who missed his run in last Thursday's Sidney Banks at Huntingdon when the sky fell in.
"He has all the making of an overhyped horse in that he has had one run over hurdles when they only jumped four flights," Henderson says. "What's more we are in a season when all the novice hurdle divisions from two miles to three – plus the mares – look red hot.
"But he is bit like Altior at a similar stage. He is sharp and straightforward, but the crucial thing is to get more experience into him even if it means a tinpot race giving away 10lb. All he needs is that experience."
Festival hopes
It is notable that for all the established stars Henderson will, god willing, field at Cheltenham the one that gets him switching to mildly over-excited mode is Supreme Novices' Hurdle hope Angels Breath, who missed his run in last Thursday's Sidney Banks at Huntingdon when the sky fell in.
"He has all the making of an overhyped horse in that he has had one run over hurdles when they only jumped four flights," Henderson says. "What's more we are in a season when all the novice hurdle divisions from two miles to three – plus the mares – look red hot.
"But he is bit like Altior at a similar stage. He is sharp and straightforward, but the crucial thing is to get more experience into him even if it means a tinpot race giving away 10lb. All he needs is that experience."
TheRowebot
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ComplyOrDie
Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021) & Moderator
Cashed out Champange Platinum for full stake at 18/1
Backed Champange Platinum NRNB, still at 18/1
Done the same, and many other bets too, although some with a small reduction of stake.
I can't believe Fakir D'oudairies is Fav, Obviously a lot of support has come in for it on the exchanges. Is it just me who thinks it didn't beat much at cheltenham?
Cooldaddy
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What's not to like about Fakir Doudairies, it totally smashed up the field at Cheltenham including the well thought of Adjali. It will also be getting 8lbs off the field. Jumps great and the way it runs up with the pace suits the way in which the Supreme is run. Guess it will also have BG on board now owned by JP.
ComplyOrDie
Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021) & Moderator
Negatives for me:
Age - Don't see many 4 year old winners, though this could mostly be down to the fact you don't get many runners also. Need to look into more.
Form - It is questionable, he was getting 5lbs from Adjali and that one also overreached for a hurdle and in turn never looked comfortable after that. Would I have Adjali winning a Supreme? Absolutely not. Whilst some of us hold e/way 'hopes' for Adjali in the Triumph I think the general consensus is that one hasn't quite lived up to initial expectations. So how strong is the form really?
Jockey - Nicky has said BG likes Champagne Platinum, so unsure why he'd ride JOB's horse just because it is favourite, although you could still have Mark Walsh in the saddle or even JJ.
Tactics - He seems a keen going type, he will need to refrain from being too keen in a race as competitive as the Supreme. The race is usually run at a fair clip, so potentially he may be OK in this department and so only have it down as a minor negative.
Positives:
Course form - Has the all important course form, can't knock it.
Age - Despite the age being a negative above, it does also allow him to have an 8lb pull with the older horses.
Trainer - Young, up and coming (despite being in the game seemingly forever) NH trainer in JOB, I have no doubt about his ability to have one ready for any race at the festival.
Jockey - Unsure he will have first choice jockey on board, what with BG's connections to Henderson and his liking of Champagne Platinum, but Walsh or JJ are competent enough.
I am worried about FD, as have him covered for absolutely nothing, but I think there are enough questions marks for me personally to leave it that way. May use the SkyBet free bets on numerous accounts on the day, should they offer them, if not he is likely to be left alone.
Quevega
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Definitely a price thing for Fakir & Angels Breath for that matter.
But both have serious chances.
It's just a wide open race like last couple of years.
Does anyone know if Epatante and Angels Breath are cleared to run this weekend? Maybe Billymag will know?