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Ruby Walsh Cheltenham Rides 2017

mayo

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Since finding these should get us about half the G1 winners Ill have a go ...

Tuesday, March 14, 2017 - Champion Day - Old Course
Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (G1) ? Airlie Beach 10s Melon 12s?
Racing Post Arkle Novices' Chase (G1) Min 3s
Ultima Handicap Chase (G3) ?
Stan James Champion Hurdle (G1) Faugheen 5/2 or Annie Power 4s
OLBG Mares' Hurdle (G1) VVM 9/4 or Annie Power 7/2
Close Brothers Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) ?

Wednesday, March 15, 2017 - Ladies Day - Old Course
Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle (G1) Saturnas 20/1? or Augusta Kare 20/1
RSA Novices' Chase (G1) Bellshill 5/1
Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle Race (G3) ?
Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (G1) Douvan 4/9
Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Weatherbys Champion Bumper (National Hunt Flat Race)

Thursday, March 16, 2017 - St Patrick's Thursday - New Course
JLT Novices' Chase (G1) Yorkhill 3s
Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Listed)
Ryanair Chase (G1) Un De Sceaux 6s
Sun Bets Stayers' Hurdle (G1) Faugheen 6s or VVM 8s or Nichols Canyon 8s
Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase
Trull House Stud Mares' Novices' Hurdle (G2) Airlie Beach 4s or any of top ones


Friday, March 17, 2017 - Gold Cup Day - New Course
JCB Triumph Hurdle (G1) Bapaume 10s
Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle (G3)
Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (G1) Augusta Kate or Bacaradys 14s
Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (G1) Djakadam 16s
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase (G3)
 
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Supreme could just as easily be Crack Mome or Cialos Emery. Melon has yet to run so you'd have to doubt his participation and technically Airlie Beach is eligible for the Mares novice Hurdle.

Neptune will most likely be Saturnas or Invitation Only if he bounces back after defeat to Death Duty.

Ryanair you would have thought Black Hercules but he has not shown much form this year but could bounce back come the festival.

Mares Novice is a tough one as they hold a few aces for this and could depend on Airlie Beach.

Triumph they have both Baupame and Marie Devie who have been impressive so I would say they are the likely rides.
 
There is a nice yankee to be had if you could figure a few of these out ...I think the novice chase picks look right. Only a guess but I think VVM will end up in the Mares and both AP and Faugheen will go to Champion if they make it.

Lets Dance is another one that could end up in Mares races or Novice Hurdles.
 
Im hoping Ruby rides Cilaos Emery in the supreme. Airlie Beach doesn't have a profile of a supreme winner(too many runs) and it looks like she's heading for the Mares Novice anyway. Not sure about Melon, so the only other Mullins horse is Crack Mome.
 
Augusta Kate could go for the Mares Novice, or the potato race.
 
UDS is an interesting one. He went off 4/6 in last years Champion Chase - only SS has beaten him when jumping around in GB & I.

1. So what price would he go off in Ryanair ?

2. What are his chances of running in Ryanair ?

If 1/2 less than 6/1 is he a bet ?
 
Looking at the odds that PP are offering (and working on the potentially flawed logic that they know something that we don't).
A nice looking Yankee (but risky one) would be:

Faugheen - Champion Hurdle
Annie Power - Mares
UDS - Ryanair
VVM - Stayers

I've already backed the F/AP/VVM treble with Lads at 125/1

I think that IF (and it is a big IF) they all turn up in mid-March fit and healthy - this is where they all go.

RR will want his horses split (as will Ruby) and UDS would be Ruby's best ride in the Ryanair, all got Festival form, just a case of putting them in the right place.

£1 per leg Yankee with Lads (ie. £11 stakes) - pays £1,327.50

I am loathed to back Mullins horses this far out and I may get some/all of the placements wrong - but there will be worse bets in my AntePost portfolio come Tuesday 14th March!
 
Stuck Cilaos Emery/UDS/ Djakadam in my latest acca.
 
Bit of fun as none of us know, but I'd say...

Tuesday, March 14, 2017 - Champion Day - Old Course
Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (G1) Cilaos Emery
Racing Post Arkle Novices' Chase (G1) Min
Ultima Handicap Chase (G3) No ride?
Stan James Champion Hurdle (G1) Faugheen
OLBG Mares' Hurdle (G1) Annie Power
Close Brothers Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) Black Hercules haha

Wednesday, March 15, 2017 - Ladies Day - Old Course
Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle (G1) Invitation Only
RSA Novices' Chase (G1) Bellshill
Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle Race (G3) Too early?
Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (G1) Douvan
Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Too early?
Weatherbys Champion Bumper (National Hunt Flat Race) Ballyward (Getabird witll have Patrick on?)

Thursday, March 16, 2017 - St Patrick's Thursday - New Course
JLT Novices' Chase (G1) Yorkhill
Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Listed) No idea
Ryanair Chase (G1) Un De Sceaux
Sun Bets Stayers' Hurdle (G1) Vroum Vroum Mag
Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase
Trull House Stud Mares' Novices' Hurdle (G2) Camila De Cotte


Friday, March 17, 2017 - Gold Cup Day - New Course
JCB Triumph Hurdle (G1) Bapaume
Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle (G3)
Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (G1) Augusta Kate
Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (G1) Djakadam
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase (G3) Not a clue
 
This has to be impossible, history says so !!!

“Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they've been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It's an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It's a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.”

Kevloaf


and originally M.Ali

:highly_amused:
 
i think Ruby will ride Saturnas in the Neptune. Just a hunch......
 
“Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they've been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It's an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It's a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.”

Kevloaf


and originally M.Ali

:highly_amused:

Just see this - top marks :highly_amused::highly_amused:
 
“Impossible is just a big word thrown around by small men who find it easier to live in the world they've been given than to explore the power they have to change it. Impossible is not a fact. It's an opinion. Impossible is not a declaration. It's a dare. Impossible is potential. Impossible is temporary. Impossible is nothing.”

Kevloaf


and originally M.Ali

:highly_amused:

great quote. also like

Ever tried. Ever failed. No matter. Try Again. Fail again. Fail better.

which is where were are on this thread I think - Ill try on Monday.
 
Here goes, then we can all scoff at how wrong I have got it on 14 March...

Supreme - Melon
Arkle - Royal Caviar
Champion Hurdle - Yorkhill
Mares - Vroum Vroum Mag
Neptune - Saturnas
RSA -
Champion Chase - Douvan
Bumper - Wylie horse that won the 2m 4f race, can't remember name.
JLT - Bellshill
Ryanair - Un De Sceaux
Stayers - Shaneshill
Mares Novice - Airlie Beach
Triumph - Ricci horse that he rides on Sunday.
Albert - Augusta Kate
Gold Cup - Djakadam

Honourable mentions:

Let's Dance - Unsure where she goes, Neptune my guess as she seems to enjoy being ridden positively.
American Tom - May slot into the JLT and leave Bellshill for the RSA but I think he would need another run before Cheltenham

Discuss...........
 
Here goes, then we can all scoff at how wrong I have got it on 14 March...

Supreme - Melon correct
Arkle - Royal Caviar correct
Champion Hurdle - Yorkhill false - VVM see below
Mares - Vroum Vroum Mag false - Limini, when she absolutely slams Apples Jade and goes odds on.
Neptune - Saturnas false Let's Dance after the Deloitte flop
RSA - I can only offer Bellshill or Childrens List?!
Champion Chase - Douvan correct
Bumper - Wylie horse that won the 2m 4f race, can't remember name. Ballyward - correct
JLT - Bellshill false - Yorkhill
Ryanair - Un De Sceaux correct
Stayers - Shaneshill correct
Mares Novice - Airlie Beach correct
Triumph - Ricci horse that he rides on Sunday. correct Bapaume
Albert - Augusta Kate Correct .... or Bacardys, but I dunno where Augusta would ride and because of connections I think he'll wanna ride
Gold Cup - Djakadam correct

Honourable mentions:


Discuss...........

I've had a go at editing what I think could happen. I think if he didn't ride VVM in the CH, it'd be Nichols Canyon. Don't want to believe Yorkhill is moving until it inevtiably gets declared tomorrow morning
 
My go...

Supreme - Melon correct
Arkle - Royal Caviar correct
Champion Hurdle - Yorkhill false - N Canyon see below
Mares - Vroum Vroum Mag correct
Neptune - Let's Dance
RSA - I can only offer Bellshill or Childrens List?!
Champion Chase - Douvan correct
Bumper - Ballyward - correct
JLT - Bellshill false - Yorkhill
Ryanair - Un De Sceaux correct
Stayers - Shaneshill correct
Mares Novice - Airlie Beach correct
Triumph - Bapaume
Albert - Augusta Kate