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Royal Ascot 2021

King Edward VII stakes
Small field yet trappy. The form indicates Alenquer yet there is a strong stat against horses with less than 4 runs. Yibir ran well in the Sandown Trial but has disappointed since. The Med's form hasn;t worked out too well but you can't ignore an Aidan supplement!
Title looks a promising colt.

So I'm going to risk a return to form for Gear Up who seems to relish soft ground

1 Alenquer 13/8F
2 Tasman Bay 10/1
3 Title 5/1

Alenquer didn't know about the stat! Looks a good prospect
 
Thats got to be chucked out looking at the head on

Please god

Just this once
 
Going for zabeel champion in the 5:35, won the same prep race as Johnston's last winner of this race in 2019, Baghdad
 
Coronation Stakes - hot race with 3 1000 guineas winners of different countries
I prefer Empress Josephine over Mother Earth having shown such speed to win from such a long way back
Novemba and Potapova could be very good fillies and I might regret ignoring Fev Rover

Selections: Empress Josephine, Novemba
e/w Potapova, Fev Rover
 
I'm fuming

probably pocket talking but frankie was way too confident

Sitting there motionless and lets dragon symbol get almost a length in front then doesnt quite manage to get it back

He kicks earlier he wins

Cost me a shit load

There is a stewards though

He was awarded the race but it looked like a close call
 
Sandringham - a very difficult race
Possibles: Thinking of You, Create Belief, Teodolina, Urban Violet, Montego Bay, Far Hope
 
Commonwealth Cup
Possibles: A Case of You, Dragon Symbol, Campanelle, Dandalla, Suesa

Selection: Suesa
e/w Dandalla

After stewards:

1 Campanelle 5/1
2 Dragon Symbol 4/1
3 Measure of Magic 11/1
4 Dandalla 33/1

Dandalla was slowly away may be one to look out for in soft/heavy
 
Coronation Stakes - hot race with 3 1000 guineas winners of different countries
I prefer Empress Josephine over Mother Earth having shown such speed to win from such a long way back
Novemba and Potapova could be very good fillies and I might regret ignoring Fev Rover

Selections: Empress Josephine, Novemba
e/w Potapova, Fev Rover

1 Alcohol Free 11/2
2 Snow Lantern 14/1
3 Mother Earth 9/2
4 Novemba 15/2

I didn't think AF was that unlucky in the 1000 guineas - it may be she just prefers soft ground never having run on it before
Poor run by EJ
 
Duke of Edinburgh

Zabeel Champion, Win O.clock, Mirann, Tritonic, Dark Pine
 
I finally had some needed winners on day 4!:joyous: Still very much down on the week but hoping day 5 will swing things round as I have quite a few decent fancies.
DateMeetingTimeHorse
SaturdayRoyal Ascot15.05Light Refrain
SaturdayRoyal Ascot15.05Mutasaabeq
SaturdayRoyal Ascot15,40Wonderful Tonight
SaturdayRoyal Ascot15,40Albaflora
SaturdayRoyal Ascot16.20Art Power
SaturdayRoyal Ascot17.00Rohaan
SaturdayRoyal Ascot17.00Pendleton
SaturdayRoyal Ascot17.00Mr Lupton
SaturdayRoyal Ascot17.00Chief Of Staffs
SaturdayRoyal Ascot17.35Fantastic Fox
SaturdayRoyal Ascot18.10Stag Horn
SaturdayRoyal Ascot18.10The Grand Visir

Main bet is Stag Horn/The Grand Visir. Conditions will be perfect for them and Falcon Eight is making the market. There was talk from Weld of pulling him out of the Chester Cup as the ground was good to soft and that he has to have good ground! IMO, there's no way he's going to beat The Grand Visir on 4lbs worse terms on slower ground over a longer distance.

I'm also really bullish on Fantastic Fox. His third behind Snow Lantern and Derab reads very well and he is seriously well handicapped imo. I'm not sure why they took him all the way up to Hamilton for his Maiden but I'm hoping it was to get experience of going right handed as a prep for this. Being by Frankel, I don't think he'll mind the ground either. It's a shame I took early prices as he has now drifted but I've already had my max on him.
 
….free ?5 Royal Ascot bet with 365.
 
A couple of 50/1 shots to end the week.

17:35 - Dingle - Bit of a cliff horse, over priced with Hollie Doyle on though at 50s?
18:10 - Calling The Wind - AH has tipped, better case than I'll make.


Hope people have had a decent week! Has looked very, very tough.
 
3.05 Aussie Ace at 22-1 on the nose.....decent effort against Poetic Flare on seasonal debut and trip combined with the ground could make him good value.
 
3.05 Aussie Ace at 22-1 on the nose.....decent effort against Poetic Flare on seasonal debut and trip combined with the ground could make him good value.


….did it myself but it’s now a n/r.
 
Chesham Stakes
O'Brien has a good record in this race. There is an odd stat that horses with 7f form don't do well - maybe because previous 2-y-o 7f races aren't that good quality as I can't see the harm in having form over the distance esp in soft ground!

Selection: Point Lonsdale
Others: Great Max, Masekela
 
Jersey Stakes

Often goes to an outsider and has an odd record of not being often won by a horse who won LTO. Low draws (1-3) don't do too well either

Possibles:
Fast Raaj, Fundamental, Khartoum, Mehmento, Light Refrain, Tactical
and I find this race too open to narrow these down further
 
Each way Ascot Yankee today of Naval Crown, Highest Ground, Fresh and Irish Legend.

Also, the 'real' Derby is at 3:25 at Down Royal today lol have gone for Sheishybrid, normally those who've won last time out have a good record in the Ulster derby and 5lb claimer means horse is running around same weight as last win.

Good luck all
 
Chesham Stakes
O'Brien has a good record in this race. There is an odd stat that horses with 7f form don't do well - maybe because previous 2-y-o 7f races aren't that good quality as I can't see the harm in having form over the distance esp in soft ground!

Selection: Point Lonsdale
Others: Great Max, Masekela

1 Point Lonsdale 10/11
2 Reach for the Moon 11/1
3 Great Max 15/2

Great Max ran on well in the closing stages: promising. The winner ran green. Masekelal became isolated.