charlie
Fat Jockey Patron (est. March 2021)
Great stats
..but are you saying don't back Paul at Chelte.? Or are we saying ignore the stats this year because he has a good army now ? I cant see this form following through to mid March so i would say let the punters pile on the Paul specials and the handicaps.
Nobody is blanket saying don't back Paul at Cheltenham, but people should be mindful, especially as he hoses up races pre-festival, that his 'army' is somewhat depleted. To me he has 4 'stable stars' in Cyrname, Politilogue, CDO and Topofthegame. You can instantly discount the first two, they won't go. I am not a fan of CDO but many say he should be GC fav, and Topofthegame is quality. Outside of that you are relying on handicaps if you are betting on his runners. Of which, I would only really look at the 4 he has done well in, unless of course there is a strong case to be made in another race.