• HELP US - Become a Patron - Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated ... a small donation each month would be a huge contribution. Become a Patron!

Non Runner No Bet (post #1 for updates)

My honeysuckle cash out has jumped as a result of them going nrnb
 
Might pay to check some of your bets now 365 have gone NRNB on some races. I had Penhill which i had done eachway at16s just cashed it for the same monies i put on and backed it again at 16s NRNB
 
Might pay to check some of your bets now 365 have gone NRNB on some races. I had Penhill which i had done eachway at16s just cashed it for the same monies i put on and backed it again at 16s NRNB

Good spot this I've just done the same with Sizing John.
 
My honeysuckle cash out has jumped as a result of them going nrnb

Mine too,really feel like cashing out for 4+times original stake, would love to know definite intended target, personally i dont think it will be Churdle, whuch is making it even more tempting
 
Mine too,really feel like cashing out for 4+times original stake, would love to know definite intended target, personally i dont think it will be Churdle, whuch is making it even more tempting

Genuinely think she’ll go champion hurdle especially if she wins the Irish champion hurdle, she’s swerving the mares race which makes me think champion even more
 
Genuinely think she’ll go champion hurdle especially if she wins the Irish champion hurdle, she’s swerving the mares race which makes me think champion even more

The reason she's going Irish Churdle is mainly down to the timing of the race. Run in that and she gets 5 weeks break before Cheltenham which is perfect. Run in Mares (Quevega) race or Red Mills and it's only 3 weeks to Fez which is not ideal. Clearly, if she wins it easily then the Churdle will have to be discussed more seriously but I'm still very confident she'll end up in the Mares race.
 
The reason she's going Irish Churdle is mainly down to the timing of the race. Run in that and she gets 5 weeks break before Cheltenham which is perfect. Run in Mares (Quevega) race or Red Mills and it's only 3 weeks to Fez which is not ideal. Clearly, if she wins it easily then the Churdle will have to be discussed more seriously but I'm still very confident she'll end up in the Mares race.

Would it concern you if she couldn't beat the opposition in the Irish Champion ??
And if she does then she will probably go for the champion.

What is the best result for your hopes.
I reckon it's a lose lose situation. If she can't best them, then Benie will likely be tougher.
 
Would it concern you if she couldn't beat the opposition in the Irish Champion ??
And if she does then she will probably go for the champion.

What is the best result for your hopes.
I reckon it's a lose lose situation. If she can't best them, then Benie will likely be tougher.

I think they'll treat it like a prep. Apple's will tow her along and if she can pick her up then fine but I don't think they'll want to give her a hard race. It depends who turns up there. If it's just Apple's and Supasundae then even if she wins then that won't tell us much. If Sharjah turns up as well and she beats him for pace from the last then I'd be a little worried they might sway but they still wouldn't know if she has the beating of Epatante or Saldier. Interesting stuff though.
 
I think they'll treat it like a prep. Apple's will tow her along and if she can pick her up then fine but I don't think they'll want to give her a hard race. It depends who turns up there. If it's just Apple's and Supasundae then even if she wins then that won't tell us much. If Sharjah turns up as well and she beats him for pace from the last then I'd be a little worried they might sway but they still wouldn't know if she has the beating of Epatante or Saldier. Interesting stuff though.

Isn't it worth more money than the Mares ?
Doubt they'll treat as a prep.
I'd expect Sharjah to run even if grounds soft.
 
So going back to the thread topic.

Sbet all races
Bfred 4 championship races.

Anyone else? Whos next?
 
Oddschecker are showing Unibet are NRNB in the Ryanair?

Doesn't look like it on their website to me... same for anyone else?
 
Yes same here but on Unibet’s website it shows as ante post. Would be a bit weird to just go nrnb on the Ryanair so guess it must be an Oddschecker error.
 
Appreciate this angle won’t appeal to most but will share anyway. As i’ve got a bit more liquidity this year on Betfair I’m on the look out for horses who’s NRNB price is similar to their price on the machine but I think there is a reasonable chance of the horse taking up a different target. I first did this a couple of years back when there was a lot of media talk about Samcro going for the Supreme.

I’ve done it again today with Shishkin for a couple of points NRNB at 10s and laid off at the same price. A couple of people on here have made good cases for him going up in trip as also mentioned by Nico post race. That said with the flood of money that has come for him since I would definitely make the Supreme about a 60-70% chance. Anyway it’s zero risk and already had a book on the Supreme market so only downside is having a couple of points tied up
 
Honeysuckle the wrong price entirely for the CH and surprised they have made such an error.... she only runs if she hoses up in the Irish Champion. If she does she will be cut to 2-1 at least, maybe even 7/4. The cashout at that point will be very nice. If it is indicated she will run in the CH you hold you can lay some off post decs.
Anything other than that and she goes mares anyway so nothing lost.
 
Honeysuckle the wrong price entirely for the CH and surprised they have made such an error.... she only runs if she hoses up in the Irish Champion. If she does she will be cut to 2-1 at least, maybe even 7/4. The cashout at that point will be very nice. If it is indicated she will run in the CH you hold you can lay some off post decs.
Anything other than that and she goes mares anyway so nothing lost.

Didn’t last long...cut to 4s