May ‘24 Yankee

[Eggs]

With April sorted, we move onto May.

Perhaps we could consider the Punchestown Festival, Dancing City (BANC) would be my nomination with post race comments suggesting he’s going down the chasing route, generally 10-1 with bits of 12-1 available.

 

[HoldenTheReins]

I think if you have Jade, Golden Ace and Dysart in the books for the mares hurdle you've likely got the winner.

The spanner in the works would be Lossiemouth not going CH.

Since we have Golden Ace in the last one I'd vote for either one of Jade or Dysart.

 

[Eggs]

I think if you have Jade, Golden Ace and Dysart in the books for the mares hurdle you've likely got the winner.

The spanner in the works would be Lossiemouth not going CH.

Since we have Golden Ace in the last one I'd vote for either one of Jade or Dysart.

….i’d like to get Dysart onside too, she’s unbeaten under rules and 14-1 is decent. She’s beaten GA 9L in their Aintree bumper run, a tenuous form line with the Irish. Indeed, I did the Dysart/Dancing City double earlier this morning.

 

[HoldenTheReins]

….i’d like to get Dysart onside too, 14-1 is decent. She’s beaten GA convincingly in their bumper run, a tenuous form line with the Irish. Indeed, I did the Dysart/Dancing City double earlier this morning.

I've lost track but do we know why we haven't seen Dysart? she was lame at Cheltenham but hasn't been seen since.

 

[Eggs]

I've lost track but do we know why we haven't seen Dysart? she was lame at Cheltenham but hasn't been seen since.

….she was entered at Aintree but from what I can remember she was withdrawn on account of the going. All set up to give her trainer his first festival win on the opening day next season.

 

[BagOfHammers]

….she was entered at Aintree but from what I can remember she was withdrawn on account of the going. All set up to give her trainer his first festival win on the opening day next season.

Pretty sure she was also entered for that race at the Cheltenham April meeting won by Golden Ace. Anyone know why she didn’t get declared?

 

[Lobos]

Ballyburn...Arkle
Impaire Et Passe.....Turners
Majborough......BANC
Dancing City........NHC

 

[Lobos]

Pretty sure she was also entered for that race at the Cheltenham April meeting won by Golden Ace. Anyone know why she didn’t get declared?

Thought someone said she was lame again at Aintree ??

 

[FinalFurlong91]

Thought someone said she was lame again at Aintree ??

I thought she was withdrawn due to ground at Aintree

But may be wrong

 

[archie]

RP says 'unsuitable ground' for Aintree and 'self-certificate, lame' for Cheltenham.

 

[Saxon Warrior]

Not so much an antepost fan of horses that need certain ground conditions to run well (or even turn up).

Ones to back with smaller stakes antepost and/or leave til closer to the day.

Unless they're so superior to the rest that they're worth having early, and chancing the weather/ground.

 

[Eggs]

Not so much an antepost fan of horses that need certain ground conditions to run well (or even turn up).

Ones to back with smaller stakes antepost and/or leave til closer to the day.

Unless they're so superior to the rest that they're worth having early, and chancing the weather/ground.

….anything from Punchestown taken your eye, Sax?

 

[Saxon Warrior]

….anything from Punchestown taken your eye, Sax?

Just been reviewing all the key races Eggs , and the ratings given by the Racing Post

Some interesting thoughts came from that, whether they're potential money-making antepost thoughts, or not, I am formulating those a.t.m.

 

[Eggs]

Just been reviewing all the key races Eggs , and the ratings given by the Racing Post

Some interesting thoughts came from that, whether they're potential money-making antepost thoughts, or not, I am formulating those a.t.m.

….yep, following your Punchestown thread with great interest.

 

[amtrakker]

From the Punchestown festival, I think Stumptown may be a candidate for the Cross Country Chase next year, and from the Cheltenham meeting last Friday, I though What A Glance worth a second look for the Foxhunters.

 

[RufusFlynn]

From the Punchestown festival, I think Stumptown may be a candidate for the Cross Country Chase next year, and from the Cheltenham meeting last Friday, I though What A Glance worth a second look for the Foxhunters.

I thought Stumptown was an interesting recruit to the XC races - although IMO far more likely to win one of the handicapped races at the earlier Cheltenham meetings rather than at the Festival in March.

 

[Craigy14]

Wouldn’t touch the cross country with any potential changes to the festival that would be high up on the list imo.

 

[Spectre]

I think the early yankees are a little trickier than usual this year, not least because races like the NH Chase, The Turners, and the XC are all potentially under threat in some way. There's a good chance that all will have their conditions changed, and with two of them being novice chases there is potential for impact to the Arkle and the Brown Advisory. Plus I wouldn't usually include the Mares Hurdle at this early stage, because targets can be less clear, some Mares don't progress, and the step up to two and half can catch some out and improves others. So for me it essentially takes five races out of play for these currently.

However things like this can also help to focus the mind, and that for me leaves 5 races that I would reasonably consider for these in the immediate term until we know more. Or the start of the season starts to put horses in the frame for other races. Below are the races and horses I think are the ones to focus on. They are the only ones that I believe can or should be considered as solid selections. It's very much worth looking back at the winners over the last three seasons that could have reasonably have been picked at this stage of the season, and the races below are also those that it is statistically more likely that we'd find the winner in May-September.

Given there has been (understandably), very little activity on this thread this month, how does everyone feel about picking their favourite four horses from the list below, and then based on the most popular selections they go into the yankee for this month?

Champion Hurdle
Constitution Hill
State Man
Lossiemouth

Champion Chase
El Fabiolo
Gaelic Warrior
Jonbon

Stayers Hurdle
Teahupoo
Theleme

Gold Cup
Galopin Des Champs
Fact To file

Mares Chase
Brighterdaysahead
Dinoblue
Limerick Lace
​

 

[Eggs]

….sensible approach Spectre and pretty much in thinking with the last two months discussions. It certainly gives MOM a bit of ammunition. With Teahupoo already finding his way into the first two bets this year, I’ll go;

Lossiemouth
Gaelic Warrior
F2F
BDA

 

[Imperial Commander]

Interesting stuff Spectre, I've certainly done less Festival multis at this stage than usual due to uncertainty.

Lots of solid selections there - the main query I would have is how sure are we that BDA will go chasing?