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Mares Hurdle 2021

That Minella melody bet is really, really good. The sort that if you weren’t disciplined you could easily pile into. She’s had one bad run in her career, admittedly it was at last years festival, but she was one of the best of last years crop of novice mares and this season she’s finished second to beacon edge & concertista who’s even money fav here twice.

probably beaten easier than the bare winning distance would suggest against both of those, but in her last race she’s given the rest of the field weight & a comfortable beating. She could easily be the best of the rest of the Irish mares. Her price of 28/1 looks totally based on her being well held by concertista twice, and that big price has filtered down into the without concertista market. It’s not a strong field and you could be getting paid for her finishing 5th!
 
I think Minella Melody has been overlooked, done a bet without favourites and you can still get 10/1. I know its come 2nd to Concertista but it was giving weight to My sister sarah and Black tears and finished infront of them last time out. I just don't understand why this horse is 10/1 W/O fav's and thats even inclduing without Rosksana.

Really like this bet, have had a go myself, cheers :victorious:
 
10/1 for Minella Melody without Concertista and Roksana is very, very interesting.

She finished ahead of Black Tears giving her 6lbs.

She's twice been second to Concertista, but in this market, is that not a massive price?



Dame De Compagnie and Indefatigable have won Cheltenham handicaps which is great, but they were still handicaps and neither have had a GREAT season in terms of prep?

She's also finished ahead of My Sister Sarah giving her weight before.



Only out of the first 3 once, which annoyingly for the 'case' was at Cheltenham for the Mares Novice Hurdle. She was 11/4f for the race, and it'd be a question mark, but 10/1 without the top 2 is a big price isn't it?


2 pts e/w :indecisiveness:
 
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I’ve gone 1pt e/w on that.

Already have her in the to place market; but in theory you are getting evens for a top 5 finish in an 11 race field.

Great spot
 
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Concertista with a sudden drift from 2.1 to 2.5 this afternoon. Market correction?
 
The 10/1 is for MM in the without market now into 11/2 and she’s the only one being backed, into 18s when she was as big as 33s last night
 
Glad I got on at 10/1 for Minella melody W/O markets absoloutle steal of a price that was
 
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Final thoughts:

The 3 trend horses are Concertista, Roksana and Minella Melody with Concertista having no blanks.
She seems to have the beating of Minella Melody. Roksana has won this race but has been trying 3m this season.

Selection: Concertista
Value: Minella Melody

Actually Concertista seems more sure than Honeysuckle. Is this today's big surprise? Can't see her losing though.
 
It'll be an interesting one come Wednesday, both BT and GWS have shown their best form in big fields, now with 3 or 4 runners they don't have much choice :boxing:

As i said earlier in the thread i quite like the idea of Black Tears e/w here or preferably w/o Concertista. Tempted to just take her at 33s now as i presume she'll be cut a little if she wins Wednesday, or at leat the 33s won't exist.

Go on Black Tears!
 
Savage she just pipped her, but do you know what, 7/4 Cocert place boom, BT 4/1 place boom, BT to place and Shiskin to win @ 4/1 boom - decent profit
 
Kennedy just loves rear ending my dreams in the Mares hurdle ffs haha
 
Gutted I'm surprised more than anything, only one that's done me today, surprised concertista lost aswell
 
That hurt that one did. Still in profit for the race but yeah that hurt
 
Not sure what the tactics were on MM. Completely different to how they run her every other race. Wouldn't have got close most likely but always frustrating when they change tactics in the big one.