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Ladbrokes Trophy 2018

Willie Mullins speaking on the phone at Ladbrokes Trophy press day: "Kemboy looks the one for me. He has picked up a 4lb penalty but he is fit and well and I think he is improving." Total Recall, Rathvinden and Pairofbrowneyes could also run. Al Boum Photo and Invitation Only ruled out.

If you think about it, Rathvinden and Ms Parfois are handicapped to within half a length.
 
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Interested to see how they run Rathvinden, do they give him a chance to try and be a GC horse or are they already focusing on the Nash for him
 
Bit of a word doing the rounds for Dingo Dollar, big price at 20s so maybe worth a few pounds Each Way
 
Looks to me like quite a few of the top weights might pull out at the confirmation stage on Tuesday.

Incidentally, I think that the RP have got the card wrong in the way that they've applied penalties. As I understand it, penalties aren't applied until declaration time and only then when the weights have been raised to make top weight 11-12. If the top rated declaration is Un Temps Pour Tout, original weights will go up 7lb. Kemboy's actual OR is 157 not 161 as shown in the RP (by including the 4lb penalty) so his weight will go up to 11-11 before the penalty is applied. No horse will carry more than 11-12 so he will, in effect, only get a 1lb penalty.
 
archie said:
Looks to me like quite a few of the top weights might pull out at the confirmation stage on Tuesday.

Incidentally, I think that the RP have got the card wrong in the way that they've applied penalties. As I understand it, penalties aren't applied until declaration time and only then when the weights have been raised to make top weight 11-12. If the top rated declaration is Un Temps Pour Tout, original weights will go up 7lb. Kemboy's actual OR is 157 not 161 as shown in the RP (by including the 4lb penalty) so his weight will go up to 11-11 before the penalty is applied. No horse will carry more than 11-12 so he will, in effect, only get a 1lb penalty.
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That's my understanding too Archie. Best of luck:encouragement:
 
Cheers FM. Makes you wonder how he might have fared in the Irish National off 145 if Cooper had given him a proper sight of the first fence.
 
archie said:
Cheers FM. Makes you wonder how he might have fared in the Irish National off 145 if Cooper had given him a proper sight of the first fence.
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You'd have to think he would have won head in chest!

Are you making the trip to watch him?
 
ironically, I'm flying over the other way for Fairyhouse.
 
MS PARFOIS for me. I see alot if you are already on her at bigger price, so makes me feel even more confident she will do the job!
 
On Ms P 20s surprised Rathvinden still available at the same price. Was tempted by 25s but didn't know if it was an intended runner.
 
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The rain is coming for American and Ms Parfois! :devilish:
 
Invitation Only left in aswell, not expecting him to run but if he did I’d be on him like a rash
 
Only 17 runners at 5 day stage ?, and 5 mullins, 2 elliott, be surprised if 4 of them run.
Happy with Parfois 4 places at 22s, should be favourite.
 
ignore that ATR got it wrong I think (only 17 on their racecard) ??
 
From thestatsdontlie.com

Trends
Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 & 8
Price – 4 of the last 12 favourites have won, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Ladbrokes Trophy , 7/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 24 furlongs or further, 9/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 24 furlongs or further
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 150 or higher
Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
 
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