I’m a man with a plan folks... hear me out..
Most people would agree this looks a two horse race for win purposes. I’m certainly one of them. Most people would agree Epatante won’t be beaten in the Christmas Hurdle. I’m certainly one of them.
Currently Epatante is 4/9 best priced. Cyrname or CDO to win is best priced 8/13. No way of doubling them though even if we wanted to. That double would’ve paid (if both best prices were with the same bookie) 5/4.
Right.. Paddy Power right now are offering 5/1 about Cyrname and Epatante in a boosted double.
As the defending champion, I’m expecting Clan Des Obeaux to be in the usual ‘on the day’ boosted double across the bookies on Boxing Day with Epatante. The current double for the two at best price is 3/1. I’d expect someone will offer a boost of around 7/2 or 4/1 for the double even. Even if it’s 7/2, that would mean dutching the 5/1 available now on PP for Epatante/Cyrname with the 7/2 on the day double for Epatante/CDO pays 2/1 and 5/4. That’s for the minimum 7/2 double with CDO. I still think there’s a fair chance someone offfers bigger than that.
That’s my plan at 4:58am and I’m sticking to it. Only issue is there’s a max stake for the PP double right now at 5/1 of ?20. Though if you wanted to Dutch at bigger amounts, I suppose we can access other PP accounts.
Level stake means you’re getting 5/4 after Epatante wins for CDO and 2/1 for Cyrname.
Hit me with why this is a bad idea folks..
Can make a case for most but I played CDO a few days ago and have today added Frodon 3 places 9/2 and 4 places on the fair at around 5/2.
Should be a belter of a race...
I bloody love Frodon. He's like one of those bands for me that you like before they're famous and then they make it to a bigger stage and get a bit too mainstream and the novelty wears off a bit, but you still like them enough to buy their albums, you just don't talk about it as much as you used to. I don't know what I'm saying :very_drunk::satellite:
I'm sitting on a 33-1 a/p ticket for Saint Calvados too. Didn't think i'd even get a run , i read something about him having blood poisoning ??.
Agree with most on here, second and third fav look underpriced to me and little interest in Lost in Translation. CDO looks a solid fav but I do wonder if there might be an upset this year. All small stakes CDO win, Reel Steel (33s antepost), Waiting Patiently (25/1) and Saint Calvados (20/1) E/W. Also done all 4 for combo R F/Cs and T/Cs
Im
waiting to see if my bet landed, i needed cyrname to beay LIT...LIT pulled up before cyrname did so i dont lnow whats happening! Anyone think ive got a winner? Im like 70/20 towards a losing bet:smug:
It was meant to pay ?97.15 off a tenner (treble with son of camas to place and TBB without shan blue) and they have returned ?71.15???? Dont ask me why! But ill take it for more bullets for tommorow..if chelsea and norwich win then ill
have it right off though!