….as per
@ComplyOrDie suggestion last month, I think it’s ideal timing for a
@Saxon Warrior themed Yankee this month.
I’d already be quite certain of two;
Doctor du Mesni (Turners). From the above, Saxon has a slight preference for Turners, although FJs might want to split stakes capturing Supreme (for which he was selected last month).
State Man (Champion Hurdle).
I’d be tempted with Irancy, although Saxon indicating KDB has the best profile for Arkle. Maybe tease a couple out and get the selections out this week.
@Saxon Warrior is there anything you’d particularly suggest we include?
Note; BFSB have a bet £5 multiple, get £5 multiple this week.
I reminded myself of the interviews Willie gave at the DRF after...
first
Kopek Des Bordes (over 2M)
and then
Final Demand (over 2M6F)
blitzed the fields of these 2 Grade 1 Novice Hurdles.
Both after just one lifetime Hurdle run (and one prior lifetime run - KDB in a Bumper, FS in a P2P)
Gist of what Willie said was that - if you're lucky you get one of these horses every 4 or 5 years, but this season we've got 2 of them.
So I watched back all of their racecourse runs.
Goodness, Final Demand was more impressive than I even recall at Christmas, and also was excellent at the DRF and at Punchestown.
Real pity about the Turners in March.
RPRs say he ran up to scratch, but it didnt quite look like it to my eyes.
He took on better horses though, but he didnt dominate them and stretch them - which made him vulnerable.
Kopek Des Bordes
Brilliant Bumper debut.
Sketchy Hurdles debut to overcome the odds he gave himself to win
Then sauntered in at the DRF, even when a loose horse tried to nudge him out of it.
Plenty good enough in the Supreme
Then chased Salvator Mundi and didnt last into the straight at Punchestown
No reports on why.
Both are likely to go to Arkle and BANC as targets given the lack of midtrip NovCH.
I came away from that study, with Willies words at the DRF ringing in my ears.
and I think they'll both be hard to beat during the winter.
State Man given his age will have one more chance before reaching 10yo to win a 2nd Champion Hurdle.
The lack of desire to run Lossiemouth against him last year in March doesnt bode well to her taking him on this coming year.
Plus Paul shows no interest on riding her against him.
Con.Hill looks 2 years past his brilliant best.
So State Man looks good value.
DDM is the only NovH Im interested in at this point.
The Gold Cup looks trappy to nail 1 as a winner atm.
Ryanair always is, but easy to see F2F going back to it again, though 4/1 and having tried 3 different trips the last 3 runs leaves him a bit like Gaelic Warrior (where will either end up by March).
Mares is messy with Lossiemouth short.
Mares Chase has worthy fav, said to be running again in it.
But some good Novices form last year coming through plus Brighterdaysahead going chasing - and still not a Cheltenham Festival winner.
QMCC I like what Marine Nationale did in March. Plus Kalif du Berlais did really well at Aintree as only a 5yo.
Stayers I'd back Ballyburn or Jasmin de Vaux over Teahupoo if either went there.
Probably add in Jimmy Du Seuil for that too - or for the BANC as an outsiders to watch - he pissed in, in that Coral Cup after a season without a run. Though his stallion hasn't had a good 3M horse yet.
So overall if I was tempted to back a multi at the moment it would probably be less adventurous than I usually go this far out.
Say....
Kopek De Bordes - Arkle
State Man - Champion Hurdle
Doctor Du Mesnil - Turners
Final Demand - BANC
all done and dusted by Race 2 Day 2
Also do the saver with the 7 parts of a Yankee that DDM appears in, also replicated with the Supreme
So Yankee as above
And
DDM Supreme doubles with
State Man
Final Demand
Kopek DB
DDM Supreme Acca with those 3
DDM Trebles with
KopekDB/Final D
KopekDB/State Man
Final D/State Man
So 18 bets in total.
Keep them small, they rarely come off
