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January Forum Yankee

Brooksie

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Thought I'd get the post up and running for Middle_Of_March , see what peoples thoughts are as we enter 2022 and just 65 more days to go.

Owners theme this month with a Caldwell Construction Ltd yankee perhaps..

Mighty Potter Supreme 14/1
American Mike Champion Bumper 3/1
Pied Piper Boodles 20/1
Fil Dor Triumph 3/1
 
…I suggest we’re at a point where we want 4 winners at decent price rather than specific themes. The handicaps will also come more into play.
 
How about best remaining ‘value’ winners? Along the lines of Telmesomethinggirl at 6/1 for the Mares Hurdle.
 
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Thought I'd get the post up and running for Middle_Of_March , see what peoples thoughts are as we enter 2022 and just 65 more days to go.

Owners theme this month with a Caldwell Construction Ltd yankee perhaps..

Mighty Potter Supreme 14/1
American Mike Champion Bumper 3/1
Pied Piper Boodles 20/1
Fil Dor Triumph 3/1

A bective stud owned horse wouldn't follow your suggested theme:watermelon:
 
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How about best remaining ‘value’ winners? Along the lines of Telmesomethinggirl at 6/1 for the Mares Hurdle.

Worth checking previous yankees, I think TMSG is in two already, that's not to say she can't be in another of course...
 
How about best remaining ‘value’ winners? Along the lines of Telmesomethinggirl at 6/1 for the Mares Hurdle.

Agreed. First value winner for me: Gerri Colombe - 25/1 for the Ballymore
 
A bective stud owned horse wouldn't follow your suggested theme:watermelon:

that's a very good point haha, no idea why I was thinking they owned American Mike :beaten:
 
Think Vauban over-priced....see Triumph post re more detail

Like many others....would also go for TMSG and Gerri (Bally) as over-priced at mo
 
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My vote FWIW is just four winners, however, the handicaps are up now so possibly some better prices can be had.
 
Think Vauban over-priced....see Triumph post re more detail

Like many others....would also go for TMSG and Gerri (Bally) as over-priced at mo

We're on the same page. +1 for Vauban.

Minella Indo would be my other suggestion but assume he's already in 1 or 2 of them.
 
JP is odds on for 5 or more winners.

Dinoblue
Prengarde
Elimay
Jonbon
 
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My 2 pence worth…

Vauban - Triumph
Eric Bloodaxe - Albert Bartlett
TMSG - Mares
APT - GC
 
With the Britzka run yesterday, it did remind me not to get too involved in handicaps early doors, so I wonder if we don' wait until next months yankee, following the DRF to include handicaps? Accepting there might be an exception or two.

Following up my initial selection of Gerri Colombe in the Ballymore, I'd also support inclusion of Vauban who, like others have said, ran in to a very good one LTO, but PP's participation will be uncertain because of his being owned by the current fav. My only thought re Vauban, is whether Willie would be considering holding him back for a novice campaign next year?

My other two suggestion are:

Janidil - Ryanair @ 14/1.Entry into the race and realistically, there is nowhere else for him to run so would be happy with missing the NRNB for the extra few points. Ran well behind Allaho at the John Deer. Didn't stay the 3m at Leopardstown, but wasn't given the greatest of rides imo. What if Allaho isn't the same horse this year? Could also here a case of Asterion in the Ryanair.

Dinoblue - Mares Novice @ 10/1. Really impressed with her on debut, much more than I was Allegorie de Vassy to be honest. It's such an open race this year with very little collateral form; if they all turned up, I wouldn't be surprised if any of the first 7 in the betting won.

I think all 4 have a genuine chance of winning, and a solid chance of finishing in the first 3 at decent prices.

43757/1 with PP.
 
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…I suggest we’re at a point where we want 4 winners at decent price rather than specific themes. The handicaps will also come more into play.

Absolutely.

For these final two Yankees, there won’t be a theme and it’ll be all about trying to find four winners. Even if a couple of shorties find their way in their if a strong enough collective argument can be made that the horse is fair value.
 
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Will throw two into the mix for this month.
Blue lord Arkle
Mount Ida Mares Chase
 
My suggestions would be:

Galvin - Gold Cup
XC - Plan of Attack
Mares - Heaven Help Us
NHC - Run Wild Fred
 
A lot of the markets seem quite settled but I've tried to have a look at the last few that feel a bit more open (beyond the handicaps which I'm trying to avoid until NRNB!).

FWIW I'd throw into the mix:

Gerri Colombe - Ballymore

Widely discussed in the Ballymore thread but I think he still looks a great price. If targets remain as we expect (obviously a big if), I think he could end up fighting this out with Dysart Dynamo.

Queens Brook - Mares Hurdle

That 2020 Bumper form looks good. She's likely to be Gordon Elliott's preferred runner. A lot to find on TMSG in the ratings but I think she is open to further improvement and should enjoy the trip and hill (especially if there is a strong pace).

Pied Piper - Triumph Hurdle

Has recorded the best debut RPR of any juvenile yet this season and looked really good beating Vauban. Obviously same connections as Fil Dor but worth noting that - when asked about the Triumph after PP's run - Gordon Elliott said: "We have Fil Dor but there's no harm having another dart to fire at it" (https://www.racingtv.com/videos/watch/ondemand/119894). Not certain but a good sign. Also, they'd have to try and squeeze another two runs in before the Festival if they wanted to send him to the Boodles which is not impossible but currently feels unlikely.

Minella Indo - Gold Cup

I prefer Galvin at this stage but he's featured in some Yankees before and Minella Indo feels too big right now given the likely field. There's a decent chance the KG can be explained by course and tactics. We know he loves the New Course and the likely Festival ground. For me, the GC is currently close between APT, Galvin and MI and MI is the one under-estimated in the market.
 
A lot of the markets seem quite settled NRNB!).

Worth remembering that Middle_Of_March won't be choosing the final selections until after Trials Day, there are also other crucial meetings both sides of the Irish Sea before the end of Jan so that settled market is always ripe for a shake up...
 
….Brandy Love (MNH) @ 8-1 has to be a consideration with form being so well franked this month. She’d be my suggestion.