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General Chat

Paddy Power have a podcast/video with Frank and Ruby previewing the National Hunt season which is a decent watch.
 
Ruby is very keen on El Fabiolo for the Arkle isn’t he

That quiet Ruby confidence is quite telling, especially when he mentioned him along with all the other potential novice chasers Willie has.
 
In that Josh racing youtube channel thing, they've gone for:

Andrew: Scarlett & Dove (Mares Chase)
Josh: King Of Kingsfield e/w (Bumper)

Posh Josh had tweeted about him recently too. Word is out for him and the entry now puts him towards the top of Gordon’s pile most likely. Only doubt is still over Gigginstown running him at the festival (if good enough of course).
 
He's a short price tomorrow but BOOM BOOM for Nicky Henderson has the form in the book and should really be winning the 1.20 at Newbury.

That Leave of Absence ran well in the G2 Bumper at Aintree and confirmed form with Blow Your Wad on hurdles debut last week.

Just had a look back at previous renewals and Hendo has usually thrown a decent dart at this race: Broomfield Burg (2021), Dusart (2020), Mister Fisher (2018), Claimantakinforgan (2017).

Claiman & Mister Fisher both ran in the Supreme while Dusart went straight to Aintree and finished 3rd in the G1 Novices race won by Jonbon this year. Broomfield Burg didn't quite hit those heights but ran in a Betfair Hurdle, a County Hurdle and an Aintree handicap.

Even if you don't back him tomorrow, BOOM BOOM is certainly worth a follow if he wins - or is even placed (Burg & Fisher both finished 2nd while the other two won).

Disappointing to see him withdrawn shortly before racing started. Was taking one hell of a haircut since last night
 
I had a little look at how the novice hurdle winners fared in the championship chase races in the following years. Whilst I only scanned the racing post site which went back to 2010-12 seasons, I was quite surprised to see that the only ones I could see were Altior (Supreme, Champ chase), Vautour (Supreme, Ryanair) and not the same but Cue Card won the bumper and the Ryanair. There's a few who went close and I may have missed one but I did find it interesting that there were so few of the winning novice hurdlers that went on to have wins in the big championship chases.
 
I had a little look at how the novice hurdle winners fared in the championship chase races in the following years. Whilst I only scanned the racing post site which went back to 2010-12 seasons, I was quite surprised to see that the only ones I could see were Altior (Supreme, Champ chase), Vautour (Supreme, Ryanair) and not the same but Cue Card won the bumper and the Ryanair. There's a few who went close and I may have missed one but I did find it interesting that there were so few of the winning novice hurdlers that went on to have wins in the big championship chases.

Minella Indo, no?
 
I had a little look at how the novice hurdle winners fared in the championship chase races in the following years. Whilst I only scanned the racing post site which went back to 2010-12 seasons, I was quite surprised to see that the only ones I could see were Altior (Supreme, Champ chase), Vautour (Supreme, Ryanair) and not the same but Cue Card won the bumper and the Ryanair. There's a few who went close and I may have missed one but I did find it interesting that there were so few of the winning novice hurdlers that went on to have wins in the big championship chases.

Bob's Worth as well if you want to go 1 year further back.

If you look at this year's 2nd season chasers, we are looking at Galopin, L'Homme Presse and Ferny Hollow potentially being the best novices into open company from a Cheltenham perspective and none of them won a grade 1 novice hurdle at Cheltenham (although Ferny was injured and Galopin did win a handicap easily).

​​​​​​​We could have Constitution Hill and Sir Gerhard aimed at the Champion Hurdle and TNG is out so potentially no novice hurdle winner following up the following year in a novice chase win.
 
https://www.attheraces.com/stable-tours/gordon-elliott

Gordon stable tour:

Better Days Ahead:
He’s a nice horse that won his point-to-point in great style. We’ve declared him for a bumper at Down Royal on Friday and we’re looking forward to seeing what he can do. I’d say he’ll go hurdling sooner rather than later after Friday and he’ll stay further than two miles for sure.

Croke Park:
He’s a lovely, big horse. He’s probably more of a jumps horse than a bumper horse. We’ll probably start him in a bumper to get him going and then potentially go hurdling after that, we’ll see. He should be ready to start in the next three or four weeks.
 
https://www.attheraces.com/stable-tours/gordon-elliott

Gordon stable tour:

Better Days Ahead:
He’s a nice horse that won his point-to-point in great style. We’ve declared him for a bumper at Down Royal on Friday and we’re looking forward to seeing what he can do. I’d say he’ll go hurdling sooner rather than later after Friday and he’ll stay further than two miles for sure.

Croke Park:
He’s a lovely, big horse. He’s probably more of a jumps horse than a bumper horse. We’ll probably start him in a bumper to get him going and then potentially go hurdling after that, we’ll see. He should be ready to start in the next three or four weeks.

Better Days Ahead still 12/1 any race.
 
Bob's Worth as well if you want to go 1 year further back.

If you look at this year's 2nd season chasers, we are looking at Galopin, L'Homme Presse and Ferny Hollow potentially being the best novices into open company from a Cheltenham perspective and none of them won a grade 1 novice hurdle at Cheltenham (although Ferny was injured and Galopin did win a handicap easily).

​​​​​​​We could have Constitution Hill and Sir Gerhard aimed at the Champion Hurdle and TNG is out so potentially no novice hurdle winner following up the following year in a novice chase win.

I was very surprised myself. Definitely something I'll consider going forward.
 
2nd in the Albert Bartlett to Champ. Just to be specific, I only checked the success rate of the winning novice hurdlers and not the chasers where its obviously higher.

He won the Bartlett. Champ beat him in the RSA (it still bloody hurts).
 
2nd in the Albert Bartlett to Champ. Just to be specific, I only checked the success rate of the winning novice hurdlers and not the chasers where its obviously higher.

:hopelessness::highly_amused::loyal:
 
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2nd in the Albert Bartlett to Champ. Just to be specific, I only checked the success rate of the winning novice hurdlers and not the chasers where its obviously higher.

No he won the Bartlett, he lost to Champ in the RSA