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archie said:
From the BHA admin site;

"Ahead of the closing date for handicap entries at the Cheltenham Festival on Tuesday, 18th February, the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) has issued two clarifications regarding eligibility criteria:

Run Requirements

The stipulation that horses must have completed at least four runs (chases) or five runs (hurdles) to qualify for non-novice handicap races at The Festival applies to both novice and non-novice horses.

Deadline for Meeting Run Requirements

Horses entered into any handicap race at The Festival must meet the required number of chase or hurdle runs by Sunday, 23rd February, inclusive of any races on that date, ahead of the publication of race weights on Tuesday, 25[SUP]th[/SUP] February.

For the avoidance of doubt, both points are included where relevant in the race conditions for handicap races at the 2025 Cheltenham Festival."
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Clarification my ****! ……the previous comm said otherwise and someone has challenged it !……..it didn’t say ‘and non novices’

So now the County ‘good thing’ Kitzbuhel will have to run again before Feb 23rd to be able to run in the County.

Unfortunately he will have to show his hand before the festival and leave himself open to the handicapper, whether he run in Ireland or Britain…….

Think I may cash out
 
Wayward Lad said:
Clarification my ****! ……the previous comm said otherwise and someone has challenged it !……..it didn’t say ‘and non novices’

So now the County ‘good thing’ Kitzbuhel will have to run again before Feb 23rd to be able to run in the County.

Unfortunately he will have to show his hand before the festival and leave himself open to the handicapper, whether he run in Ireland or Britain…….

Think I may cash out
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Clearly that's exactly the reason they've done it so the capper can throw more lead on. Willie and Gordon will be livid.
 
Red weather warning for us in Northern Ireland tomorrow, please God no snow, Covid, foot and mouth or any other random shite to put our Festival in doubt in 7 weeks time! Please and thank you
 
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Big Bucks said:
Red weather warning for us in Northern Ireland tomorrow, please God no snow, Covid, foot and mouth or any other random shite to put our Festival in doubt in 7 weeks time! Please and thank you
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Shouldn't hopefully impact the Fairyhouse fixture on Saturday as the worst of it all appears to be on Friday
 
archie said:
From the BHA admin site;

"Ahead of the closing date for handicap entries at the Cheltenham Festival on Tuesday, 18th February, the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) has issued two clarifications regarding eligibility criteria:

Run Requirements

The stipulation that horses must have completed at least four runs (chases) or five runs (hurdles) to qualify for non-novice handicap races at The Festival applies to both novice and non-novice horses.

Deadline for Meeting Run Requirements

Horses entered into any handicap race at The Festival must meet the required number of chase or hurdle runs by Sunday, 23rd February, inclusive of any races on that date, ahead of the publication of race weights on Tuesday, 25[SUP]th[/SUP] February.

For the avoidance of doubt, both points are included where relevant in the race conditions for handicap races at the 2025 Cheltenham Festival."
​
Click to expand...

What an absolute shit show from the BHA and the Jockey Club! Hopefully this is the last of it...
 
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The percentage of Gary and Josh Moore horses that pull and run too free is alarmingly high. I’ve no idea the reason and maybe those with a better handle on training techniques could add some perspective but it’s getting beyond a joke now.
 
Rooster Booster said:
The percentage of Gary and Josh Moore horses that pull and run too free is alarmingly high. I’ve no idea the reason and maybe those with a better handle on training techniques could add some perspective but it’s getting beyond a joke now.
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cocaine bear ?
funny film
 
Can't remember what thread it was, but I said I'd post what my AI model I have been creating gives for trials day, while I can't go into much detail of how it works before it is marked around May time, it primarily focused on raw stats such as win rates and RPRs to figure by assigning each feature "weights" in the AI depending on how important it believes they are.

Resplendent Grey
Sauvignon
Ginny's Destiny
Chantry House
Constitution Hill
Monmiral
Kdeux Saint Fray
 
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How shite is the Thursday of the festival (not that some of these races can't or won't be fun or interesting as one offs and it's all relative) ... but....




1. Mares Novice Hurdle ... the 5th best novice hurdle race? Was exciting last year with some potential stars and even that was a let down..... rubbish way to kick off a day

2. Novice Handicap Chase ......... No longer a Grade 1, so no star .... not against it as a change in general but it's still a handicap chase for novice

3. Pertemps - it's fine, but just fodder race really given the qualifying ...

4. Ryanair - I know it has its fans, but it's still the Ryanair.

5. Stayers Hurdle - Teahupoo versus nothing ... no-one is getting exited about this

6. Handicap Chase - the mid distance one, just meh

7. Kim Muir - even worse this year with the NH Chase as a handicap?




4x handicaps, the Ryanair and Stayers and the worst novice hurdle

Hard to imagine anyone with really strong ante post bets for this day either really, Ryanair is always tough and the Stayers this year has been a one horse race so far? Doesn't look a lot of depth?



I might unbook the day off :glee:
 
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I was actually looking for a WTAF price for Ginny's Destiny earlier for tomorrow and the Ryanair but then I went and looked at the trends and GD isn't a good match for most of them.

Fact To File is pretty much the perfect trends horse for the Ryanair but appreciate he likely won't go there and those bets will be in the bin
​​​​​​
Other than him, it looks like this could be a year for an older classier horse or a yak
 
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Kevloaf said:
How shite is the Thursday of the festival
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I agree.

Circumstances dictate I can only ever attend 1 day of festival week. Usually I rotate days. Start year 1 on the Tuesday and end year 4 attending the Friday.

Will almost certainly be taking the Thursday off the rota. It’s a long way from being a bad day’s racing, it’s just underwhelming compared to the other 3 days (often has been, but even worse now).
 
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Zachx02 said:
Can't remember what thread it was, but I said I'd post what my AI model I have been creating gives for trials day, while I can't go into much detail of how it works before it is marked around May time, it primarily focused on raw stats such as win rates and RPRs to figure by assigning each feature "weights" in the AI depending on how important it believes they are.

Resplendent Grey
Sauvignon
Ginny's Destiny
Chantry House
Constitution Hill
Monmiral
Kdeux Saint Fray
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I assume that you don't have it giving out probabilities? Will it be marked on accuracy / theoretical bank growth or more on the processes used to build it / methodologies used?
 
thorne365 said:
I assume that you don't have it giving out probabilities? Will it be marked on accuracy / theoretical bank growth or more on the processes used to build it / methodologies used?
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I aim on adding a confidence variable later down the line and right now it just gives back the horse it rates the highest, in terms of marks it actually isn't about the accuracy it's more about the contents of the report and proof that I've actually learnt stuff on my own outside of my degree.
 
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Kevloaf

oh kev, how wrong you are about the stayers hurdle.

The stayers is the race im most excited about.

For obvious reasons, which you may have missed.

Lucky place would, currently, be my biggest winner of the week as a single, and probably my strongest ante post view.

But it's also that he was the horse I decided on some months ago would be an improver, and I hoped he would make up in to a stayers hurdle contender.
As we all know the feeling of being right is only topped by the feeling of winning bundles of money.....

Get me a wheelbarrow........:greedy_dollars:
 
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