ComplyOrDie
Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021) & Moderator
My selection Hunter call was a NR so I have been reading up on this race for days and I keep coming back to one horse Bleu Et Rouge.. It would take a lot for a horse to win this off top weight 11.12 but his form is very good..
2nd to Kalashnikov 4 1/2L Soft
4th to Hunters Call 6L G/S
5th to Buveur D'Air 9 3/4L Soft
1st beat Tombstone 3L Soft to Heavy
But the big weight keeps stopping me going in and on this ground..
What Arctic Fire done last year was nothing short of sensational and IMO a bit of a freak, he was 2nd in a Champion Hurdle, a race I think Bleu Et Rouge would probably be a 20-25/1 shot for, no doubt he'll run his race and all the while the ground is in his favour will probably run a big race at that too, but as a winner? He wouldn't be my ideal profile.
He is favourite with most firms and represents no value to myself personally, I think he may well place but at the price isn't much a value proposition.
In terms of value, the 3rd in the Betfair Hurdle, Spiritofthegames @ 25/1 would be a better bet IMO, has 8 lengths to make up with Bleu Et Rouge but has a 5lb swing from that race, he also ran a cracker in the Lanzarote in 2nd behind William Henry 2 runs back, that one is now favourite for the Coral Cup today
I couldn't 100% put you off Bleu Et Rouge, so wish you the best of luck with him, but for me there are stronger cases out there
