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Cheltenham 2018 Ante post bets

  • Thread starter Thread starter Deleted member 4957
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For what it's worth I'd agree tomorrow he's too short (tin soldier). One to follow later up in trip though and ideally he won't win, so I can get a price in him another day.

Agree he definitely wants further, the same could be said for Monbeg Notorious however, he was off the bridle a long way out last time but stayed on best. Still couldn't resist taking the 9/4.
 
Look at petit mouchoir. He's gone out by around 2pts form 10s to 12s as a result of a setback and less possibility of making it there.
In regards to Annamix I'm not too sure on that example, as his price hasn't contracted because he hasn't yet been injured, his price has contracted because of weight of money. And you deffinately get less value on novice hurdlers (with well known connections) that have already ran. Imo because you have no idea what the opposition will be . I will happily admit I wouldn't have heard of labaik , i knew a little of finians Oscar and nothing of neon wolf this time last year

Agreed Scooby on Peitit Mouchoir whose odds increased I believe from best price 8 to 12/1 (well over 25%). Also Archie in looking at the difference between AP prices just before NRNB would flag the 'risk of not making the Festival' % built into the AP price at that time, which I guestimated at 10%.

Scooby, apologies for not being clear with the Annamix example, the name of the horse is not important. Let's say a novice horse is called Joe Blogs and is priced up preseason @ 20/1 (any race). I'd love to know why you think risk of injury is not included in the price just because Joe is a novice? I'm trying to separate the 'not make it to the Festival through injury' from all other factors that make up the AP price.
 
Good point Archie that comparing the AP price the day before the NRNB price would give you the % for that time...for which I guestimated 10%. Also agree Scooby that Petit Mouchir gives an example of the impact on price from risk of missing the Festival through injury, although I'm pretty sure he went from best price 8/1 to 12/1 (50% increase?)after his injury.

Apologies Scooby for the Annamix example, the name really isn't important. Let's say a novice called Joe Bloggs is 20/1 preseason any race, are you saying the bookies have barely included risk of injury in this price just because they are a novice?
 
Done two of Sky Bet's RequestABet specials tonight, usually they don't appeal to me but I liked these two.

Samcro, Altior, Apple's Shakira and Faugheen all to win any race 85/1

Any idea what the max bet is Montjeu ?
 
Any idea what the max bet is Montjeu ?

No help there I'm afraid. Can't even find the RequestABet market on site at the moment, I wonder have they removed it? They seem to update it quite regularly so could be in a state of transition.
 
Minella till dawn entered in another difficult 2m chase. He wants a good bit further than that, will be keeping an eye on him for the kim Muir.
 
Top notch
16/1 ew Ryanair
160.0 gold cup small saver.
 
Starting to like the look of a fiver free bet trble I put on. Annamix (Supreme) 12/1, Samcro (Neptune) 14/1 and Finians Oscar (JLT - don't start Kev ;) ) 10/1. Would pay £10,750
 
Starting to like the look of a fiver free bet trble I put on. Annamix (Supreme) 12/1, Samcro (Neptune) 14/1 and Finians Oscar (JLT - don't start Kev ;) ) 10/1. Would pay £10,750

Haha, funnily enough I have a similar bet !.... lucky 31 with Annamix 16s, Samcro 16s, Apple's Shakira 25s and Finian's Oscar JLT 10s.... with Fayonagh 6/1 unfortuantely, but would still be nice!
 
Haha, funnily enough I have a similar bet !.... lucky 31 with Annamix 16s, Samcro 16s, Apple's Shakira 25s and Finian's Oscar JLT 10s.... with Fayonagh 6/1 unfortuantely, but would still be nice!

I wouldn't Kind having Apple's Shakira in there aswell. A poor student like myself can buy a lot of alcopops with 10 grand :very_drunk:
 
Some nice looking multi's there guys, fingers crossed for you both :)
 
Some nice looking multi's there guys, fingers crossed for you both :)

Cheers CoD. Will start looking better once Annamix wins a maiden somewhere and goes 4/1
 
Starting to like the look of a fiver free bet trble I put on. Annamix (Supreme) 12/1, Samcro (Neptune) 14/1 and Finians Oscar (JLT - don't start Kev ;) ) 10/1. Would pay £10,750

Just out of interest did you look at the t and c's of your fee bet
 
You make a good point, i'll have a look next time they send me one. It was with coral if that means anything to anyone?
 
Yes. not to worry you, but poss worth a look next time.

What is the max payout on their free bets? - can't see anything on the website. - Not that it affects me anyway but I like to know these things

Horse Racing

£500,000 where all the selections are for Horse Racing in the UK when an Industry SP is declared (SP’s supplied by PA or SIS)
£250,000 where all or some of the selections are for Irish racing when an industry SP is declared (SP’s supplied by PA or SIS)
£250,000 for bank holiday racing in the UK and Ireland when an industry SP is declared (SP’s supplied by PA or SIS)
£100,000 for all other racing. (This excludes the Dubai World Cup Meeting, Breeders Cup and Arc De Triomphe Meeting. These events will be subject to the UK and Ireland threshold above)
£100,000 for Forecast/Tricast betting (all countries)
£50,000 for Horse Racing specials (all other racing outside of main Win and EW market): This includes Jockey specials, Grand National and Cheltenham festival additional markets, Meeting distance betting, Derived markets other NH and Flat specials priced up as novelty or request a bet markets, Charity races and Arab races