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Cheltenham 2014 Arkle Trophy Chase

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Surprising Oscar Whisky not given the option. Noticed that Henderson only had two entries across the four novice chases.

Timeform expecting an Irish winner by the look of the ratings :confused:
 
Breakdown of Racing Post Arkle Chase entries by trainer
6 Entries
Willie Mullins IRE – Ballycasey, Champagne Fever, Djakadam, Felix Yonger, Midnight Game, Mozoltov

5 Entries
Paul Nicholls – Caid du Berlais, Dark Lover, Dodging Bullets, Hinterland, Mr Mole

3 Entries
Alan King – Balder Succes, Raya Star, Valdez

2 Entries
Charles Byrnes IRE – Arnaud, Trifolium
Gordon Elliott IRE – Don Cossack, Shrapnel
Harry Fry – Rock On Ruby, Vukovar
Dessie Hughes IRE – Art Of Logistics, Bright New Dawn
Emma Lavelle – Claret Cloak, Fox Appeal

1 Entry
Nicky Henderson - Grandouet
Charlie Mann – Lord Of House
Tony Martin IRE – Ted Veale
Noel Meade IRE – Ned Buntline
Dr Richard Newland – Ahyaknowyerself
Paul Nolan IRE – Defy Logic
David Pipe – Western Warhorse
Nicky Richards – Eduard
Michael Scudamore – Next Sensation
Venetia Williams –Brick Red
 
Arnaud (Charles Byrnes IRE)
2012 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 5th Philip Enright 50/1

Balder Succes (Alan King)
2012 JCB Triumph Hurdle F Wayne Hutchinson 15/2
2013 Stan James Champion Hurdle UR Wayne Hutchinson100/1

Caid du Berlais (Paul Nicholls)
2013 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2nd Harry Derham (5) 20/1

Champagne Fever (Willie Mullins IRE)
2012 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 1st Mr Patrick Mullins 16/1
2013 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 1st Ruby Walsh 5/1

Claret Cloak (Emma Lavelle)
2013 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle 16th Noel Fehily 25/1

Dodging Bullets (Paul Nicholls)
2012 JCB Triumph Hurdle 4th Daryl Jacob 20/1
2013 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 9th Daryl Jacob 12/1

Felix Yonger (Willie Mullins IRE)
2011 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 21st Brian Hughes 66/1
2012 Neptune Investment Management Nov' H 2nd PaulTownend 16/1

Fox Appeal (Emma Lavelle)
2012 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 9th Noel Fehily 18/1

Grandouet (Nicky Henderson)
2011 JCB Triumph Hurdle 3rd Barry Geraghty 13/2
2013 Stan James Champion Hurdle F Barry Geraghty 13/2

Midnight Game (Willie Mullins IRE)
2012 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 15th Paul Townend 18/1
2013 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle PU Declan Lavery (5) 33/1

Raya Star (Alan King)
2012 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle 13th Robert Thornton 8/1

Rock On Ruby (Harry Fry)
2011 Neptune Investment Management Nov' H 2nd Daryl Jacob 13/2
2012 Stan James Champion Hurdle 1st Noel Fehily 11/1
2013 Stan James Champion Hurdle 2nd Noel Fehily 11/2

Ted Veale (Tony Martin IRE)
2013 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle 1st Bryan Cooper 10/1

Trifolium (Charles Byrnes IRE)
2012 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 3rd Davy Russell 15/2
 
Record of trainers with entries in the Racing Post Arkle Chase (since 1994 plus any winners beforehand)
Year Pos Horse Jockey SP

Charles Byrnes IRE (Arnaud, Trifolium)
2007 PU Vintage Treasure Conor O'Dwyer 100/1

Gordon Elliott IRE (Don Cossack, Shrapnel)
No previous runners

Harry Fry (Rock On Ruby, Vukovar)
No previous runners

Nicky Henderson (Grandouet)
1991 1st Remittance Man Richard Dunwoody 85/40f
1993 1st Travado Jamie Osborne 5/1
1994 BD Thumbs Up Charlie Swan 6/1
1999 PU Makounji Mick Fitzgerald 9/2
2000 1st Tiutchev Mick Fitzgerald 8/1
2002 5th Fondmort Mick Fitzgerald 4/1
2003 3rd Isio Mick Fitzgerald 10/1
2004 8th Caracciola Mick Fitzgerald 15/2
2007 3rd Jack The Giant Mick Fitzgerald 14/1
2010 4th Mad Max Paul Carberry 25/1
2010 5th Riverside Theatre Barry Geraghty 7/1
2011 2nd Finian's Rainbow Barry Geraghty 7/2
2011 6th Giorgio Quercus Paddy Brennan 33/1
2012 1st Sprinter Sacre Barry Geraghty 8/11f
2013 1st Simonsig Barry Geraghty 8/15f

Dessie Hughes IRE (Art Of Logistics, Bright New Dawn)
2000 4th Rathbawn Prince Kieran Kelly 20/1
2004 UR Central House Paul Carberry 11/1

Alan King (Balder Succes, Raya Star, Valdez)
2004 4th Jahash Robert Thornton 150/1
2005 UR Kadount Robert Thornton 20/1
2006 1st Voy Por Ustedes Robert Thornton 15/2
2007 1st My Way de Solzen Robert Thornton 7/2
2011 4th Medermit Robert Thornton 11/4f

Emma Lavelle (Claret Cloak, Fox Appeal)
2004 PU Palua Barry Fenton 25/1
2010 7th Kangaroo Court Jack Doyle 22/1

Charlie Mann (Lord Of House)
1997 3rd Celibate Jamie Railton 13/2
2004 7th Keltic Bard Noel Fehily 25/1
2008 6th Moon Over Miami Noel Fehily 14/1
2009 6th Gauvain Noel Fehily 33/1

Tony Martin IRE (Ted Veale)
No previous runners

Noel Meade IRE (Ned Buntline)
1994 5th Mubadir Paul Carberry 20/1
1998 2nd Hill Society Richard Dunwoody 8/1
1999 6th Cockney Lad Paul Carberry 25/1
1999 8th Advocat Norman Williamson 33/1
2000 F Frozen Groom Barry Geraghty 10/1
2005 11th Sir Oj Mick Fitzgerald 25/1
2005 4th Watson Lake Paul Carberry 17/2
2006 4th Wild Passion Paul Carberry 20/1
2011 3rd Realt Dubh Paul Carberry 17/2

Willie Mullins IRE (Ballycasey, Champagne Fever, Djakadam, Felix Yonger, Midnight Game, Mozoltov)
1999 10th Native-Darrig David Casey 16/1
2002 6th Assessed Ruby Walsh 25/1
2003 F Adamant Approach Paul Carberry 7/1
2006 6th Missed That Ruby Walsh 6/1
2008 7th Scotsirish Davy Condon 20/1
2009 14th Golden Silver Paul Townend 14/1
2010 6th Quiscover Fontaine Paul Townend 22/1
2010 11th Sports Line Ruby Walsh 17/2
2012 5th Blackstairmountain Paul Townend 20/1
2013 PU Arvika Ligeonniere Ruby Walsh 15/2

Dr Richard Newland (Ahyaknowyerself)
No previous runners

Paul Nicholls (Caid du Berlais, Dark Lover, Dodging Bullets, Hinterland, Mr Mole)
1996 UR Captain Khedive A P McCoy 20/1
1998 14th Lake Kariba Timmy Murphy 8/1
1999 1st Flagship Uberalles Joe Tizzard 11/1
2000 UR Fadalko Joe Tizzard 12/1
2002 3rd Armaturk Timmy Murphy 8/1
2002 8th Kadarann Joe Tizzard 16/1
2003 1st Azertyuiop Ruby Walsh 5/4f
2003 F Le Roi Miguel A P McCoy 11/1
2004 3rd Le Duc Joe Tizzard 25/1
2004 F Thisthatandtother Ruby Walsh 5/2f
2005 5th My Will Ruby Walsh 12/1
2006 10th Cerium Paddy Brennan 50/1
2007 8th Good Spirit Sam Thomas 20/1
2007 F Twist Magic Ruby Walsh 12/1
2008 3rd Noland Ruby Walsh 7/4f
2008 9th Marodima Sam Thomas 33/1
2009 8th I'msingingtheblues Christian Williams 9/1
2009 F Tatenen Ruby Walsh 4/1f
2010 12th Woolcombe Folly Nick Scholfield 25/1
2011 5th Ghizao Timmy Murphy 4/1
2012 4th Al Ferof Ruby Walsh 3/1

Paul Nolan IRE (Defy Logic)
2006 F Accordion Etoile Barry Geraghty 7/1
2008 PU French Accordion John Cullen 33/1

David Pipe (Western Warhorse)
2007 6th Buena Vista Timmy Murphy 9/1
2011 7th Dan Breen Tom Scudamore 20/1
2013 3rd His Excellency Tom Scudamore 80/1

Nicky Richards (Eduard)
2006 2nd Monet's Garden Tony Dobbin 8/1
2007 4th Faasel Tony Dobbin 16/1

Michael Scudamore (Next Sensation)
No previous runners

Venetia Williams (Brick Red)
2000 5th Bellator Richard Johnson 5/1
2005 14th Mambo des Mottes Alan O'Keeffe 100/1
2005 PU Limerick Boy Sam Thomas 20/1
 
he Racing Post Arkle Chase was inaugurated with it s current title in 1969, after Arkle’s three wins in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (1964-66). In its first year, the race was worth £1,365, and was won by Chatham (10/1), trained by Fred Rimell and ridden by Terry Biddlecombe. The 2014 running has record prize money of £150,000.

It was known as the Cotswold Chase before 1969. The Racing Post, which backed the Arkle Chase for the first time in 2012, is only the race’s fourth sponsor. The Irish Independent was the sponsor from 2000 to 2011 , Guinness sponsored from 1994 until 1999 and Waterford Cystal between 1991 and 1993.

FIELD SIZE
The lowest number of runners has been seven (2013) and the highest 19 (1987 & 2005) as the Arkle Chase –
though there were 25 runners in the Cotswold Chase in 1960. The current safety limit is 20.

MOST SUCCESSFUL OWNER
The late David Johnson with four winners – Or Royal (1997), Champleve (1998), Well Chief (2004) and Contraband (2005).

MOST SUCCESSFUL TRAINER
Tom Dreaper and Nicky Henderson are the most successful trainers of all time with five victories each. Dreaper
scored with Fortria (1958), Mountcashel King (1961) , Ben Stack (1961), Flyingbolt (1965) and Alpheus (1971)
while Henderson’s winners so far have been Remittance Man (1991), Travado (1993), Tiutchev (2000), Sprinter
Sacre (2012) and Simonsig (2013).

MOST SUCCESSFUL JOCKEY
The most successful jockey is Barry Geraghty, with four wins – Moscow Flyer (2002), Forpadydeplasterer
(2009), Sprinter Sacre (2012) and Simonsig (2013).

A P McCoy has won the race three times, while Glen Kelly, Pat Taaffe and Jamie Osborne have also enjoyed three victories.

BETTING
The longest-priced winner was Gala’s Image, successful at 25/1 in 1987. The shortest-priced winner was Simonsig, returned at 8/15 in 2013. In the 66 runnings since 1946, a total of 16 favourites (24 per cent) have prevailed.

AGE
The oldest winners were the nine-year-olds Sir Ken (1956) and Danish Flight (1988). The five-year-olds Grand Refrain (1949), High Level (1950), Red Steel (1951), Nautical Print (1952), Bramble Tudor (1953), Armorial III (1954), Manuscrit (1955) , Ballyatom (1957), Chatham (1969), Soloning (1970) , Champleve (1998), Flagship Uberalles (1999), Well Chief (2004) and Voy Por Ustedes (2006) are the youngest winners.

The overall breakdown by age is as follows:
5yo - 14 wins
6yo - 19 wins
7yo - 19 wins
8yo - 12 wins
2yo - 2 wins

RECORD TIME
The fastest time for the two miles of the Racing Post Arkle Chase was 3m 46.5s by Tiutchev in 2000, beating
the previous best of 3m 52.5s set by Or Royal in 1997.

OVERSEAS-TRAINED WINNERS
IRELAND (16):
Fortria (1958); Mountcashel King (1961); Ben Stack (1963), Flyingbolt (1965), Arctic Stream (1967), Alpheus (1971), Chinrullah (1979), Anaglogs Daughter (1980), The Brockshee (1982), Bobsline (1984), Boreen Prince (1985), Klairon Davis (1995),
Ventana Canyon (1996), Moscow Flyer (2002), Forpadydeplasterer (2009) and Sizing Europe (2010).
DID YOU KNOW?
Until 1980, the Racing Post Arkle Chase was always run on the Wednesday of the The Festival. It now takes place on the opening day, Tuesday. The Racing Post Arkle Chase has always been a fiercely contested event, and the following winners have gone on to other Championship victories at The Festival:

2012 Sprinter Sacre (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2013)
2010 Sizing Europe (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2011)
2006 Voy Por Ustedes (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2007)
2003 Azertyuiop (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2004)
2002 Moscow Flyer (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2003 & 2005)
1999 Flagship Uberalles (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 2002)
1995 Klairon Davis (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 1996)
1991 Remittance Man (Queen Mother Champion Chase winner 1992)
1978 Alverton (Cheltenham Gold Cup winner 1979).
Alverton is the only horse to have won both the Racing Post Arkle Chase and Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup
 
So no Champagne Fever in this Sunday's Arkle chase. Mozoltav could be a lively outsider. I was looking back through his form and the last time that he has lost was back at the Punchestown Festival in the bumper against Champagne Fever. He beat the useful yardstick Mallowney last time too. I think Felix Yonger whiel he goes on soft ground, is better seen on better ground and he might not be at his best. Defy Logic has good form on soft so wont be an issue to him. Mozoltav 20/1 with some firms and only 12/1 with PP could be a play before the race on Sunday....
 
I think Mullins is going to end up with a minimum of two in most of the big races.

He has a pretty bad record in this race through - black stair mountains fifth his best showing so far.

I must have another look at Kings entries - looks like when he runs one it should be respected.
 
Looks now like Trifolium will be Gigginstown Arkle horse so Mozoltav for JLT. Havent a notion whether Mullins runs Felix or Champagne Fever here now. Twitter saying Defy Logic burst. Irish form all over the shop.

Trifolium could be the one but wondering about Rock on Ruby again:confused:
 
with the rain continuing to come i cant see good ground coming for day 1 of the festival im on ROR myself but now thinking trifolium could be a good one for this race. has run 3rd in a supreme and seems to go on any ground and this is his only target by the looks of it 10/1 with ladbrokes. Very muddling race at the moment!
 
Shortlist with win/placed Cheltenham Form

Festival winners

Champagne Fever (Willie Mullins IRE)
2012 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 1st Mr Patrick Mullins 16/1
2013 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 1st Ruby Walsh 5/1

Rock On Ruby (Harry Fry)
2011 Neptune Investment Management Nov' H 2nd Daryl Jacob 13/2
2012 Stan James Champion Hurdle 1st Noel Fehily 11/1
2013 Stan James Champion Hurdle 2nd Noel Fehily 11/2

Ted Veale (Tony Martin IRE)
2013 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle 1st Bryan Cooper 10/1


Festival places

Caid du Berlais (Paul Nicholls)
2013 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2nd Harry Derham (5) 20/1

Felix Yonger (Willie Mullins IRE)
2011 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 21st Brian Hughes 66/1
2012 Neptune Investment Management Nov' H 2nd PaulTownend 16/1

Grandouet (Nicky Henderson)
2011 JCB Triumph Hurdle 3rd Barry Geraghty 13/2
2013 Stan James Champion Hurdle F Barry Geraghty 13/2

Trifolium (Charles Byrnes IRE)
2012 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle 3rd Davy Russell 15/2

Ted Veale been laid out for Grand Annual so wont run.

Rock on Ruby ew ?
 
yeah hoping for better ground for ROR worries me he has had 1 run over fences which was effectively a match against a crap horse! runnning out of time to get a few races into him before the festival.. I have a very sneaky feeling champagne fever is going to be the RSA horse
 
RACE TRENDS:

25 of the last 27 winners finished in the top two last time out
13 of the last 14 winners were rated 142+ over hurdles
5 of the last 13 winners were the highest-rated hurdler in the field
The last 23 winners have started at 11/1 or shorter, but only 5 favourites won
Five year olds have won 4 of the last 14, but since 2008 there is no 5lb weight allowance
The Irish have won 3 of the last 16 renewals
French breds have won 8 of the last 19 renewals
German breds have 1 win and 3 places from 11 runners since 2002
 
5 of the last 13 winners were the highest-rated hurdler in the field

statto do you have the hurdle ratings for all that are entered up? im guessing ROR has the best hurdle rating
 
blackngold said:
5 of the last 13 winners were the highest-rated hurdler in the field

statto do you have the hurdle ratings for all that are entered up? im guessing ROR has the best hurdle rating
Click to expand...

Think I can help here


Hurdle Ratings

ROR 167
Grandouet 166
Raya Star 157
Champagne Fever 157
Dodging Bullets 154
Trifolium 147
Hinterland 146
Felix Yonger 145
 
thanks old vic desperate for the ground to dry out for ROR he needs another run or 2 before or i cant see him winning clearly the best hurdler in there
 
I suppose they must be looking at Warwick for Rock on Ruby now. Grandouet is the other one with the really top hurdles form but not the easiest to figure out. has the French pedigree and uk trainer with best race record and best 2 mile Chase jockey around but very poor LTO and has had some kind of February setback for last two seasons.
 
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Assessing his runners, Mullins told At The Races: "I don't think Felix Yonger likes that [heavy] ground. He's a good ground horse. I remember when he first came from Howard Johnson's that he was one of the best athletes.

"Mozoltov ran a cracker on only his second start over fences. Both will go up in trip now as they both want two and a half miles.

"Champagne Fever runs next in the Dr PJ Moriarty Chase over two miles five [furlongs] on February 9. Ruby [Walsh] is fairly keen to bring him back to two miles for the Arkle."
 
That result yesterday was probably the worst possible result in terms of clearing things up for the Festival! Felix Yonger didn't show that his class but I think that the ground had a big bearing on that. On better ground I would certainly be giving him another chance. If he had have won decisively then he would have booked his ticket to the Arkle and Champagne Fever would go up in trip. As it is now CF might come back for the Arkle but I think stepping FY up in trip is the wrong decision regardless. Trifolium has improved no end since being well beaten by FY and he did come second to Defy Logic at Christmas. Defy Logic just made a terrible mistake that put paid to his chance and he probably needs a rest now but won't be out of it come March.
 
defy logic burst a blood vessel so that explains the way he ran... previous form puts him bang in there with the other irish horses and 20/1 seems big ive had a few quid on myself nothing big mind.... very hard race to get a grip on this!
 
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