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Best bets so far

SharpHat

SharpHat

Ante Post Chelt 2020 tipping comp winner
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not much activity on the forum at the minute so a good time to do a little poll, the question is ....

What is the current best bet (at todays prices) if you could only pick one?

Not asking what the most likely winner is (as it seems everyone on here is a fully paid up member of the easysland club). But the one bet you would have at the prices if you could only have one, and you have to name the race, no twars.

I'll start, Al Boum Photo for the goldcup. 6/1 looks very fair for a 2 time returning champ. You know if he's fit he's going to be there at the finish, looks the most rocksolid bet at this point in time to me. I was torn between him and shishkin but as we haven't seen shishkin jump a fence yet there's always that doubt.

I'm sure alot of people would say envoi, but as already discussed on other threads I think the race is still up in the air for him
 
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Epatante 4-1

Weak division.
And a championship race that tends to get repeat winners.
Won easy this year.
Will only be 7 years old.
Will likely have a very good ambitious and hungry jockey on board.
Sharjah was the only horse to be anywhere near and he ran the best race of his life.
Supreme winner and Ballymore winner are both going chasing by all accounts.
Trainer knows how to prepare a horse to win this race, and has a fantastic record.
A fairly decent chance that she will be even money on the day.
As the five year old challenge is more likely to wain than gather pace. Based on historical trends.
 
At the odds, Sure De Berlais in the Stayers. 16/1. Paisley Park has a lot to prove and apart from Thyme Hill everything else Infront of him in betting will run elsewhere. Too high for handicaps so Stayers is his only option. Great bet.
 
Lobos said:
At the odds, Sure De Berlais in the Stayers. 16/1. Paisley Park has a lot to prove and apart from Thyme Hill everything else Infront of him in betting will run elsewhere. Too high for handicaps so Stayers is his only option. Great bet.
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Stayers could be fascinating this year I like SDB, but I like lisnagar Oscar, thyme Hill and paisley too. If they all turn up it could be one of the races of the festival
 
Quevega said:
Epatante 4-1

Weak division.
And a championship race that tends to get repeat winners.
Won easy this year.
Will only be 7 years old.
Will likely have a very good ambitious and hungry jockey on board.
Sharjah was the only horse to be anywhere near and he ran the best race of his life.
Supreme winner and Ballymore winner are both going chasing by all accounts.
Trainer knows how to prepare a horse to win this race, and has a fantastic record.
A fairly decent chance that she will be even money on the day.
As the five year old challenge is more likely to wain than gather pace. Based on historical trends.
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Epatante one of of those horses I don't like for no apparent reason, i just don't think this years race was very good. I've backed saldier so far at 25s in the hope he's fit, but no strong opinions yet
 
Envoi Allen 13/2 and 6/1 Marsh Chase.

I'd expect him line be odds on if lining up in the Marsh. He's the best horse in training, imo.
 
At the current prices either epatante or honeysuckle both 4-1 reigning champs in divisions that don't look to have a load of new competition.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Envoi Allen 13/2 and 6/1 Marsh Chase.

I'd expect him line be odds on if lining up in the Marsh. He's the best horse in training, imo.
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I agree with the best horse in training bit, I just think there's a strong chance he'll go rsa. Too much doubt to be a banker at this stage
 
taylorch1990 said:
At the current prices either epatante or honeysuckle both 4-1 reigning champs in divisions that don't look to have a load of new competition.
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are we saying honeysuckle is nailed on for the mares hurdle then? No chance of going champion? If so I'd agree the 4/1 is solid
 
I don't think it's 100% no but if they didn't run in it this year I don't see why they'd change course this year as the reigning champ in the mares.
 
I think Put The Kettle On at 20/1 for the Queen Mum is the best bet. Chacun is fragile and still unproven at Cheltenham. Altior isn’t getting any younger. Defi flopped and the jury is out. Politologue won a weak race last season. What else? Only Fakir really, and I’d fancy her to confirm form. He may well go to the Ryanair anyway. A step up in trip looks as though it’ll suit.

Surely 20/1 is way too big for the Arkle winner who is 2/2 Over fences at Cheltenham.

I know some will say she might end up in the Mares Chase, but I find that highly unlikely unless she doesn’t retain her form for some reason.
 
I would say EASYWORK at 25/1 for the RSA.

Pulled a fair bit in the Ballymore, but still had enough in reserve, going into the straight, to be stalking The Big Getaway and joined him at the last as EA leapt with them.

Easywork put 4 lengths between him and The Big Getaway whilst EA did similar to him.

Gordys quote of "Hes a chaser and anything he does this year is a bonus for next year"

The twice he ran over mid-distances and not 2M, he put half-a-stone on his form - another half-a-stone improvement for stepping up to 3M and going over fences would have him in a photo-finish for the RSA.

Same sire as Delta Work, and a better hurdler than Delta Work.

Improvement for chasing, and the longer trip, and he could be near the top of the market very quickly, and he has proven he his happy on the Cheltenham hill.
 
I like both of those, put the kettle on especially. CPS is a favourite of mine but given his history the 20/1for PTKO is a no brainer
 
aalowe9 said:
I agree with the best horse in training bit, I just think there's a strong chance he'll go rsa. Too much doubt to be a banker at this stage
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Not sure anything can be a 'banker' at this stage
 
...I like sitting on a few big priced vouchers so I have the likes of Aione for NH Chase @ 80-1, plus Sky RaBs and specials like TopoftheGame to win the Ladbroke/GC @ 150-1.

Probably the most sensible bet was taking 12-1 for Santini and including it in plenty of doubles whilst that price was available.
 
I would imagine the only bets that have improved from the time they were placed are those that have shortened in price and/or the target has been identified.
In which case I have a near terrible book...
 
taylorch1990 said:
I don't think it's 100% no but if they didn't run in it this year I don't see why they'd change course this year as the reigning champ in the mares.
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For me honeysuckle’s best form is at 2 mile 4 so I can’t see her beating eptante in the champion hurdle.
 
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