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ENTRIES 17th FEBRUARY, WEIGHTS 24th FEBRUARY (any horse with a win after 22nd Feb onward set to carry a 5lb penalty).
CHELTENHAM
Tuesday, March 10th
THE ULTIMA HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1)
(Premier Hcap)
for five yrs old and upwards
THREE MILES ABOUT ONE FURLONG (3m 1f)
PLEASE NOTE: A novice horse shall only be qualified to run in this race if it has run a minimum of four times in Steeple Chases in Great Britain, Ireland or France in accordance with paragraph 15 of the Weights and Handicapping Code
Last 10 Year Winners;
2025 Myretown 8-10-3 13/2F Lucinda Russell - Patrick Wadge RPR 145 (OR 127)
2024 Chianti Classico 7-11-4. 6/1Kim Bailey - David Bass. RPR 155
2023 Corach Rambler 9-11-5. 6/1JF Lucinda Russell - Derek Fox. RPR 159 (OR 146)
2022 Corach Rambler. 8-10-2. 10/1 Lucinda Russell - Derek Fox. RPR 151 (OR 140)
2021 Vintage Clouds 11-10-11 28/1 Sue Smith - Ryan Mania RPR 155 (OR 143)
2020 The Conditional. 8-10-6. 15/2. David Bridgwater - Brendan Powell. RPR 148 (OR 139)
2019 Beware The Bear. 9-11-8. 10/1. Nicky Henderson - Jeremiah McGrath. RPR 161 (OR 151)
2018. Coo Star Sivola. 6-10-10. 5/1F. Nick Williams - Lizzie Kelly (3). RPR 151 (OR 142)
2017. Un Temps Pour Tout 8-11-12. 9/1. David Pipe - Tom Scudamore. RPR 163 (OR 155)
2016. Un Temps Pour Tout 7-11-7 11/1. David Pipe - Tom Scudamore. RPR 163 (OR 148)
2015. The Druids Nephew. 8-11-3. 8/1. Neil Mulholland - Barry Geraghty. RPR 158 (OR 146)
2014. Holywell. 7-11-6. 10/1. Jonjo O'Neill - Richie McLernon. RPR 163 (OR 145)
2025 1st OR 127, 2nd OR 140, 3rd OR 142, 4th OR 140 (High OR 152; Low OR 127) 24 ran
2024 1st OR 143, 2nd OR 143, OR 147, 4th 139 (High OR 153, Low OR 134). 21 Ran
2023 1st OR 146, 2nd OR 150, 3rd OR 140, 4th OR 149 (High OR 155, Low OR 129) 23 ran
2022 1st OR 140, 2nd OR 138, 3rd OR 138, 4th OR 145 (High OR 164, Low OR 138) 24 ran
2021 1st OR 143, 2nd OR 147, 3rd OR 154, 4th OR 158 (High OR 158, Low OR 132) 16 ran
2020 1st OR 139, 2nd OR 150, 3rd OR 148, 4th OR 159 (High OR 159, Low OR 133). 23 ran
2019 1st OR 151, 2nd OR 144, 3rd OR 155, 4th OR 140 (High OR 155, Low OR 140). 24 ran
2018 1st OR 142, 2nd OR 152, 3rd OR 131, 4th OR 150 (High OR 155, Low OR 137). 18 ran
2017 1st OR 155, 2nd OR 142, 3rd OR 154, 4th OR 145 (High OR 155, Low OR 134). 23 ran
2016 1st OR 148, 2nd OR 153, 3rd OR 149, 4th OR 150 (High OR 153, Low OR 131). 23 ran
2015 1st OR 146, 2nd OR 143, 3rd OR 134, 4th OR 139 (High OR 155, Low OR 133). 24 ran
2014 1st OR 145, 2nd OR 143, 3rd OR 131, 4th OR 143 (High OR 151, Low OR 129). 23 ran
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…..2026 TREND ANALYSIS;
Please remember novices now need 4 chase runs to qualify.
CHELTENHAM
Tuesday, March 10th
THE ULTIMA HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE (CLASS 1)
(Premier Hcap)
for five yrs old and upwards
THREE MILES ABOUT ONE FURLONG (3m 1f)
PLEASE NOTE: A novice horse shall only be qualified to run in this race if it has run a minimum of four times in Steeple Chases in Great Britain, Ireland or France in accordance with paragraph 15 of the Weights and Handicapping Code
Last 10 Year Winners;
2025 Myretown 8-10-3 13/2F Lucinda Russell - Patrick Wadge RPR 145 (OR 127)
2024 Chianti Classico 7-11-4. 6/1Kim Bailey - David Bass. RPR 155
2023 Corach Rambler 9-11-5. 6/1JF Lucinda Russell - Derek Fox. RPR 159 (OR 146)
2022 Corach Rambler. 8-10-2. 10/1 Lucinda Russell - Derek Fox. RPR 151 (OR 140)
2021 Vintage Clouds 11-10-11 28/1 Sue Smith - Ryan Mania RPR 155 (OR 143)
2020 The Conditional. 8-10-6. 15/2. David Bridgwater - Brendan Powell. RPR 148 (OR 139)
2019 Beware The Bear. 9-11-8. 10/1. Nicky Henderson - Jeremiah McGrath. RPR 161 (OR 151)
2018. Coo Star Sivola. 6-10-10. 5/1F. Nick Williams - Lizzie Kelly (3). RPR 151 (OR 142)
2017. Un Temps Pour Tout 8-11-12. 9/1. David Pipe - Tom Scudamore. RPR 163 (OR 155)
2016. Un Temps Pour Tout 7-11-7 11/1. David Pipe - Tom Scudamore. RPR 163 (OR 148)
2015. The Druids Nephew. 8-11-3. 8/1. Neil Mulholland - Barry Geraghty. RPR 158 (OR 146)
2014. Holywell. 7-11-6. 10/1. Jonjo O'Neill - Richie McLernon. RPR 163 (OR 145)
2025 1st OR 127, 2nd OR 140, 3rd OR 142, 4th OR 140 (High OR 152; Low OR 127) 24 ran
2024 1st OR 143, 2nd OR 143, OR 147, 4th 139 (High OR 153, Low OR 134). 21 Ran
2023 1st OR 146, 2nd OR 150, 3rd OR 140, 4th OR 149 (High OR 155, Low OR 129) 23 ran
2022 1st OR 140, 2nd OR 138, 3rd OR 138, 4th OR 145 (High OR 164, Low OR 138) 24 ran
2021 1st OR 143, 2nd OR 147, 3rd OR 154, 4th OR 158 (High OR 158, Low OR 132) 16 ran
2020 1st OR 139, 2nd OR 150, 3rd OR 148, 4th OR 159 (High OR 159, Low OR 133). 23 ran
2019 1st OR 151, 2nd OR 144, 3rd OR 155, 4th OR 140 (High OR 155, Low OR 140). 24 ran
2018 1st OR 142, 2nd OR 152, 3rd OR 131, 4th OR 150 (High OR 155, Low OR 137). 18 ran
2017 1st OR 155, 2nd OR 142, 3rd OR 154, 4th OR 145 (High OR 155, Low OR 134). 23 ran
2016 1st OR 148, 2nd OR 153, 3rd OR 149, 4th OR 150 (High OR 153, Low OR 131). 23 ran
2015 1st OR 146, 2nd OR 143, 3rd OR 134, 4th OR 139 (High OR 155, Low OR 133). 24 ran
2014 1st OR 145, 2nd OR 143, 3rd OR 131, 4th OR 143 (High OR 151, Low OR 129). 23 ran
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…..2026 TREND ANALYSIS;
Five of the last 12 ran in the Newbury Ladbroke/Coral Chase. Six others were novices.
Seven of the last 11 ran at Cheltenham that season. Two others had previously run in this.
Nine of the last 13 ran at a previous Festival. Three others had placed course chase form that season.
Lucinda Russell's last three runners in this all won.
14 of the last 15 winners no older than nine years
15 of the last 18 won by either novices or second season chasers
Six of the last eight GB-trained winning novices had all won a hurdle with a first prize of at least £10k
All winners this century had recorded their best RPR over at least 3 miles
Only two and a half winning favourites since 1994
Irish trained 0 from 51 since 2006. P Nicholls is yet to win
Two repeat winners in the last 10
10 of the last 13 rated between 139 and 151
Since 2017 only two placed horses aged older than 9 yrs
Corach Rambler in 2022 first since 1997 with a letter as previous run - U.
21 from the last 24 no more than one career fall
None of the last four winners wore any sort of headgear.
Brendan Powell (2013) and Lizzie Kelly (2018) only claimers to ride winner since 1990.
Summary
Race distance - 3 miles and about one furlong. No older than 9 yrs or first time blinkers and placed in this before. Will have run before at the Festival and/or will be 7 or 8 yrs and improving i.e. with a rising handicap rating. Winner’s handicap rating should be at least 139. Will have recorded their best Racing Post Rating over at least 3 miles. Will have already won at least a Class 3 chase. May have ran in the Newbury Coral Cup or is a novice. If a GB novice, should have won a hurdle worth at least £10k to the winner. Has won over 3 miles or at least placed over 3 miles in two of last three runs. Will have run between 3 and 12 times over fences in GB and/or Ireland. Will have run at least twice this season. Will have been 1<strong>st</strong> or 2<strong>nd</strong> sometime this season or a previous winner. Winners over 11st becoming a bit more frequent. Any price. Very unlikely to have already won a Graded chase. Winner wasn't unplaced in this years 3m Kempton Chase on Adonis day. Has run in the last 60 days. P Nicholls and W Mullins poor enough records. Any GB trainer can win this. A novice or wearing some type of headgear, check for first time. Irish trained don't win but get placed. No F, R or B as last form entry. Not a claiming jockey. Half a furlong longer in distance from 2014. Repeat win/place gettable. Not more than one career fall. Check those 7lb or more under their hurdle mark. No chestnuts. Watch for well punted from Pond House.Please remember novices now need 4 chase runs to qualify.
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