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2026 Novice Chasers

Lobos said:
First time tongue strap for Final Demand. Suggests wind issues perhaps?
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Didn’t see FD last run as was away but isn’t it the 2nd run after a wind op that is the best time to catch a horse after an op as it takes a run for it to realise it can breathe properly ?
 
Pisto said:
Didn’t see FD last run as was away but isn’t it the 2nd run after a wind op that is the best time to catch a horse after an op as it takes a run for it to realise it can breathe properly ?
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He's not had an op I don't think? Just a tongue strap

Soz, just seen HTR post.b
 
Looking at the Jack Richards market going to be a small enough field given how many are already entered etc must be some ew value ahead of decs
 
Muswell said:
Looking at the Jack Richards market going to be a small enough field given how many are already entered etc must be some ew value ahead of decs
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….18 currently declared.
 
….Henderson saying on TV that Lulamba would run in 2m.4f if it was still run.
 
gah that last fence from Kopek
 
What do we think of the banc?

Coolio - like him a lot but too short and not ideal running over 2 miles last time

Final demand - i backed him this time last year but not expecting to collect

Kaid dauthie - won well last time but final demand ran like a drain and western fold was never put in the race

Koktail divin - not convinced hes a grade 1 horse myself. Well beaten over hurdles at aintree and was thumped by romeo at down royal.

Wendigo - ran well in the bartlett. Nice easy prep last time. Will stay strongly. May be one i add tomorrow.

The big westerner - 2nd in the bartlett and taken well to fences. Would prefer softer ground which is i imagine why the jockey chose koktail. But that bartlett was on good to soft and even though im already on at a bad price may top up e/w.

Western Fold - eyecatching behind kaid and will prefer this ground. Should go well with his big field experience. But does he have the class. May add e/w.
 
Just looking at this now.

Romeo moving up from 2m1 to 3m1 - not for me. Happy to let him win without my money.

Kaid D’Authie - great at Leopardstown. Did the race fall apart and is 3m1 what he wants.

Final Demand - couldn’t trust him after the last effort.

Koltail Divin - won’t stay.

Wendigo - like his chance but is he just a grade 2 horse and not a proper grade 1 horse.

Oscars Brother - wouldn’t back him if he was double the price.

The Big Westerner - is her form that good. Passed up by Daragh and wouldn’t surprise me if they pull her on account of the ground.

Western Fold - looks overpriced. Has the best form in the book with his 3rd against Envoi Allen. Had a day out last time and closing at the line. Gilligan should have him out the front and it’s the best place to be over this trip.

Kitzbuhel - not sure he wants to go left handed.

Western Fold for me for a very small bet but not particularly confident.
 
FinalFurlong91 said:
What do we think of the banc?

Coolio - like him a lot but too short and not ideal running over 2 miles last time

Final demand - i backed him this time last year but not expecting to collect

Kaid dauthie - won well last time but final demand ran like a drain and western fold was never put in the race

Koktail divin - not convinced hes a grade 1 horse myself. Well beaten over hurdles at aintree and was thumped by romeo at down royal.

Wendigo - ran well in the bartlett. Nice easy prep last time. Will stay strongly. May be one i add tomorrow.

The big westerner - 2nd in the bartlett and taken well to fences. Would prefer softer ground which is i imagine why the jockey chose koktail. But that bartlett was on good to soft and even though im already on at a bad price may top up e/w.

Western Fold - eyecatching behind kaid and will prefer this ground. Should go well with his big field experience. But does he have the class. May add e/w.
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I am struggling with this race aswell. The only one I keep coming back to is wendigo. He’s pretty strong in trends, other than the fact he’s French bred, who don’t have a great record in this. This also applies to kaid and kocktail, who are also 6, they don’t boast great records either. I’ve covered Romeo and FD at prices but not a strong fancy for the reasons you gave. Also have TBW in the book, but surely ground not ideal. Oscars brother could improve, will act on the ground, and may have just talked myself into 😂
 
I’ve liked Western Fold for this all season.

Bigger and better field than expected, but countered by Final Demand’s regression into the pack rather than being the strong fav he threatened to be. The Lord giveth and the Lord taketh away..

He’s still a v attractive ew price for anyone not on at bigger. Will like the ground, proven winner, good jockey, and had a lovely pipe-opener after the winter off at DRF.
 
jrjr said:
I’ve liked Western Fold for this all season.

Bigger and better field than expected, but countered by Final Demand’s regression into the pack rather than being the strong fav he threatened to be. The Lord giveth and the Lord taketh away..

He’s still a v attractive ew price for anyone not on at bigger. Will like the ground, proven winner, good jockey, and had a lovely pipe-opener after the winter off at DRF.
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Tbf I love the affordale and envoi form lines, and think he’ll turn the tables on kaid, just not the “normal” profile winner for this which puts me off a bit, having had 20 runs over obstacles. Will defo cover given the price though.
 
Carnage at Taunton said:
And the 2nd last from Lulamba.
Would have been some race had they both jumped them well.
As it was, Kargese jumped them well and won with a good performance.
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Yep, would have been very interesting. Two big errors which stopped them in their tracks.
 
Brown Advisory is the race of the week for me.

Cannot have Romeo @ 11/4 - seems crazy short to me for a horse not trained or tested over the trip.
Kaid D’Authie - have doubts about 3m and 6yo have a terrible record in the race.
Final Demand - loves dotting up in easy races, seems to fold in deep water and the vibes are anything but strong.
Koltail Divin - interesting that Darragh goes with him and the money is coming, but again, 6yo have a terrible record in the race.
Wendigo - to me this is a grade 2 horse and as others have said, will fall short at this level
Oscars Brother - done nothing wrong but I think he wants soft ground to be seen to best effect - looks very light framed.
The Big Westerner - the drift is odd. Was eying her up at the start of the week when she was 9/2 and she's now 12/1. I think she has a chance and if they don't pull her I'd back at a double figure price.

Western Fold - My selection at 14/1. I'd have him at 6 or 7/1 if I was pricing this up so this is a banging price. For every year there is a pure class winner (like a Fact To File), there are years where you get a Blaklion or a Real Whacker - just thoroughly tough horses that know their job. He is that horse this year IMO. Experience is rock solid. Best form in the book. Wasn't fit LTO on ground too soft over a trip too short at finished a 4L second when looking like he could lose 20+ lengths. He will improve for the trip and better ground, so he's a strong fancy to hit the frame at the very least but could very well win. Gordons record in the race would be a small concern, but I think his experience in open company offsets that.
 
Lulamba isnt the greatest jumper is he, always seems to through in 1 or 2 mad ones but hes still only a 5 year old and with a trip who knows he might just iron it out. Kopek travelled like a dream but the experience might just have been his downfall, big days lie ahead. The Arkle is all about jumping and Kargese was magnificent, what a special mare she is. Any of you nerds know how she measured up on the clock?
 
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